Forecasting Techniques

  • Peter J. Brockwell
  • Richard A. Davis
Part of the Springer Texts in Statistics book series (STS)

Abstract

We have focused until now on the construction of time series models for stationary and nonstationary series and the determination, assuming the appropriateness of these models, of minimum mean-squared error predictors. If the observed series had in fact been generated by the fitted model, this procedure would give minimum mean-squared error forecasts. In this chapter we discuss three forecasting techniques that have less emphasis on the explicit construction of a model for the data. Each of the three selects, from a limited class of algorithms, the one that is optimal according to specified criteria.

Keywords

ARIMA Model Exponential Smoothing Forecast Technique Main Menu Economic Time Series 
These keywords were added by machine and not by the authors. This process is experimental and the keywords may be updated as the learning algorithm improves.

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Copyright information

© Springer Science+Business Media New York 1996

Authors and Affiliations

  • Peter J. Brockwell
    • 1
  • Richard A. Davis
    • 2
  1. 1.Royal Melbourne Institute of TechnologyMelbourneAustralia
  2. 2.Department of StatisticsColorado State UniversityFort CollinsUSA

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