Abstract
The epidemic begins with the arrival in a disease-free area of an individual infected with smallpox, but not yet manifesting any symptoms. The infective arrives unnoticed and unknowingly transmits the disease to others; hence initially the epidemic grows out of control. Before too long, however, one or another of the infected individuals shows symptoms and is diagnosed as a carrier of smallpox. Once the disease is discovered, the initial phase of the epidemic is over.
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© 1981 Education Development Center, Inc.
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Frauenthal, J.C. (1981). The Epidemic Initiation Model. In: Smallpox: When Should Routine Vaccination Be Discontinued?. The UMAP Expository Monograph Series. Birkhäuser Boston. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-1-4684-6719-2_5
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DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-1-4684-6719-2_5
Publisher Name: Birkhäuser Boston
Print ISBN: 978-0-8176-3042-3
Online ISBN: 978-1-4684-6719-2
eBook Packages: Springer Book Archive