Skip to main content

Consumption, Savings and Asset Returns with Non-Expected Utility

  • Chapter

Abstract

Over the last dozen years, the standard models of decision making under risk and uncertainty have come under renewed scrutiny because of their failure to describe choices observed in experimental settings; the Allais and Ellsberg paradoxes are the best known instances of descriptive failures of the (subjective) expected utility model. In addition, a number of generalizations of the expected utility model have been developed. These ‘nonexpected utility’ theories have proven useful in several ways. First, they have provided models of preference that can ‘explain’, or at least accommodate the cited experimental evidence. Equally important, they have stimulated new experimental tests of decision making in laboratory settings that should help to provide further insights into the way in which subjects make choices. In addition, they have provided a deeper understanding of the expected utility model, both at an axiomatic level and at the more practical level of clarifying why it is that the expected utility model has proven so tractable in modeling applications.

This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution.

Buying options

Chapter
USD   29.95
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Available as PDF
  • Read on any device
  • Instant download
  • Own it forever
eBook
USD   129.00
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Available as PDF
  • Read on any device
  • Instant download
  • Own it forever
Softcover Book
USD   169.99
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Compact, lightweight edition
  • Dispatched in 3 to 5 business days
  • Free shipping worldwide - see info
Hardcover Book
USD   169.99
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Durable hardcover edition
  • Dispatched in 3 to 5 business days
  • Free shipping worldwide - see info

Tax calculation will be finalised at checkout

Purchases are for personal use only

Learn about institutional subscriptions

Preview

Unable to display preview. Download preview PDF.

Unable to display preview. Download preview PDF.

References

  • Bonomo, M. and R. Garcia (1993), “Disappointment Aversion as a Solution to the Risk-Free Puzzle”, U. Montreal, mimeo.

    Google Scholar 

  • Campbell, J.Y. (1994), “Intertemporal Asset Pricing without Consumption Data”, American Economic Review 83, 487–512.

    Google Scholar 

  • Campbell, J.Y. and J.H. Cochrane (1994), “By Force of Habit: A Consumption-Based Explanation of Aggregate Stock Market Behaviour,” NBER #4995.

    Google Scholar 

  • Chami, R., T. Cosimano and C. Fullenkamp (1994), “A General Equilibrium Approach to Asset Pricing in an Efficient Market,” Working Paper, U. Notre Dame,.

    Google Scholar 

  • Chew, S.H. (1989), “Axiomatic Utility Theories with the Betweeness Property”, Annals of Operations Research 19, 273–298.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Chew, S.H. and L.G. Epstein (1991), “Recursive Utility Under Uncertainty,” in Equilibrium Theory with an Infinite Number of Commodities, A. Khan and N. Yannelis eds., New York: Springer, 352–369.

    Google Scholar 

  • Cochrane, J.H. and L.P. Hansen (1992), “Asset Pricing Explorations for Macroeconomics”, NBER Working Paper #4088.

    Google Scholar 

  • Constantinides, G.M. (1990), “Habit Formation: A Resolltion of the Equity Premium Puzzle”, J Pol. Econ. 98, 519–543.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Dekel, E. (1986), “An Axiomatic Characterization of Preferences Under Uncertainty”, J. Econ. Theory 40, 304–318.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Duffie, D. and L.G. Epstein (1992a), “Stochastic Differential Utility,” Econometrica 60, 353–394.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Duffie, D. and L.G. Epstein (1992b), “Asset Pricing with Stochastic Differential Utility,” R. Fin. Stud. 5, 411–436.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Epstein, L.G. (1988), “Risk Aversion and Asset Prices”, J. Monetary Ecs. 22,179–192.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Epstein, L.G. (1992), “Behaviour Under Risk: Recent Developments in Theory and Applications”, in Advances in Economic Theory, Vol.II. J.J. Laffont ed., Cambridge U. Press.

    Google Scholar 

  • Epstein, L.G. and M. LeBreton (1993), “Dynamically Consistent Beliefs Must Be Bayesian,” J. Ec. Theory 61, 1–22.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Epstein, L.G. and A. Melino (1995), “A Revealed Preference Analysis of Asset Pricing Under Recursive Utility,” Rev. Ec. Stud. 62, 597–618.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Epstein, L.G. and T. Wang (1994), “Intertemporal Asset Pricing Under Knightian Uncertainty”, Econometrica 62, 283–322.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Epstein, L.G. and T. Wang (1995), “Uncertainty, Risk-Neutral Measures and Security Price Booms and Crashes,” J. Ec. Theory 67, 40–82.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Epstein, L.G. and S. Zin (1989), “Substitution, Risk Aversion and the Temporal Behavior of Consumption and Asset Returns: A Theoretical Framework”, Econometrica, 57, 937–969.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Epstein, L.G. and S. Zin (1990), “First-Order Risk Aversion and the Equity Premium Puzzle”, J. Monetary Ecs. 26, 387–407.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Epstein, L.G. and S. Zin (1991), “Substitution, Risk Aversion and the Temporal Behavior of Consumption and Asset Returns: An Empirical Analysis”, J. Pol. Econ. 99, 263–286.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Epstein, L.G. and S. Zin (1992), “The Independence Axiom and Asset Returns”, NBER Technical Working Paper #109.

    Google Scholar 

  • Gilboa, I. and D. Schmeidler (1989), “Maxmin Expected Utility with Nonunique Prior,” J. Math. Econ. 18, 141–153.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Gordon, S., L. Samson and B. Carmichael (1994), “Sampling-Based Estimation of the Intertemporal Marginal Rate of Substitution”, Cahier 9401, U. Laval.

    Google Scholar 

  • Grossman, S.J. and R.J. Shiller (1981), “The Determinants of the Variability of Stock Market Prices”, American Economic Review 71, 222–227.

    Google Scholar 

  • Gul, F. (1991), “A Theory of Disappointment Aversion,” Econometrica 59, 667–686.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Hadar, J. and W.R. Russell (1969), “Rules for Ordering Uncertain Prospects”, American Economic Review 59, 25–34.

    Google Scholar 

  • Hansen, L.P. and S. Richard (1987), “The Role of Conditioning Information in Deducing Testable Restrictions Implied by Dynamic Asset Pricing Models,” Econometrica 55, 587–614.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Hansen, L.P. and T.J. Sargent (1992), “Discounted Linear Exponential Quadratic Gaussian Control”, mimeo.

    Google Scholar 

  • Hansen, L.P., T.J. Sargent and T.D. Tallarini Jr. (1993), “Pessimism, Neurosis, and Feelings about Risk in General Equilibrium”, mimeo.

    Google Scholar 

  • Hansen, L.P. and K.J. Singleton (1983), “Stochastic Consumption, Risk Aversion and the Temporal Behavior of Asset Returns”, J. Pol. Econ. 91, 249–265.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Hung, M.W. (1994), “The Interaction Between Nonexpected Utility and Assymmetric Market Fundamentals,” J. Finance 49, 325–343.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Kandel, S. and R.F. Stambaugh (1991), “Asset Returns and Intertemporal Preferences”, J. Monetary Ecs. 27, 39–71.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Keynes, J. M. (1936), The General Theory of Employment Interest and Money.London: Macmillan.

    Google Scholar 

  • Klibanoff, P. (1993), “Dynamic Choice with Uncertainty Aversion,” Kellogg School, Northwestern U., mimeo.

    Google Scholar 

  • Kocherlakota, N. (1987), State Nonseparability: Theory and Empirical Implications, Ph.D. Thesis, U. Chicago.

    Google Scholar 

  • Kreps, D. and E. L. Porteus (1978), “Temporal Resolution of Uncertainty and Dynamic Choice Theory,” Econometrica 46, 185–200.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Lucas, R.E. Jr. (1978), “Asset Prices in an Exchange Economy”, Econometrica, 46, 1429–1445.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Ma, C. (1993), “Market Equilibrium with Heterogeneous Agents and Recursive-Utility-Maximizing Agents,” Economic Theory 3, 243–266.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Machina, M.J. (1982), ‘“Expected Utility’ Analysis Without the Independence Axiom,” Econometrica 50, 1069–1079.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Machina, M.J. (1989), “Dynamic Consistency and Non-Expected Utility Models of Choice Under Uncertainty,” J. Ec. Lit. 27, 1622–1668.

    Google Scholar 

  • Machina M.J. and D. Schmeidler (1992), “A More Robust Definition of Subjective Probability,” Econometrica 60, 745–780.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Mehra, R. and E. Prescott (1985), “The Equity Premium: A Puzzle”, J. Monetary Ecs. 15, 145–161.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Melino, A. and L.G. Epstein (1995), “An Empirical Analysis of Asset Returns Under ‘Non-Bayesian Rational Expectations’,” mimeo.

    Google Scholar 

  • Naik, V. (1994), “Asset Prices in Dynamic Production Economies with TimeVarying Risk,” Rev. Fin. Stud. 7, 781–801.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Obstfeld, M. (1992), “Evaluating Risky Consumption Paths: The Role of Intertemporal Substitutability”, NBER Technical Working Paper #120.

    Google Scholar 

  • Ozaki, H. and P. Streufert (1996), “Dynamic Programming for Non-Additive Stochastic Objectives,” Journal of Mathematical Economics, 25(4),391–442.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • van der Ploeg, F. (1993), “A Closed-Form Solution for a Model of Precautionary Saving,” Rev. Econ. Studies 60, 385–396.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Restoy, F. and P. Weil (1994), “Approximate Equilibrium Asset Prices,” mimeo.

    Google Scholar 

  • Schmeidler, D. (1989), “Subjective Probability and Expected Utility Without Additivity,” Econometrica 57, 571–587.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Skiadas, C. (1995), “Time Coherent Choice and Preferences for Information,” Working Paper #196, Kellogg School, Northwestern University.

    Google Scholar 

  • Walley, P. (1991), Statistical Reasoning with Imprecise Probabilities, Chapman and Hall, London.

    Google Scholar 

  • Wang, S. (1993), “The Local Recoverability of Risk Aversion and Intertemporal Substitution”, J. Econ. Theory 59, 333–363.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Weil, P. (1989), “The Equity Premium Puzzle and the Risk-Free Rate Puzzle”, J. Monetary Ecs. 24, 401–422.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Weil, P. (1990), “Nonexpected Utility in Macroeconomics”, Quarterly J. Ecs. 105, 29–42.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Weil, P. (1993), “Precautionary Savings and the Permanent Income Hypothesis,” Rev. Econ. Studies 60, 367–384.

    Article  Google Scholar 

Download references

Authors

Editor information

Editors and Affiliations

Rights and permissions

Reprints and permissions

Copyright information

© 1999 Springer Science+Business Media New York

About this chapter

Cite this chapter

Epstein, L.G. (1999). Consumption, Savings and Asset Returns with Non-Expected Utility. In: Luini, L. (eds) Uncertain Decisions. Springer, Boston, MA. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-1-4615-5083-9_4

Download citation

  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-1-4615-5083-9_4

  • Publisher Name: Springer, Boston, MA

  • Print ISBN: 978-1-4613-7312-4

  • Online ISBN: 978-1-4615-5083-9

  • eBook Packages: Springer Book Archive

Publish with us

Policies and ethics