Abstract
This chapter expands the discussion of evolution, equilibrium, nonequilibrium, the mechanical or Newtonian paradigm, rationality, and model adequacy first introduced in Chapter 1. This chapter presents several sophisticated models valuable in policy and decision situations. These models provide additional, experimental rigor to many of the ideas presented in this chapter and elsewhere in this book.
This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution.
Buying options
Tax calculation will be finalised at checkout
Purchases are for personal use only
Learn about institutional subscriptionsPreview
Unable to display preview. Download preview PDF.
Reference
Allen, Peter M., 1985. “Towards a New Science of Complex Systems.” In Shuhei Aida (Ed.), The Science and Praxis of Complexity. Contributions to the Symposium Held at Montpellier, France, 9-11 May 1984. Tokyo: United Nations University Press.
Allen, Peter M., 1988. “Evolution: Why the Whole is Greater than the Sum of Its Parts.” In W. Wolff (Ed.), Ecodynamics.. Berlin: Springer-Verlag.
Allen, Peter M., 1990. “Why the Future is Not What It Was.” Futures, (July/August), 555–570.
Allen, Peter M., and Michèle Sanglier, 1979. “Dynamic Model of Growth in a Central Place System.” Geographical Analysis, 11(3), 256–272.
Allen, Peter M., and Michèle Sanglier, 1981. “Urban Evolution, Self-Organization and Decision Making.” Environment and Planning A, 13, 167–183.
Allen, Peter M., and Jacqueline M. McGlade, 1986. “Dynamics of Discovery and Exploitation: The Case of the Scotian Shelf Groundfish Fisheries.” Canadian Journal of Fisheries and Aquatic Science, 43(6), 1187–1200.
Allen, Peter M., and Jacqueline M. McGlade, 1987a. “Evolutionary Drive: The Effect of Microscopic Diversity, Error Making and Noise.” Foundations of Physics, 17(7)(July), 723–739.
Allen, Peter M., and Jacqueline M. McGlade, 1987b. “Modelling Complex Human Systems: a Fisheries Example.” European Journal of Operational Research, 30(June), 147–167.
Allen, Peter M., and Jacqueline M. McGlade, 1987c. “Managing Complexity: a Fisheries Example.” Report to the United Nations University, Tokyo.
Allen, Peter M., and Jacqueline M. McGlade, 1989. “Optimality, Adequacy and the Evolution of Complexity.” In Peter L. Christiansen and Robert D. Parmentier (Eds.), Structure, Coherence and Chaos in Dynamical Systems. Manchester, England: Manchester University Press.
Arrow, Kenneth J., and Gerard Debreu, 1954. “Existence of an Equilibrium for a Competitive Economy.” Econometrica, 22, 265–290.
Boulding, Kenneth E., 1981. Evolutionary Economics. Beverly Hills, CA: Sage.
Debreu, Gerard, 1959. Theory of Value. New York: Wiley.
Goodwin, Richard M., 1951. “The Nonlinear Accelerator and the Persistence of Business Cycles.” Econometrica, 19, 1–17.
Gould, Peter, and Rodney White, 1974. Mental Maps. New York: Penguin.
Marshall, Alfred, 1890/1927. Principles of Economics. Eighth edition. London: Macmillan.
McGlade, Jacqueline M., and Peter M. Allen, 1985. “The Fishery Industry as a Complex System.” In R. Mahon (Ed.), Towards the Inclusion of Fishery Interactions in Management Advice. Canadian Techniques of Fisheries and Aquatic Science Number 1347, pp. 209–216. Ottawa, Ontario, Canada: Fisheries and Oceans.
Nelson, Richard R., and Sidney G. Winter, 1982. An Evolutionary Theory of Economic Change. Harvard University, Cambridge, MA: Belknap Press.
Nicolis, Grégoire, and Ilya Prigogine, 1977. Self-Organization in Nonequilibrium Systems: From Dissipative Structures to Order through Fluctuations. New York: Wiley.
Prigogine, Ilya, and Isabelle Stengers, 1984. Order out of Chaos: Man’s New Dialogue with Nature. New York: Bantam.
Sanglier, Michèle, and Peter M. Allen, 1989. “Evolutionary Models of Urban Systems: an Application to the Belgian Provinces.” Environment and Planning A, 21, 477–498.
Schumpeter, Joseph A., 1934. The Theory of Economic Development. Cambridge, MA: Harvard University Press.
Editor information
Editors and Affiliations
Rights and permissions
Copyright information
© 1993 Springer Science+Business Media New York
About this chapter
Cite this chapter
Allen, P.M. (1993). Policy in a World of Evolution, Learning, and Ignorance. In: De Greene, K.B. (eds) A Systems-Based Approach to Policymaking. Springer, Boston, MA. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-1-4615-3226-2_2
Download citation
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-1-4615-3226-2_2
Publisher Name: Springer, Boston, MA
Print ISBN: 978-1-4613-6417-7
Online ISBN: 978-1-4615-3226-2
eBook Packages: Springer Book Archive