The Future of Information Technology — Hopes and Challenges
Although the information revolution is in full swing, development of information technology may rest on one question: can silicon-based computer technology sustain Moore’s law beyond 2020? In 1965 — three years before he co-founded Intel with Bob Noyce — Gordon Moore published an article that turned out to be uncannily prophetic. Moore wrote that the number of circuits on a silicon chip would keep doubling every year. He later revised this to every 18 to 24 months, a forecast that has held remarkably well over several decades (Unold, 2001).
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