Abstract
Although the information revolution is in full swing, development of information technology may rest on one question: can silicon-based computer technology sustain Moore’s law beyond 2020? In 1965 — three years before he co-founded Intel with Bob Noyce — Gordon Moore published an article that turned out to be uncannily prophetic. Moore wrote that the number of circuits on a silicon chip would keep doubling every year. He later revised this to every 18 to 24 months, a forecast that has held remarkably well over several decades (Unold, 2001).
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Unold, J. (2002). The Future of Information Technology — Hopes and Challenges. In: Kirikova, M., Grundspenkis, J., Wojtkowski, W., Wojtkowski, W.G., Wrycza, S., Zupančič, J. (eds) Information Systems Development. Springer, Boston, MA. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-1-4615-0167-1_28
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DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-1-4615-0167-1_28
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