Skip to main content

Stochastic Optimization of Power Generation and Storage Management in a Market Environment

  • Chapter
  • First Online:
Handbook of Risk Management in Energy Production and Trading

Part of the book series: International Series in Operations Research & Management Science ((ISOR,volume 199))

  • 2561 Accesses

Abstract

This chapter provides an overview of practically applying mathematical optimization techniques to short-term and medium-term planning of a power generation system in a market environment. The considered power generating system may contain thermal plants (gas or coal fired), hydro power plants, new renewables, as well as dedicated energy storages (e.g., gas storages, hydro reservoirs). We argue that stochastic optimization is an appropriate modeling framework in order to take into account the uncertainty of input data (such as natural hydrologic inflows and energy market prices), market decision structures, as well as the optional character of power generating units and energy storages.

This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access.

Access this chapter

Chapter
USD 29.95
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Available as PDF
  • Read on any device
  • Instant download
  • Own it forever
eBook
USD 189.00
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Available as EPUB and PDF
  • Read on any device
  • Instant download
  • Own it forever
Softcover Book
USD 249.99
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Compact, lightweight edition
  • Dispatched in 3 to 5 business days
  • Free shipping worldwide - see info
Hardcover Book
USD 249.99
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Durable hardcover edition
  • Dispatched in 3 to 5 business days
  • Free shipping worldwide - see info

Tax calculation will be finalised at checkout

Purchases are for personal use only

Institutional subscriptions

Notes

  1. 1.

    This financial settlement is such that, if the holder of a future buys the energy for all the delivery hours on the day-ahead market, the resulting net costs in the end are the same as for the holder of a forward for the same delivery period; however, the intermediate payments before the end of the delivery period can be very different.

  2. 2.

    If there is a liquid gas spot market, a gas fired plant (e.g., a CCGT) can also be understood as a bundle of call options on the clean spark spread, i.e., on the difference between hourly power price minus appropriately scaled gas and CO2 prices.

  3. 3.

    In this chapter we do not consider nodal pricing systems which are applied, e.g., in the USA [28].

  4. 4.

    With regard to (7.1), process with infinitely many possible outcomes can in many cases be suitably approximated by finite ones, e.g., by Monte Carlo sampling and clustering on the basis of stability theory (cf., e.g., [16, 17, 25]) or via other (Quasi) Monte Carlo methods. Thereby, the discrete approximation of the stochastic process is separated from the solution process; however, there is also work on integrated sampling and solution algorithms. Note that, without any sampling, (7.1) would have to be solved analytically and that is possible only in very special cases.

  5. 5.

    Note that price elasticity, if it is approximated in a piecewise linear way, can easily be incorporated into (7.1) without inducing additional integer variables.

  6. 6.

    Alternatively, it is possible to include a risk constraint of the form \(\rho (c_{1} \cdot x_{1},\ldots,c_{T} \cdot x_{T}) \leq \beta\) into (7.1) with some fixed real number β.

  7. 7.

    For the risk-averse problem (7.2) such a decomposition is also possible but only for special risk functional such as recursive [34] or polyhedral ones [7].

  8. 8.

    For certain data processes d 1, …, d T , it can be shown that \(C_{t}(x_{t-1},d_{t-1})\) is also convex with respect to the right-hand sides h t−1 (e.g., hydrologic inflows) and this can be used to save further computation time by calculating cutting planes jointly for both arguments x t−1 and h t−1; cf. [24]. We here restrict the presentation to the more general case.

References

  1. APG: Austrian Power Grid (2013) Web page: www.apg.at

  2. Birge JR, Louveaux F (1997) Introduction to stochastic programming. In: Springer series in operations research. Springer, New York

    Google Scholar 

  3. Boogert A, Dupont D (2008) When supply meets demand: the case of hourly spot electricity prices. IEEE Trans Power Syst 23:389–398

    Article  Google Scholar 

  4. Burger M, Klar B, Müller A, Schindlmayr G (2004) A spot market model for pricing derivatives in electricity markets. Quant Financ 4:109–122

    Article  Google Scholar 

  5. Burger M, Graeber B, Schindlmayr G (2007) Managing energy risk (Wiley Finance Series). Wiley, Chichester

    Google Scholar 

  6. EEX: European Energy Exchange (2013) Web page: www.eex.com

  7. Eichhorn A, Römisch W (2005) Polyhedral risk measures in stochastic programming. SIAM J Optimiz 16:69–95

    Article  Google Scholar 

  8. Eichhorn A, Heitsch H, Römisch W (2009) Scenario tree approximation and risk aversion strategies for stochastic optimization of electricity production and trading. In: Kallrath J et al (eds) Optimization in the energy industry, chap 14. Springer, Berlin, pp 321–346

    Chapter  Google Scholar 

  9. EPEX Spot: European Power Exchange (2013) Web page: www.epexspot.com

  10. Faria E, Fleten SE (2011) Day-ahead market bidding for a Nordic hydropower producer: taking the Elbas market into account. Comput Manage Sci 8:75–101

    Article  Google Scholar 

  11. Fleten SE, Wallace SW (2009) Delta-hedging a hydropower plant using stochastic programming. In: Kallrath J et al (eds) Optimization in the energy industry, chap 22. Springer, Berlin, pp 507–524

    Chapter  Google Scholar 

  12. Föllmer H, Schied A (2004) Stochastic finance: an introduction in discrete time. In: De Gruyter studies in mathematics, vol 27, 2nd edn. Walter de Gruyter, Berlin

    Google Scholar 

  13. Garcés L, Conejo A (2010) Weekly self-scheduling, forward contracting, and offering strategy for a producer. IEEE Trans Power Syst 25:657–666

    Article  Google Scholar 

  14. GME: Gestore Mercati Energetici (2013) Web page: www.mercatoelettrico.org

  15. Guigues V, Römisch W (2012) SDDP for multistage stochastic linear programs based on spectral risk measures. Oper Res Lett 40:313–318

    Article  Google Scholar 

  16. Heitsch H, Römisch W (2009) Scenario tree modeling for multistage stochastic programs. Math Program 118:371–406

    Article  Google Scholar 

  17. Heitsch H, Römisch W, Strugarek C (2006) Stability of multistage stochastic programs. SIAM J Optimiz 17:511–525

    Article  Google Scholar 

  18. Hull J (2011) Options, futures and other derivatives, 8th edn. Pearson, Harlow

    Google Scholar 

  19. Kovacevic RM, Pflug GC (2013) Electricity swing option pricing by stochastic bilevel optimization: a survey and new approaches. www.speps.org (preprint)

  20. Kovacevic RM, Wozabal D (2013) A semiparametric model for EEX spot prices. IIE Transactions. doi:10.1080/0740817X.2013.803640

    Google Scholar 

  21. Löhndorf N, Wozabal D, Minner S (2013) Optimizing trading decisions for hydro storage systems using approximate dual dynamic programming. Operations Research 61:810–823

    Article  Google Scholar 

  22. Markowitz H (1952) Portfolio selection. J Financ 7:77–91

    Google Scholar 

  23. NordPool: Nord Pool Spot (2013) Web page: www.nordpoolspot.com

  24. Pereira MVF, Pinto LMVG (1991) Multi-stage stochastic optimization applied to energy planning. Math Program 52:359–375

    Article  Google Scholar 

  25. Pflug GC, Pichler A (2011) Approximations for probability distributions and stochastic optimization problems. In: Bertocchi M et al (eds) International series in operations research and management science, vol 163, chap 15. Springer, New York, pp 343–387

    Google Scholar 

  26. Pflug GC, Römisch W (2007) Modeling, measuring, and managing risk. World Scientific, Singapore

    Book  Google Scholar 

  27. Philpott AB, Guan Z (2008) On the convergence of stochastic dual dynamic programming and related methods. Oper Res Lett 36:450–455

    Article  Google Scholar 

  28. PJM: Pjm Interconnection (2013) Web page: www.pjm.com

  29. Regelleistung.net: Internetplattform zur Vergabe von Regelleistung (2013) Web page: www.regelleistung.net

  30. Rockafellar RT, Uryasev S (2002) Conditional value-at-risk for general loss distributions. J Bank Financ 26:1443–1471

    Article  Google Scholar 

  31. RTE: Réseau de Transport d’Electricité (2013) Web page: www.rte-france.com

  32. Ruszczyński A (2003) Decomposition methods. In: Ruszczyński A, Shapiro A (eds) Handbooks in operations research and management science, vol 10, chap 3, 1st edn. Elsevier, Amsterdam, pp 141–211

    Google Scholar 

  33. Ruszczyński A, Shapiro A (eds) (2003) Stochastic programming. In: Handbooks in operations research and management science, vol 10, 1st edn. Elsevier, Amsterdam

    Google Scholar 

  34. Ruszczyński A, Shapiro A (2006) Conditional risk mappings. Math Oper Res 31:544–561

    Article  Google Scholar 

  35. Shapiro A (2011) Analysis of stochastic dual dynamic programming method. Eur J Oper Res 209:63–72

    Article  Google Scholar 

  36. Shapiro A, Tekaya W, Da Costa J, Soares M (2013) Risk neutral and risk averse stochastic dual dynamic programming method. Eur J Oper Res 224:375–391

    Article  Google Scholar 

  37. Weron R, Bierbrauer M, Trück S (2004) Modeling electricity prices: jump diffusion and regime switching. Physica A 336:39–48

    Article  Google Scholar 

Download references

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

Authors

Corresponding author

Correspondence to Andreas Eichhorn .

Editor information

Editors and Affiliations

Rights and permissions

Reprints and permissions

Copyright information

© 2013 Springer Science+Business Media New York

About this chapter

Cite this chapter

Eichhorn, A. (2013). Stochastic Optimization of Power Generation and Storage Management in a Market Environment. In: Kovacevic, R., Pflug, G., Vespucci, M. (eds) Handbook of Risk Management in Energy Production and Trading. International Series in Operations Research & Management Science, vol 199. Springer, Boston, MA. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-1-4614-9035-7_7

Download citation

Publish with us

Policies and ethics