Abstract
The system of supply and demand of electricity in Canada is highly complex and dynamic in nature-multiple stakeholders, diverse technology across provinces and territories, and various regulatory regimes. Understanding the causal relationships among the system’s nearly immeasurable amount of variables and the patterns that exist in Canada’s electricity system is an essential prerequisite for effective and efficient energy policy decisions. Drawing on system dynamics methodology, this study presents the development, validation, and application of a dynamic simulation model. By utilizing the developed and validated system dynamics model, this research finds that, in addition to the traditional adjustment methods, substantial new investments in electricity generation capacity and productivity enhancement areas are needed to achieve a long-term sustainable supply and demand system in Canada.
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Interested reader can contact the author for mathematical equations of this dynamic model.
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Acknowledgments
The author acknowledges the contribution of his students Vald, Karim, and Yogesh. Especially in the earlier version of literature review, a part of this paper is based on their group project under the author’s supervision.
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Qudrat-Ullah, H. (2013). Understanding the Dynamics of Electricity Supply and Demand in Canada. In: Qudrat-Ullah, H. (eds) Energy Policy Modeling in the 21st Century. Understanding Complex Systems. Springer, New York, NY. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-1-4614-8606-0_9
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