Forecasting the Resurgence of the U. S. Economy in 2001: An Expert Judgment Approach

Part of the International Series in Operations Research & Management Science book series (ISOR, volume 195)


Building on work done earlier this chapter illustrates our use of the Analytic Hierarchy/Network Process to produce a December 2008 forecast of when the U.S. economy would begin to recover from the contraction that, according to an announcement dated December 1, 2008, from the Business Cycle Dating Committee of the National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER), began during the month of December, 2007. Here we illustrate two approaches.


Gross Domestic Product Housing Market Fiscal Policy Aggregate Demand Credit Default Swap 
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Copyright information

© Springer Science+Business Media New York 2013

Authors and Affiliations

  1. 1.Katz Graduate School of Business, College of Business AdministrationUniversity of PittsburghPittsburghUSA

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