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Analytical Long-Term Care Capacity Planning

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Operations Research and Health Care Policy

Part of the book series: International Series in Operations Research & Management Science ((ISOR,volume 190))

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Abstract

This chapter discusses the use of analytical approaches for residential long-term care (LTC) capacity planning. The recommended method integrates demographic and survival analysis, discrete event simulation, and optimization. Through a case study based in British Columbia, Canada, it illustrates results of using this approach. Further, it discusses shortcomings of a fixed-ratio approach widely used in practice and the SIPP (stationary, independent, period by period) approach and its modifications developed in the call center literature. It also proposes an easy-to-use and effective planning method, the Average Flow Model. It concludes with a discussion of policy implications and extensions.

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Acknowledgments

We gratefully thank Steve Atkinson, Director of Operations Research, Vancouver Island Health Authority, Peter Kafka, Chief Executive Officer of the Louis Brier Home and Hospital for providing data and many helpful discussions. This research has been partially supported by NSERC grant RGPIN 5527.

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Authors and Affiliations

  1. College of Business and Innovation, University of Toledo, 2801 W. Bancroft Street, Toledo, OH, 43606, USA

    Yue Zhang

  2. Sauder School of Business, University of British Columbia, 2053 Main Mall, Vancouver, BC, V6T 1Z2, Canada

    Martin L. Puterman

Authors
  1. Yue Zhang
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  2. Martin L. Puterman
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Corresponding author

Correspondence to Martin L. Puterman .

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Editors and Affiliations

  1. , Ivey School of Business, University of Western Ontario, London, N6A 3K7, Ontario, Canada

    Gregory S. Zaric

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Zhang, Y., Puterman, M.L. (2013). Analytical Long-Term Care Capacity Planning. In: Zaric, G. (eds) Operations Research and Health Care Policy. International Series in Operations Research & Management Science, vol 190. Springer, New York, NY. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-1-4614-6507-2_3

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