The Dynamical Behaviours of Diseases in Africa

  • Winston Garira


More than ever before, there is now great concern about infectious diseases. Africa bears the disproportionate burden of most infectious diseases and the detrimental impact of infectious diseases is currently more strongly felt in Africa. Although chronic diseases, such as cancer and heart disease receive more attention in developed countries, infectious diseases are the most well-known causes of suffering and mortality in Africa and some developing countries. The multiple burdens of infectious diseases represent a demand on health services of Africa far beyond that experienced in developed countries. Infectious diseases, such as malaria, HIV/AIDS and tuberculosis (TB) are a growing health problem in Africa. Resources for addressing health problems of Africa remain disproportionately low when compared with the tremendous disease burden. The United Nations Development Programme (UNDP) report on the Millennium Development Goals (MDGs) [1] cautions that the health goals of the MDGs will not be met by 2015 in the neediest countries, and, in fact warns that the situation in Africa may actually worsen. The variety of intervention programmes that can be implemented to control these infectious diseases and the limited resources available in Africa to combat these infectious diseases in addition to the existence of already strained and weak public health infrastructure results in “infectious diseases” in Africa being a complex system.


Host Immune System Male Circumcision Endemic Equilibrium Infectious Period Reproductive Number 
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Copyright information

© Springer Science+Business Media New York 2013

Authors and Affiliations

  1. 1.Modelling Biomedical Systems Research Group, Department of Mathematics and Applied MathematicsUniversity of VendaThohoyandouSouth Africa

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