Abstract
In previous chapters, we discussed the static efficiency of markets from a theoretical perspective. We learned that a market is allocatively efficient when total (consumer plus producer) surplus is maximized and price equals marginal cost. A firm is said to have monopoly or market power when it can profitably raise price above marginal cost. Theory tells us that market power will be present in unregulated monopoly but not perfectly competitive markets. The extent of market power in oligopoly markets will depend on the specific characteristics of the market.
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Notes
- 1.
In the simple Cournot–Bertrand model, price equals marginal cost when there are 1 or more firms.
- 2.
The threat of government regulation and antitrust enforcement may induce firms to limit their prices below simple profit-maximizing levels, which reduces exerted market power below its potential level. This is an unseen benefit of government regulation and antitrust enforcement.
- 3.
That is, ∂ℒ/∂MC = (−2a)/(a + MC)2 < 0.
- 4.
For further discussion on this topic, see Färe et al. (2012).
- 5.
This equation is frequently derived from a “conjectural variation” model (Bowley 1924), where θ reflects the firm’s conjecture or expectation about the change in industry output (Q) with respect to a change in the firm’s own output (q i ). See Bresnahan (1989) for a discussion of the conjectural variation interpretation of this equation. In our representation, θ can be thought of as a reduced form parameter (Schmalensee 1988), where (12.2) is used as a device for describing possible oligopoly outcomes and for estimating market power when the choice variable is output or price (Slade 1995).
- 6.
Note that the term “behavioral” in this context is distinct from the meaning of the behavioral economics concepts discussed in Chap. 4 and throughout the book.
- 7.
That is, ms i ≡ q i /Q = 1/n because all firms produce the same level of output in equilibrium.
- 8.
From (10.1) and (10.2), a Cournot firm’s first-order condition is p + (∂p/∂Q)q i − MC = 0. This implies that for (12.2) to hold, θ must equal 1 in the Cournot model.
- 9.
For a more complete discussion of the problems associated with measuring profitability and the pros and cons of using profitability to measure market power, see Fisher and McGowan (1983), Martin (1984, 2000), Fisher (1987), and Carlton and Perloff (2005). Fisher (1987) takes the strongest position, arguing that because these problems are insurmountable, accounting profit should not be used for empirical research in industrial organization.
- 10.
This seems reasonable, because in the real world, firms in the same industry are rarely symmetric (unless the market is perfectly competitive, or nearly so).
- 11.
For example, one does not need to estimate the appropriate depreciation rate of durable assets that is needed to convert accounting profits to economic profits.
- 12.
- 13.
- 14.
- 15.
Panzar and Ross (1987) provide another method that is based on the effect of costs on prices.
- 16.
- 17.
This model is designed to illustrate the main idea and may not be appropriate for a number of reasons, as discussed below.
- 18.
- 19.
Notice that if both b and d 1 are zero, the demand function is horizontal because the slope is ∂p/∂Q = b + d 1 y 1. For a discussion of identification issues, see Bresnahan (1982) and Lau (1982). To illustrate the NEIO method, Bresnahan (1989) assumed linear demand and cost functions. A linear cost function is not homogeneous of degree 1 in input prices, a property of a true cost function (Varian, 1992). If we were to assume linearity, the marginal cost function becomes
$$ {\hbox{MC}} = {c_0} + {c_1}{q_i} + {c_2}w. $$In this case, substitution produces the following supply relation
$$ p = \left( {{c_0} + {c_1}{q_i} + {c_2}w} \right) - \theta \left( {b + {d_1}y} \right){q_i} = {c_0} + {c_2}w + \left( {{c_1} - b\theta } \right){q_i} - {d_1}\theta y{q_i}. $$We can rewrite this as
$$ p = {\alpha_0} + {\alpha_1}w + {\alpha_2}{q_i} + {\alpha_3}y{q_i}, $$where α 0 ≡ c 0, α 1 ≡ c 2, α 2 ≡ c 1 − bθ, and α 3 ≡ –d 1 θ. In this model, the behavioral parameter is identified if one or both of the following conditions hold:
-
c 1 = 0, which implies that α 2 = −bθ or that θ = −α 2/b
-
d 1 ≠ 0, which implies that α 3 = −d 1 θ or θ = −α 3/d 1
That is, the market power parameter is identified if there are constant returns to scale (c 1 = 0) or if y interacts with output in the demand function. However, Perloff and Shen (2012) demonstrate that this specification suffers from a collinearity problem and cannot be accurately estimated.
-
- 20.
In a dynamic setting, however, the “folk theorem” indicates that an appropriately defined trigger strategy can support any noncompetitive outcome, implying that θ is continuous and ranges from 0 to n (Friedman 1971). It is called a folk theorem because it was understood by game theorists long before it was published (Gibbons 1992, 89). For further discussion of the strengths and weaknesses of the NEIO approach, see Bresnahan (1989), Slade (1995), Genesove and Mullin (1998), Corts (1999), and Perloff et al. (2007).
- 21.
This is based on goodness of fit, as determined by the mean square error criterion using a likelihood ratio test as discussed in Greene (2000).
- 22.
Using average profit in manufacturing to identify a normal rate of return produced estimates of economic profit that were too low. A more accurate estimate of normal profit rates can be found in the agricultural and service sectors, as they tend to be more competitive and have lower profit rates than in manufacturing. Harberger defined the economic profit rate as the accounting profit rate in manufacturing minus the average profit rate in manufacturing. Because the average in manufacturing is higher than “normal,” his estimate of the economic profit rate is too low.
- 23.
For example, a profit maximizing monopolist will produce in the elastic region of demand (i.e., η > 1). This is also true in a cartel but need not be true in competitive markets or in oligopoly markets. Consider the n-firm Cournot model described in Chap. 9 where the inverse demand function is p = a − bQ and c is marginal cost. At the Cournot–Nash equilibrium, η = (a + cn)/(an − cn) which is less than 1 when n > a/(a − 2c). Thus, η < 1 when c is sufficiently low and n is sufficiently high.
- 24.
Recall from Chap. 6, however, that even a monopolist may earn zero profit in the long run, depending on demand and cost conditions.
- 25.
- 26.
- 27.
The evidence of V. Tremblay and C. Tremblay (2005) and Iwasaki et al. (2008) also shows that brewers were forced into a preemption race in advertising, which caused unsuccessful advertisers to fail. In such a race, Doraszelski and Markovich (2007) show that firms with a string of successful advertising campaigns will replace those with unsuccessful campaigns, a process that leads to a higher level of concentration.
- 28.
- 29.
An airline is defined as a potential competitor on a particular route when it serves one or both endpoints of a route but not the route itself.
- 30.
- 31.
The value of the marginal product is defined as the marginal product of the input times the output price, which is the added revenue the firm receives from employing one more unit of the input. For further discussion, see any introductory or intermediate microeconomics textbook, such as Frank and Bernanke (2008), Mankiw (2011), Bernheim and Whinston (2008), Pindyck and Rubenfield (2009), and Varian (2010).
- 32.
- 33.
For a review of dynamic programming techniques, see the Mathematics and Econometrics Appendix at the end of the book.
- 34.
To derive this equation in the Bertrand case, we first solve firm i’s demand function for p i , which we then substitute into the firm’s first-order condition (12.27) and solve for q i .
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Appendices
Appendix A: Monopsony Power
As we saw in Sect. 12.1.1, there is a single buyer of an input in a monopsony market. Lack of competition for an input enables the firm to lower the price of the input without completely eliminating supply. Instead of being an input price taker, where the input supply function is perfectly elastic, the firm is an input price maker. Similar to a monopolist that earns greater profit by raising the output price above its competitive level, a monopsonist earns greater profit by lowering the input price below the competitive level.Footnote 30
In this case, the index of input market power for input x is I x ≡ (VMP − w)/VMP, where VMP is the value of the marginal product of input x Footnote 31 and w is the price of the input. When the input market is perfectly competitive, w = VMP and the index equals 0. Market power is present when I x > 0. A “bilateral monopoly” exists when there is a monopoly supplier and a monopoly buyer.Footnote 32 In this case, Chang and Tremblay (1991) showed that under certain conditions I x = (1/ε S + 1/η)/(1 + 1/ε S), where ε S is the price elasticity of supply of input x and η is the absolute value of the price elasticity of demand. In this case, input market power increases as output demand becomes more inelastic (i.e., η falls) and input supply becomes more inelastic (i.e., ε S falls). Notice that I x = 1/η, the Lerner index, when the firm is an input price taker (i.e., the input supply elasticity is infinite).
Azzam (1997) uses an approach that is similar to the NEIO method to estimate the degree of monopsony power in the US beef packing industry. The empirical specification derives from the first-order condition of profit maximization for the beef packing input. He found that higher concentration in beef packing led to greater monopsony power. He also found support for the hypothesis that higher concentration led to greater cost efficiency, with the cost-efficiency effect outweighing the market-power effect.
Appendix B: The Lerner Index in a Dynamic Setting
Here, we formalize our discussion of the measurement of market power in a dynamic market from Sect. 12.1.2. Assume that firm i competes in an oligopoly market where production today affects future profit, as with addictive commodities, learning-by-doing, or a durable good.
Problems such as these can be solved using dynamic programming methods, where the goal of the firm is to choose the level of output in each period that maximizes the present value of the stream of profits now and into the future, V.Footnote 33 In essence, this represents the market value of the firm. The firm’s problem can be described in period t by a Bellman equation
where V t is the value function in period t, D is the discount factor as discussed in Chap. 2, and subscript i is suppressed for notational convenience. The goal is to choose q t to maximize V t . The general first-order condition that includes the behavioral parameter θ is
Note that α ≡ D · ∂V t+1/∂q t is an adjustment factor that represents the effect of a change in q t on the present value of the stream of future profits beginning in period t + 1. In a static market with no future effects, α = 0 and (B.1) reduces to the first-order condition found in the static model found in (12.2). With addiction and learning-by-doing, this term will be positive. An increase in production today increases future demand with addiction and lowers future costs with learning-by-doing. In a durable goods problem, this term will be negative because an increase in sales today will lower future demand.
The α parameter plays a key role in identifying the degree of market power. After rearranging terms in (B.2), a dynamic Lerner index is defined as
In this case, there is no market power when ℒ = 0, but ℒ need not equal 0 when price equals marginal cost. In a dynamic setting where α > 0, as with addiction, market power is present (ℒ > 0) even when price equals marginal cost.
The issue is even more complicated in a model with learning-by-doing (Pindyck 1985). For example, consider a monopolist whose marginal cost in period t is a negative function of learning and where learning is a positive function of the firm’s cumulative past production (\( \Sigma Q_{{t - 1}}^{\rm{M}} \)). Correctly estimating ℒ not only requires information on price and α but also requires an estimate of the marginal cost that would result if the industry had been perfectly competitive all along. Note that because cumulative output will be greater under competition (\( \Sigma Q_{{t - {1}}}^{\rm{PC}} \)) than under monopoly, MC(\( \Sigma Q_{{t - 1}}^{\rm{M}} \)) > MC(\( \Sigma Q_{{t - {1}}}^{\rm{PC}} \)). From society’s perspective, the correct measure of the Lerner index is
Note that only MC(\( \Sigma Q_{{t - 1}}^{\rm{M}} \)) is observable from firm data, however. If MC(\( \Sigma Q_{{t - 1}}^{\rm{M}} \)) is used instead of MC(\( \Sigma Q_{{t - {1}}}^{\rm{PC}} \)) to estimate ℒ, this will underestimate the degree of market power. This illustrates how difficult it can be to accurately estimate market power in the presence of learning-by-doing.
Appendix C: Estimating Game Theoretic Strategies
In this appendix, we provide an overview of the Gasmi and Vuong (1991) and Gasmi et al. (1992) method of estimating market power and the particular game being played by firms. Because applying this technique is complicated when there are many strategic possibilities, we illustrate the main idea by considering only nested games of output or price competition and ignore advertising. We consider differentiated Bertrand, Cournot, and cartel games only. The goal is to find a first-order condition that is general enough to nest each of these three possible outcomes. This is different from the NEIO approach, because this technique constrains the market-power parameter to take a discrete value that corresponds to Bertrand, Cournot, or cartel behavior.
We begin with Cournot. Assume that two firms, Coke and Pespi, compete in a static game where the choice variable is output and products are differentiated. Inverse demand, cost, and profit equations are the same as those found in Chap. 10, Sect. 10.2.1:
where subscript i represents Coke or Pepsi and subscript j refers to the other firm. The first-order condition for firm i is
where MR i is marginal revenue and MC i is marginal cost.
Next, we consider the case where Coke and Pepsi form an effective cartel. The goal now is to maximize joint profits (Π), which is
The first-order condition for firm i is
In the Bertrand case, recall that we must reorganize demand so that quantity is a function of the choice variables, p i and p j . From (10.35) and (10.36), we saw that the demand structure from the Cournot game above produces the following demand function in prices:
where α ≡ a(1 − d)/x, β ≡ 1/x, δ ≡ d/x, and x ≡ (1 − d 2). This yields the following profit equation for firm i:
The first-order condition for firm i is
where MRp i is firm i’s marginal revenue with respect to a change in p i and MCp i is firm i’s marginal cost with respect to a change in p i .
The next step is to solve the first-order conditions in each of the three cases for q i . This produces firm i’s best-reply function in q i for the Cournot, cartel, and Bertrand cases.Footnote 34
The following equation nests each of these best-reply functions.
where ψ 0 through ψ 2 are parameters that take on different values for each of the three different models. That is,
The regression model to be estimated includes the system of demand, cost, and best-reply functions for each firm that are found in (C.1) and (C.9). The demand and cost regressions give estimates of parameters a, d, and c which relate directly to the parameters in (C.9). From the estimates of parameters and standard errors, hypothesis tests are conducted to determine which model is most consistent with the data. For example, the data support the Cournot model if the estimates indicate that ψ 0 = [(a/2) − (1/2)c], ψ 1 = –d/2, and ψ 2 = 0.
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Tremblay, V.J., Tremblay, C.H. (2012). Market Power. In: New Perspectives on Industrial Organization. Springer Texts in Business and Economics. Springer, New York, NY. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-1-4614-3241-8_12
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