Skip to main content

A Forecasting Model for the Assessment of Medical Technologies: End-Stage Renal Disease

  • Chapter
Forecasting the Health of Elderly Populations

Part of the book series: Springer Series in Statistics ((SBH))

  • 258 Accesses

Abstract

Medical technologies possess life-cycles like those of other technologies. That is, they pass through phases of development, diffusion, established use, and obsolescence. The primary criterion for the adoption and abandonment of medical practices has been their impact on the health and well-being of the patient. However, it is also recognized that differences among competing technologies in their use of human and financial resources must be considered.

This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access.

Access this chapter

eBook
USD 16.99
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Available as PDF
  • Read on any device
  • Instant download
  • Own it forever
Softcover Book
USD 16.99
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Compact, lightweight edition
  • Dispatched in 3 to 5 business days
  • Free shipping worldwide - see info

Tax calculation will be finalised at checkout

Purchases are for personal use only

Institutional subscriptions

Preview

Unable to display preview. Download preview PDF.

Unable to display preview. Download preview PDF.

References

  • American Journal of Kidney Diseases Vol. 5, 1985.

    Google Scholar 

  • Bailey, R.C., Homer, L.D., and Summe, J.P. 1977. A proposal for the analysis of kidney graft survival. Transplantation 24: 309–313.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Brown, R., Grannemann, T., and Pauly, M. 1984. Cost of Hospital Outpatient Care. Technical Report to HCFA. Princeton, NJ: Mathematica.

    Google Scholar 

  • Bunker, J.P., Fowles, J., and Schaffarzik, R. 1982. Evaluation of medical technology strategies: Effects of coverage and reimbursement. New England Journal of Medicine 306: 620–624.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Buxton, M.J., and West, R.R. 1975. Cost—benefit analysis of long-term hemodialysis for chronic renal failure. British Medical Journal 2: 376–379.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Cox, D.R., and Oakes, D. 1984. Analysis of Survival Data. London: Chapman and Hall.

    Google Scholar 

  • Eggers, P.W. 1984. Trends in Medicare reimbursement for end-stage renal disease: 1974–1979. Health Care Financing Review 6: 31–38.

    Google Scholar 

  • Kaplan, E.L., and Meier, P. 1958. Nonparametric estimation from incomplete observations. Journal of the American Statistical Association 58: 457–481.

    Article  MathSciNet  Google Scholar 

  • Krakauer, H., Spees, E.K., Vaughn, W.K., Grauman, J.S., Summe, J.P., and Bailey, R.C. 1983. Assessment of prognostic factors and projection of outcomes in renal transplantation. Transplantation 36: 372–378.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • LeSourd, D.A., Fogel, M.E., and Johnston, D.R. 1968. Benefit—Cost Analysis of Kid-ney Disease Programs. PHS Publication No. 1941. Washington, DC: USGPO. Ludbrook, A. 1981. A cost-effectiveness analysis of the treatment of chronic renal failure. Applied Economics 13: 337–350.

    Google Scholar 

  • Office of Technology Assessment. 1984. Medical Technology and Costs of the Medicare Program. OTA-H-227. Washington, DC: USGPO.

    Google Scholar 

  • Reinhardt, U.E. 1981. Health Care Expenditure and the Economics of the “Health Care Trough, Special MATS Report, Attachment No. 1.

    Google Scholar 

  • Rimm, A.A., Weinstein, A.B., Piering, W., Lemann, J., Shelp, W.D., Kauffman, H.M., Hussey, J.L., and Giefer, E.E. 1978. A model for planning health in patients with end-stage renal disease. Archives of Internal Medicine 138: 1783–1786.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Roberts, S.D., Maxwell, D.R., and Gross, T.L. 1980. Cost-effective care for end-stage renal disease: A billion dollar question. Annals of Internal Medicine 92: 243–248.

    Google Scholar 

  • Stange, P., and Sumner, A. 1978. Predicting costs and life-expectancy for end-stage renal disease. New England Journal of Medicine 398: 372–378.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Towery, O.B., and Perry, S. 1981. The scientific basis for coverage decisions by third-party payers. Journal of the American Medical Association 245: 59–61.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Weinstein, M.C., and Stason, W.B. 1977. Foundations of cost-effectiveness analysis for health and medical practices. New England Journal of Medicine 296: 716–721.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • West, R.R., Crosby, D.L., and Jones, J.H. 1974. A mathematical model of an integrated haemodialysis and renal transplantation programme. British Journal of Preventive and Social Medicine 28: 149–155.

    Google Scholar 

Download references

Authors

Editor information

Editors and Affiliations

Rights and permissions

Reprints and permissions

Copyright information

© 1993 Springer-Verlag New York, Inc.

About this chapter

Cite this chapter

Krakauer, H. (1993). A Forecasting Model for the Assessment of Medical Technologies: End-Stage Renal Disease. In: Manton, K.G., Singer, B.H., Suzman, R.M. (eds) Forecasting the Health of Elderly Populations. Springer Series in Statistics. Springer, New York, NY. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-1-4613-9332-0_10

Download citation

  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-1-4613-9332-0_10

  • Publisher Name: Springer, New York, NY

  • Print ISBN: 978-1-4613-9334-4

  • Online ISBN: 978-1-4613-9332-0

  • eBook Packages: Springer Book Archive

Publish with us

Policies and ethics