Abstract
In the past decade, Markovian Analysis has been utilized for manpower planning purposes in a number of organizations. The main assumption in these models was the stability of the transition probabilities for turnover behavior. In real life this assumption is rarely met. In this paper a remedy for this problem is proposed. This remedy is the utilization of multiple transition matrices depending on the socio-economic changes in the work environment.
This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access.
Access this chapter
Tax calculation will be finalised at checkout
Purchases are for personal use only
Preview
Unable to display preview. Download preview PDF.
References
J.W. Merck, A. Markovian Model for Projecting Movements of Personnel Through a System, Technical Report 65–6 (1965)
H. Victor Vroom and Kenneth R. MacCrimmon, “Towards a Stochastic Model of Managerial Careers,” Administrative Science Quarterly, XIII (June, 1968), 24–46
Mason Haire, “Approach to an Integrated Personnel Policy,” Industrial Relations, VII (February, 1968), 107–117
Kendrith M. Rowland and Michael G. Sovereign, “Markov-chain Analysis of Internal Manpower Supply,” Industrial Relations IX (October 1969), 88–99
B.Curtis Eaton, “Studying Mass Layoff Through Markov Chains,” Industrial Relations, IX (October, 1970), 394–403
Uyar, Kivilcim M., “Markov-Chain Forecasts of Employee Replacement Needs,” Industrial Relations, Vol.11, No. 1, February 1972, pp.96–106.
Uyar, op.cit., pp. 96–106.
Common examples for this would be: Changes in national unemployment rate, supply and demand fluctuations, changes in management, etc.
The expected desired level of employment was not available for this analysis.
Author information
Authors and Affiliations
Editor information
Editors and Affiliations
Rights and permissions
Copyright information
© 1978 Plenum Press, New York
About this chapter
Cite this chapter
Uyar, K., Uyar, C.K. (1978). Manpower Planning Under Stochastic Turnover Behavior. In: Bryant, D.T., Niehaus, R.J. (eds) Manpower Planning and Organization Design. NATO Conference Series, vol 7. Springer, Boston, MA. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-1-4613-4622-7_26
Download citation
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-1-4613-4622-7_26
Publisher Name: Springer, Boston, MA
Print ISBN: 978-1-4613-4624-1
Online ISBN: 978-1-4613-4622-7
eBook Packages: Springer Book Archive