Abstract
This paper exaimines the issues of integrating human resources factors external to an organization with the demands from within. A comprehensive system of models is used to move from issue development to numerical results. On the supply side reservation wage models are used which have both economic and technological change segments. On the demand side, constrained regression is used to project manpower flow rates which are then used as input to a standard goal programming human resources planning model. The prototype numerical example uses the U.S. Navy science and engineering technicians as the target job group in three alternative economic scenarios.
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See chapter 10 of R. J. Niehaus, Computer-Assisted Human Resources Planning, (New York: Wiley Interscience, 1979) for a discussion of the issues of integrated human resource planning systems. The bibliography to this volume provides over 200 references to related work. Also see D. Bryant and R. J. Niehaus, Eds. Manpower Planning and Organization Design (New York: Plenum Publishing Co., 1978)
A more comprehensive version of this report will be prepared at a later date so that all the results will be explicitly available.
See D. M. Atwater and J. A. Sheridan, “Assessing the Availability of Non-workers for Jobs”, Human Resource Planning, Vol. 3, No. 4, 1980, pp. 211–218 and D. M. Atwater, R. J. Niehaus, and J. A. Sheridan “Labor Pool for Anti-bias Program Varies by Occupation and Job Market”, Monthly Labor Review, August 1981
In this case a goal programming model was used. See A. Charnes, W.W. Cooper, and R. J. Niehaus, Studies in Manpower Planning Available from the National Technical Information Service, Springfield, Va., Accession No. A 066952
Constrained regression models were introduced in A. Charnes, W. W. Cooper and R. Ferguson, “Optimal Estimation of Executive Compensation by Linear Programming”, Management Science, 1, No. 2, January 1955, 423–430.
There are no coefficients for flows from craft journeymen to mid-level technician because wage availability rates were always zero.
See A. Charnes, W. W. Cooper, K. A. Lewis, and R. J. Niehaus, Eds., Manpower Planning and Organization Design (New York: Plenum Publishing Co., 1978) and A. Charnes, W. W. Cooper, A. Nelson and R. J. Niehaus, “Some Prototype Studies in Goal-Arc Network Approaches for EEO Planning”, INFOR (forthcoming)
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© 1982 Plenum Press, New York
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Atwater, D.M., Bres, E., Niehaus, R.J., Sheridan, J.A. (1982). Integration of Technological Change into Human Resources Supply-Demand Models. In: Mensch, G., Niehaus, R.J. (eds) Work, Organizations, and Technological Change. NATO Conference Series, vol 11. Springer, Boston, MA. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-1-4613-3458-3_5
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