Abstract
Our understanding of zooplankton dynamics is constrained by the difficulty of estimating stage-specific vital rates from field data. In this paper, we approach demographic estimation as an inverse problem, using stage-classified matrix projection models. We allow the vital rates to vary between stages and over time, and do not assume stable age distributions or that discrete cohorts can be identified. We obtain least-squares estimates of survival and growth probabilities, which can be obtained from as few as three consecutive censuses. However, the estimates are ill-conditioned in the presence of sampling noise. Two regularization methods, truncated singular value decomposition and Tikhonov regularization (ridge regression) are examined as possible solutions.
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Caswell, H., Twombly, S. (1989). Estimation of Stage—Specific Demographic Parameters for Zooplankton Populations: Methods Based on Stage—Classified Matrix Projection Models. In: McDonald, L.L., Manly, B.F.J., Lockwood, J.A., Logan, J.A. (eds) Estimation and Analysis of Insect Populations. Lecture Notes in Statistics, vol 55. Springer, New York, NY. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-1-4612-3664-1_4
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DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-1-4612-3664-1_4
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