Abstract
As we write this final chapter, there is a foot of new snow on the ground in R.G.’s backyard in Salt Lake City, and the snow continues to fall. Last night three local television weather forecasters predicted we would only have two inches of snow, and all they had to do was predict one day into the future! With some trepidation, and without the equivalent of weather satellites and 40 years experience with forecasting, the authors will try to predict the future of computers and decision support systems in critical care. Our projections are based on two decades of experience and a generally optimistic outlook. We believe that seven broad areas will determine the pace of the future of computerized decision support in critical care:
-
1.
Human, cultural, and sociological issues relating to how computers will be used in the intensive care unit (ICU).
-
2.
Standardization in medicine and the ability to share medical knowledge will be essential.
-
3.
Expanded medical knowledge will lead to better patient care.
-
4.
Hardware and software will continue to advance at a rapid rate.
-
5.
Data acquisition methods and instrumentation will provide more accurate, timely, and less expensive measurements.
-
6.
Sharing of computer and clinical knowledge in computer form will become common and encouraged by government and the clinical community.
-
7.
Better methods for prognostic decision-making will enable medical practitioners and society to make better ethical decisions about health care.
Prediction is very difficult, especially about the future
This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution.
Buying options
Tax calculation will be finalised at checkout
Purchases are for personal use only
Learn about institutional subscriptionsPreview
Unable to display preview. Download preview PDF.
References
Greenbaum J, Kyng M. Design at Work: Cooperative Design of Computer Systems. Hillsdale, NJ: Lawrence Erlbaum Associates, 1991.
Wield PJ. Design Jet plotter user interface design: Learning the hard way about human interactions. Hewlett-Packard Journal 1992; 43(6): 12.
Shortliffe EH, Barnett GO. Medical data: Their acquisition, storage, and use. In: Medical Informatics: Computer Applications in Health Care. Reading, MA: Addison-Wesley, 1990; pp 37–69.
Humphreys BL, Lindberg DAB. Building a unified medical language system. SCAMC 1989; 13:475–480.
Humphreys BL, Lindberg DAB. The UMLS knowledge sources: Tools for building better user interfaces. SCAMC 1990; 14:121–125.
Huff SM, Warner HR. A comparison of Meta-1 and HELP terms: Implications for clinical data. SCAMC 1990; 14:166–169.
Humphreys BL, Lindberg DAB, Hole WT. Assessing and enhancing the value of the UMLS knowledge sources. SCAMC 1991; 15:78–82.
Masys DR. An evaluation of the source selection elements of the prototype UMLS information source map. SCAMC 1992; 16:295–298.
Chute CG, Yang Y. An evaluation of concept based latent semantic indexing for clinical information retrieval. SCAMC 1992; 16:639–643.
Clayton PD, Pryor TA, Wigertz OB, Hripcsak G. Issues and structures for sharing medical knowledge among decision-making systems: The 1989 Arden Homestead Retreat. SCAMC 1989; 13:116–121.
Clayton PD, Hripcsak, Pryor TA. Emerging standards for medical logic. SCAMC 1990; 14:27–31.
Hripcsak G, Clayton PD, Pryor TA, Haug P, Wigertz OB, Van der lei J. The Arden syntax for medical logic modules. SCAMC 1990; 14:200–204.
Shwe M, Sujansky W, Middleton B. Reuse of knowledge represented in the Arden Syntax. SCAMC 1992; 16:47–51.
Johansson BG, Wigertz OB. An object oriented approach to interpret medical knowledge based on Arden Syntax. SCAMC 1992; 16:52–56.
Bell TE. Annual Review—Technology 1993. IEEE Spectrum 1993; 30(1):24–25.
Comerford R. Technology 1993—PCs and workstations. IEEE Spectrum 1993; 30(l):26–29.
Comerford R. Technology 1993—Software. IEEE Spectrum 1993; 30(1):30–33.
Sarch R. Technology 1993—Data communications. IEEE Spectrum 1993; 30(l):42–44.
Stephenson J. Technology 1993—Medical electronics. IEEE Spectrum 1993; 30(l):76–79.
Eddy DM. Clinical decision making. JAMA 1990: 263:1265–1275.
Eddy DM. Practice policies—guidelines for methods. JAMA 1990; 263:1839–1841.
Eddy DM. Guidelines for policy statements: The explicit approach. JAMA 1990; 263:2239–2243.
Eddy DM. Designing a practice policy—Standards, guidelines, and options. JAMA 1990; 263:3077–3084.
Gallagher TJ. Guidelines for care: The time has come. Crit Care Med 1991; 19:138.
Scholtes PR. The Team Handbook: How To Use Teams To Improve Quality. Madison, WI: Joiner Associates, 1992.
East TD, Morris AH, Wallace CJ, Clemmer TP, Orme JF Jr, Weaver LK, Henderson S, Sittig DF. A strategy for development of computerized critical care decision support systems. Intl J Clin Monit Comput 1992; 8:263–269.
Guyatt G, et al. Guidelines for the clinical and economic evaluation of Health Care Technologies. Soc Sei Med 1986; 22:393–408.
Brook RH. Practice guidelines and practicing medicine—Are they compatible? JAMA 1989; 262:3027–3030.
Civetta JM. Critical care: How should we evaluate our progress? Crit Care Med 1992;20:1714–1720.
Loch S, Terry D. Information filtering. Communications of the ACM 1992; 35(12):27–28.
Belkin NJ, Croft WB. Information filtering and information retrieval: Two sides of the same coin? Communications of the ACM 1992; 35(12):29–38.
Loeb S. Architecting personalized delivery of multimedia information. Communications of the ACM 1992; 35(12):39–50.
Foltz PW, Dumais ST. Personalized information delivery: An analysis of information filtering methods. Communications of the ACM 1992; 35(12):51–60.
Goldberg D, Nichols D, Oki BM, Terry D. Using collaborative filtering to weave an information tapestry. Communications of the ACM 1992; 35(12);61–70.
Editor information
Editors and Affiliations
Rights and permissions
Copyright information
© 1994 Springer-Verlag New York Inc.
About this chapter
Cite this chapter
Gardner, R.M., Shabot, M.M. (1994). The Future of Computerized Decision Support in Critical Care. In: Shabot, M.M., Gardner, R.M. (eds) Decision Support Systems in Critical Care. Computers and Medicine. Springer, New York, NY. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-1-4612-2698-7_25
Download citation
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-1-4612-2698-7_25
Publisher Name: Springer, New York, NY
Print ISBN: 978-0-387-97799-7
Online ISBN: 978-1-4612-2698-7
eBook Packages: Springer Book Archive