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An Optimisation Technique For Robust Autoregressive Estimates

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Athens Conference on Applied Probability and Time Series Analysis

Part of the book series: Lecture Notes in Statistics ((LNS,volume 115))

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Abstract

The robust estimation of the autoregressive parameters is formulated in terms of the quadratic programming problem. This article follows a proposal of Mallows, using simultaneously two weight functions. New robust estimates are yielded, by combining optimally the Huber-type “ residual” weight function with a “ position ” weight function. The behavior of the estimators is studied numerically, under the additive and innovation outlier generating model. Monte Carlo results show that the proposed estimators compared favorably with respect to M-estimators and Bounded Influence estimators(GM-estimators). Based on these results we conclude that one can improve the robust properties of Ar(p) estimators using the proposed optimization technique.

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© 1996 Springer-Verlag New York, Inc.

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Camarinopoulos, L., Zioutas, G., Bora-Senta, E. (1996). An Optimisation Technique For Robust Autoregressive Estimates. In: Robinson, P.M., Rosenblatt, M. (eds) Athens Conference on Applied Probability and Time Series Analysis. Lecture Notes in Statistics, vol 115. Springer, New York, NY. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-1-4612-2412-9_8

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  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-1-4612-2412-9_8

  • Publisher Name: Springer, New York, NY

  • Print ISBN: 978-0-387-94787-7

  • Online ISBN: 978-1-4612-2412-9

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