Abstract
This chapter concerns the role of information in financial markets. The chapter starts by studying the value of information from the point of view of an individual agent and then proceeds by analysing the impact of information in the economy. This leads to the introduction of the notion of Green-Lucas equilibrium and, in particular, to the question of whether equilibrium prices transmit, aggregate and reveal the agents’ private information. This concept is intrinsically linked to the informational efficiency of financial markets and provides a microfoundation to the efficient markets theory. In the chapter, the possibility or the impossibility of informationally efficient markets is discussed and established in the context of several models. The chapter closes by briefly examining the case where agents may exhibit heterogeneous opinions and surveying the empirical evidence on the informational efficiency of financial markets.
We must look at the price system as a […] mechanism for communicating information if we want to understand its real function.
Hayek (1945)
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- 1.
Given two random variables \(\tilde{x}_{1}\) and \(\tilde{x}_{2}\), we say that the law of \(\tilde{x}_{2}\) is a mean-preserving spread of the law of \(\tilde{x}_{1}\) if it holds that \(\tilde{x}_{2}\) is equal in law to \(\tilde{x}_{1} +\tilde{ z}\), where \(\tilde{z}\) is a random variable satisfying \(\mathbb{E}[\,\tilde{z}\,\vert \tilde{x}_{1}] = 0\) (compare with part (iii) of Proposition 2.10).
- 2.
For the sake of simplicity and without loss of generality, we assume that the initial wealth of each agent is non-random. In the original paper Grossman & Stiglitz [849], the initial wealth is specified in terms of the two traded securities and, hence, depends on the equilibrium price, which is in turn random.
- 3.
Sunspots represent publicly observable extrinsic events that do not affect the fundamentals of the economy, i.e., do not affect the agents’ endowments, preferences, budget constraints and information.
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Barucci, E., Fontana, C. (2017). Information and Financial Markets. In: Financial Markets Theory. Springer Finance(). Springer, London. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-1-4471-7322-9_8
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