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Volatility Dynamics for a Single Underlying: Advanced Methods

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Asymptotic Chaos Expansions in Finance

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Abstract

This chapter is dedicated to generalising the ACE approach and its results. These extensions are performed in several directions, which offer some practical and/or some mathematical interest. First we describe the generic ACE methodology solving the direct problem at an arbitrary order. We then apply this algorithm to compute meaningful IATM differentials, all located within the second and third layers, which we can then exploit and interpret. Next we discuss alternative baselines to Black’s model, and how to transfer IATM information between them. We then introduce a major structural extension, by considering the multi-dimensional framework. We follow the evolution of the inverse and direct problems, and illustrate these results with the case of generic baskets.

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Notes

  1. 1.

    See [4], for instance.

  2. 2.

    Principal Component Analysis.

  3. 3.

    This would be a priori useful in FX markets, for instance, where the smile level is quoted w.r.t. Straddles, and the curvatures in terms of Strangles.

  4. 4.

    Note that mid-curve options are already treatable within our framework, but nowhere near liquid enough: see p. 276.

  5. 5.

    We note for future reference that there are several other available classes of baselines, in particular in the factor model class. There is, for instance, substantial literature on various quadratic Gaussian parametrisations, but transferring our methodology to this environment requires a brand new derivation.

  6. 6.

    For instance, the boundary conditions associated to the uniqueness of a solution when \(0<\beta \le \frac{1}{2}\), or the existence/integrability constraints when \(\beta >1\).

  7. 7.

    Typically the machine epsilon and more generally underflow issues.

  8. 8.

    For instance, float vs double.

  9. 9.

    Selecting a good cumulative Normal approximation is usually important.

  10. 10.

    Obviously single-dimensional, typically using a Gaussian quadrature.

  11. 11.

    More precisely, that the unit of \(\widetilde{\varSigma }^{(n)}_{y^n}(\star )\) should be \(\Vert \overrightarrow{\sigma }_t\Vert ^{1-n}\). Certainly in the bi-dimensional setting, as was shown in Sect. 3.2, this property is verified for \(\widetilde{\varSigma }{}^{'}_{y}(\star )\), \(\widetilde{\varSigma }{}^{''}_{yy}(\star )\), \(\widetilde{\varSigma }{}^{'''}_{yyy}(\star )\) and \(\widetilde{\varSigma }{}^{(4')}_{y^4}(\star )\).

  12. 12.

    Pun intended.

  13. 13.

    Consumer Price Index.

  14. 14.

    Indeed, as we will recall in Chap. 7, a par swap rate can be written as a basket of Libor rates, but with stochastic (albeit relatively stable) weights.

  15. 15.

    Actually, a series of smiles for benchmark expiries and therefore the associated marginal distributions.

  16. 16.

    All sharing the same initial value as the underlying.

  17. 17.

    Whereas the tensorial inner product, such as \(\mathbf{A}_{2,t} \overrightarrow{c_{2,t}}\), is left implicit.

  18. 18.

    By denoting \(dS^i_t=\overrightarrow{\gamma _{i,t}}^{\bot } d\overrightarrow{W}_t\)  and  \(dM_t = \overrightarrow{\gamma _t}^{\bot } d\overrightarrow{W}_t\).

  19. 19.

    We specify this property in the weak sense, but dynamically: in other words, all components follow the same SDE but respond to independent drivers, generating the same, but orthogonal, marginal laws.

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Nicolay, D. (2014). Volatility Dynamics for a Single Underlying: Advanced Methods. In: Asymptotic Chaos Expansions in Finance. Springer Finance(). Springer, London. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-1-4471-6506-4_3

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