Abstract
This paper presents a methodology for selecting facilities to be inspected combining game theory with qualitative measures of risk. The Chemical Weapons Convention is used as an illustrative example.
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References
Treaty on the Non-Proliferation of Nuclear Weapons, INFCIRC/140, International Atomic Energy Agency, Vienna, 1970.
The Structure and Content of Agreements and States Required in Connection with the Treaty on the Non-Proliferation of Nuclear Weapons, INFCIRC/153, International Atomic Energy Agency, Vienna, 1971.
Convention on the Prohibition of the Development, Production, Stockpiling and Use of Chemical Weapons and on Their Destruction, United States Arms Control And Disarmament Agency, Washington, DC, October 1993.
Ibid., Articles IV, V and VI.
N. Kyriakopoulos, “A Model for Monitoring the Production and Distribution of Thiodiglycol”, in S. J. Lundin (ed), Verification of Dual-Use Chemicals under the Chemical Weapons Convention: The Case of Thiodiglycol, SIPRI Chemical and Biological Warfare Studies, No. 13, Oxford University Press, 1991.
R. Avenhaus, M. Canty, Compliance Quantified: An Introduction to Verification Theory, Cambridge University Press, in print.
J. Nash, “Non-Cooperative Games”, Annals of Mathematics, 54.2, pp. 286–295, 1951.
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© 1996 Springer-Verlag London
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Kyriakopoulos, N., Avenhaus, R. (1996). Modeling for Risk in the Absence of Sufficient Data: A Strategy for Treaty Verification. In: Cacciabue, P.C., Papazoglou, I.A. (eds) Probabilistic Safety Assessment and Management ’96. Springer, London. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-1-4471-3409-1_33
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DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-1-4471-3409-1_33
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