Skip to main content

DAPHNE: a neural network based short-term load forecasting program. Application to an autonomous power system.

  • Conference paper
Advances in Manufacturing

Part of the book series: Advanced Manufacturing ((ADVMANUF))

Abstract

Accurate short term load forecasting (STLF) is a necessary part of resource management for a power generation company. The more precise the hourly load forecast, the more closely the power generation assets of the company can be configured to minimize the cost. Significant forecasting errors can lead to either overly conservative or overly risky scheduling, which can in turn induce heavy economic penalties [1]. Deregulation and consequent increase in competition makes a company’s ability to accurate forecasts an important contributor to its future success [2]. Automating the load forecasting process is a profitable goal and neural networks provide an excellent means of doing the automation [3].

This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access.

Access this chapter

Chapter
USD 29.95
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Available as PDF
  • Read on any device
  • Instant download
  • Own it forever
eBook
USD 84.99
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Available as PDF
  • Read on any device
  • Instant download
  • Own it forever
Softcover Book
USD 109.99
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Compact, lightweight edition
  • Dispatched in 3 to 5 business days
  • Free shipping worldwide - see info

Tax calculation will be finalised at checkout

Purchases are for personal use only

Institutional subscriptions

Preview

Unable to display preview. Download preview PDF.

Unable to display preview. Download preview PDF.

References

  1. IEEE/Power Engineering Society 96TP112–0 1996 A tutorial course on Artificial Neural Networks with Applications to Power Systems. (eds) M. El-Sharkawi and D. Niebur IEEE

    Google Scholar 

  2. D. Niebur et al. 1995 Artificial neural networks for Power Systems. CIGRE TF38.06.06 Report Electro 159:77–101

    Google Scholar 

  3. W.J. Gerber 1997 CoSS. STRICOM US Army, research paper (http://www- mskeg.stricom.army.mil/papers/Gerber/).

    Google Scholar 

  4. G. Gross and F.D. Galiana 1987 Short term load forecasting. Proc. IEEE 75:1558- 1573

    Google Scholar 

  5. A.D. Papalexopoulos and T.C. Hesterberg 1990 A Regression-Based Approach to Short Term System Load Forecasting. IEEE Trans, on Power Systems 5:1535–1547

    Article  Google Scholar 

  6. S. Ranman and R. Bhatnagar 1988 An expert system based algorithm for short term load forecast.IEEE Trans, on Power Systems 3:392–399

    Article  Google Scholar 

  7. D C. Park, MA. El-Sharkawi, R.J. Marks, L.E. Atlas and M.J. Damborg 1991 Electric Load Forecasting Using an Artificial Naural Network. IEEE Trans, on Power Systems 6: 442–449

    Article  Google Scholar 

  8. O. Mohammed, D. Park, R. Merchant, T. Dinli, C. Tong, A. Azeem, J. Farah and C. Drake 1995 Practical Experiences with an Adaptive Neural Network Short Term Load Forecasting System.IEEE Trans, on Power Systems 10: 254–265

    Article  Google Scholar 

  9. A.D. Papalexopoulos, S. How and T.M. Peng 1994 An Implementation of a Neural Network based Load Forecasting Model for the EMS. IEEE Trans, on Power Systems 9: 1956–1962

    Article  Google Scholar 

  10. A.G. Bakirtzis, V. Petridis, S.J. Kiartzis, M.C. Alexiadis and A.FI. Maissis 1996 A Neural Network Short Term Load Forecasting Model for the Greek Power System. IEEE Trans, on Power Systems 11:858–863

    Article  Google Scholar 

  11. A.G. Bakirtzis, J.B. Theochans, S.J. Kiartzis and K.J. Satsios 1995 Short Term Load Forecasting Using Fuzzy Neural Networks. IEEE Trans, on Power Systems 10:1518- 1524

    Article  Google Scholar 

  12. D. Srinivasan, C.S. Chang and A.C. Liew 1995 Demand Forecasting Using Fuzzy Neural Computation, with special emphasis on weekend and public holiday forecasting. IEEE Trans, on Power Systems 10:1897–1903

    Article  Google Scholar 

  13. S. Papadakis. J. Theochans. S. Kiartzis and A. Bakirtzis 1998 A Novel Approach to Short-term Load Forecasting using Fuzzy Neural Networks. IEEE Trans, on Power Systems 13:480–492

    Article  Google Scholar 

  14. A. Khotanzad, R.C. Hwang, A. Abaye and D.J. Maratukulam 1995 An Adaptive Modular Artificial Neural Network Hourly Load Forecaster and its Implementation at Electric Utilities. IEEE Trans, on Power Systems 10:1716–1722

    Article  Google Scholar 

  15. A. Piras, A. Germond, B. Buchenel, K. Imhof and Y. Jaccard 1996 Heterogeneous Artificial Neural Network for Short Term Electrical Load Forecasting. IEEE Trans, on Power Systems 11:397–402

    Article  Google Scholar 

Download references

Authors

Rights and permissions

Reprints and permissions

Copyright information

© 1999 Springer-Verlag London Limited

About this paper

Cite this paper

Kiartzis, S.J., Papadakis, S.E., Theocharis, J.B., Bakirtzis, A.G., Petridis, V. (1999). DAPHNE: a neural network based short-term load forecasting program. Application to an autonomous power system.. In: Advances in Manufacturing. Advanced Manufacturing. Springer, London. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-1-4471-0855-9_17

Download citation

  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-1-4471-0855-9_17

  • Publisher Name: Springer, London

  • Print ISBN: 978-1-4471-1217-4

  • Online ISBN: 978-1-4471-0855-9

  • eBook Packages: Springer Book Archive

Publish with us

Policies and ethics