Skip to main content

The Future

  • Chapter
  • First Online:
Handbook of Global Logistics

Abstract

We speculate on the prospects for Global Logistics over the next 10–15 years. Three international transformations are emphasized: (1) Global trade will be enhanced, but often shifted to new regions (Asia, Africa). (2) Climate change will negatively affect ports and landside infrastructure, while possibly allowing faster transportation between Europe and Asia (through an Arctic Ocean that may become ice free). (3) Continued digital processing power, wireless communication and the internet will allow tracking of all logistical and transportation movements. Non-visible inventory will be the exception. Intelligent transportation technology, including next-generation air traffic control, will increase the efficient utilization of transport infrastructure. We offer considered opinions, backed by examples and references where we can, on the three main changes and others. Particular assumptions that we have made are highlighted throughout.

This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access.

Access this chapter

Chapter
USD 29.95
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Available as PDF
  • Read on any device
  • Instant download
  • Own it forever
eBook
USD 299.00
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Available as EPUB and PDF
  • Read on any device
  • Instant download
  • Own it forever
Softcover Book
USD 379.99
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Compact, lightweight edition
  • Dispatched in 3 to 5 business days
  • Free shipping worldwide - see info
Hardcover Book
USD 379.99
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Durable hardcover edition
  • Dispatched in 3 to 5 business days
  • Free shipping worldwide - see info

Tax calculation will be finalised at checkout

Purchases are for personal use only

Institutional subscriptions

Notes

  1. 1.

    www.supplychainasia.org

  2. 2.

    Bookbinder and Fox (1998) obtain non-dominated tradeoffs between time and cost in the context of NAFTA logistics. By varying a parameter analogous to the carrying cost of the goods transported, they determine whether a specific decrease in lead time merits the required increment in cost. This is an example of “at the end”.

  3. 3.

    Brazil, Russia, India, China.

  4. 4.

    See Henkow and Norrman (2011) for a thorough discussion of the ways in which a tax system can affect the design and operation of a global supply chain.

  5. 5.

    Carbon dioxide capture and storage.

  6. 6.

    Canadian hockey fans will especially understand.

References

  • Alaska Canada Rail Link (undated). Project feasibility study. http://alaskacanadarail.com/index.html

  • Amadeo K (2012) Panama canal expansion impact on U.S. economy. Available at http://useconomy.about.com/od/tradepolicy/p/. Accessed 5 Jan 2012

  • Anderson WP, Leinbach TR (2007) E-commerce, logistics and the future of globalized freight. In: Leinbach TR, Capineri C (eds) Globalized freight transport: intermodality, e-commerce, logistics and sustainability, Chapter 6. Elgar Publishing, Northampton

    Google Scholar 

  • Baer W, Cavalcanti T, Silva P (2002) Economic integration without policy coordination: the case of Mercosur. Emerg Markets Rev 3:269–291

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Ballou RH (2007) The evolution and future of logistics and supply chain management. Eur Bus Rev 19(4): 332–348

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Baluch, I. (2005) Transport logistics: past, present and predictions. Winning Books, UAE Dubai

    Google Scholar 

  • Banomyong R (2013) The Greater Mekong Sub-region of Southeast Asia: improving logistics connectivity. In: Bookbinder JH (ed) Global logistics, Springer, New York

    Google Scholar 

  • Bhatnagar R , Teo C-C (2009) Role of logistics in enhancing competitive advantage: a value chain framework for global supply chains. Int J Phys Distrib Logistics Manage 39(3): 202–226

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Bock S (2010) Real-time control of freight forwarder transportation networks by integrating multimodal transport chains. Eur J Operational Res 200(3): 733–746

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Bookbinder JH, Fox NS (1998) Intermodal routing of Canada-Mexico shipments under NAFTA. Transp Res E 34(4): 289–303

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Bookbinder JH, Matuk TA (2009) Logistics and transportation in global supply chains: review, critique and prospects. In: M. Oskoorouchi (Ed.), Tutorials in Operations Res, Chapter 9 (82–211). DOI: 10.1287/educ. 1090.0059

  • Brown DK, Kiyota K, Stern RM (2005) Computational analysis of the free trade area of the Americas (FTAA). North Am J Econ Finance 16(2): 153–185

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Chen F, Lee C-Y (2013) Logistics in China. In: Bookbinder JH (ed) Global logistics. Springer, New York

    Google Scholar 

  • Chou, C-C (2010) Application of FMCDM model to selecting the hub location in the marine transportation: a case study in southeastern Asia. Math Compu Modell 51(5–6): 791–801

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Christensen CM (1997) The innovator’s dilemma: when new technologies cause great firms to fail. Harvard Business School Press, Boston ISBN 978-0-87584-585-2

    Google Scholar 

  • Diaz A, Solis L, Claes B (2011) Improving logistics and supply chain management in Spain: an analysis of current practices and future requirements. Int J Logistics Syst Manage 9(2): 150–169

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Ding J-F (2009) Identifying key capabilities to determine core competence for ocean carrier-based logistics service providers. Int J Innovative Comput Inf Control 5(9): 2627–2644

    Google Scholar 

  • Groothede B, Ruijgrok C, Tavasszy L (2005) Towards collaborative, intermodal hub networks: a case study in the fast moving consumer goods market. Transp Res E 41(6): 567–583

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Gutierrez GJ, Kouvelis P (1995) A robustness approach to international sourcing. Ann Oper Res 59 165–193

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Henkow O, Norrman A (2011) Tax aligned global supply chains: environmental impact illustrations, legal restrictions and cross functional flow charts. Int J Phys Distrib Logistics Manage 41(9): 878–895

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Hilmola OP (2011) North European companies and major Eurasian countries—future outlook on logistics flows and their sustainability. Int J Shipping Transport Logistics 3(3): 100–121

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Hu ZH, Yang B, Huang YF, Meng YP (2010) Visualization framework for container supply chain by information acquisition and presentation technologies. J Softw 5(11): 1236–1242

    Google Scholar 

  • Hurme P (2011) Panama Canal vs. West Coast Intermodal? Not Exactly. Cargo Business News, 18–21 June 2011

    Google Scholar 

  • Jansen HGP, Morley S, Kessler G, Piñeiro V, Sánchez M, Torero M (2007) The Impact of the Central America free trade agreement on the Central American textile maquila industry. International food policy research institute (IFPRI) vol 720

    Google Scholar 

  • Janssen A (2010) The 6th mode. Logistics magazine, Sep–Oct 19–23

    Google Scholar 

  • Kouvelis P, Su P (2007) The structure of global supply chains. Now publications, Inc. Hanover

    Google Scholar 

  • Kumar S, Pauly S, Budin E (2007) Impact of radio frequency identification technology on manufacturing and logistics: challenges and issues. Int J Manuf Technol Manage 10(1): 57–70

    Google Scholar 

  • Liou JJH, Chuang YT (2010) Developing a hybrid multi-criteria model for selection of outsourcing providers. Expert Syst Appl 37(5): 3755–3761

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Lynch ME, Imada SJ, Bookbinder JH (1994) The future of logistics in Canada: a delphi-based forecast. Logistics Transp Rev 30(1): 95–112

    Google Scholar 

  • Memedovic O, Ojala L, Rodrigue JP, Naula T (2008) Fuelling the global value chains: What role for logistics capabilities? Int J Technol Learn Innov Dev 1(3): 353–374

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Nair R, Miller-Hooks ED, Mahmassani HS, Arcot VC, Kuo A, Zhang K, Kozuki A, Ludvigsen J (2008) Market Potential for international rail-based intermodal services in Europe: from sea to shining sea. Transp Res Record 2066(1): 21–30

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Perego A, Perotti S, Mangiaracina R (2011) ICT for logistics and freight transportation: a literature review and research agenda. Int J Phys Distrib Logistics Manage 41(5): 457–483

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Prentice BE, Fan L (2005) The Eurasian land bridge—an economic perspective of a new transportation corridor between Europe and China Canadian transportation research forum. Proceedings issue: 40th Annual Meeting (2005): 597–610. ISBN 0-9737440-0-6

    Google Scholar 

  • Prentice BE, Thomson J (2010) Economics of airships for northern resupply. Available at http://isopolar.ca/publications.html Accessed 13 Jan 2012

  • Salazar-Xirinachs JM (2002) Proliferation of sub-regional trade agreements in the Americas: an assessment of key analytical and policy issues. J Asian Econ 13(2): 181–212

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Santoso T, Ahmed S, Goetschalckx M, Shapiro A (2005) A stochastic programming approach for supply chain network design under uncertainty. Eur J Operational Res 167(1): 96–115

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Schmidt G, Wilhelm WE (2000) Strategic, tactical and operational decisions in multinational logistics networks: a review and discussion of modelling issues. Int J Prod Res 38(7):1501–1523

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Shi X, Chan S (2010) information systems and information technologies for supply chain management. Chap. 13 , 208–226 in Waters

    Google Scholar 

  • Stecke KE, Kumar S (2009) Sources of supply chain disruptions, factors that breed vulnerability, and mitigating strategies. J Marketing Channels 16(3): 193–226

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Straube F, Nagel A, Rief D (2010) Trends and strategies in global logistics. Chap. 3 in Waters (2010), 31–48

    Google Scholar 

  • Tavana M, Sodenkamp MA, Suhl L (2010) A soft multi-criteria decision analysis model with application to the European Union enlargement. Ann Oper Res 181 393–421

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Vassallo JM, Fagan M (2007) Nature or nurture: why do railroads carry greater freight share in the United States than in Europe? Transportation 34(2): 177–193

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Vidal CJ, Goetschalckx M (2001) A global supply chain model with transfer pricing and transportation cost allocation. Eur J Operational Res 129(1): 134–158

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Waters D (ed) (2010) Global logistics: new directions in supply chain management. Philadelphia 6th edn Kogan Page Ltd

    Google Scholar 

  • World City (2011) Panama Canal expansion potentially a ‘game changer’ for Miami, South Florida. 15 Mar 2011. Available at www.worldcityweb.com/trade-connections-listing/781 Accessed 30 Jan 2012

Download references

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

Authors

Corresponding author

Correspondence to James H. Bookbinder .

Editor information

Editors and Affiliations

Rights and permissions

Reprints and permissions

Copyright information

© 2013 Springer Science+Business Media New York

About this chapter

Cite this chapter

Bookbinder, J.H., Prentice, B.E. (2013). The Future. In: Bookbinder, J. (eds) Handbook of Global Logistics. International Series in Operations Research & Management Science, vol 181. Springer, New York, NY. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-1-4419-6132-7_21

Download citation

Publish with us

Policies and ethics