Abstract
In weather forecasts, one often hears a sentence such as “the probability of rain tomorrow is 50 percent.” What does this mean? Something like: “If we look at all possible tomorrows, in half of them there will be rain” or “if we make the experiment of observing tomorrow, there is a quantifiable chance of having rain tomorrow, and somehow or other this chance was quantified as being 1/2.” To make sense of this, we formalize the notions of experimental outcome, event, and probability.
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© 2009 Springer-Verlag New York
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Chorin, A.J., Hald, O.H. (2009). Probability. In: Stochastic Tools in Mathematics and Science. Surveys and Tutorials in the Applied Mathematical Sciences, vol 1. Springer, New York, NY. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-1-4419-1002-8_2
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DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-1-4419-1002-8_2
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