Tacking and Epistemic Luck
According to my theory, paired down, a method of belief-formation is justificatory if it is counterfactually sensitive to falsity. The method is not required to be sensitive to truth. Thus, mine is not a tracking theory; belief-formation does not covary with, or track, truth-value.This is unfortunate with respect to our epistemic goal. But it was to be anticipated. It reflects the greater relative importance of falsity-aversion over truth-acquisition within this goal. Believing falsely is epistemically worse than failing to believe truly. No general method can guarantee the acquisition of truth and nothing but.
KeywordsTrue Belief Blue Paint Epistemic Luck Epistemic Goal Counterfactual Situation
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