Abstract
The issue of climate change has been presented mostly as a change in long-term means, mainly in terms of air temperature and precipitation totals. In the IPCC (2001) report there was for the first time a discussion on a possible change in the shape of distribution curves of individual climatic phenomena, specifically the change in probability densities in the time series from different periods. The basic alternatives of shift of distribution curves are presented in Fig. 1.
Access this chapter
Tax calculation will be finalised at checkout
Purchases are for personal use only
Preview
Unable to display preview. Download preview PDF.
References
Alila Y (1999) A hierarchical approach for the regionalization of precipitation annual maxima in Canada. J. Geophys. Res., 104(D24), 31, 645–31, 656
Bradley AA (1998) Regional frequency analysis methods for evaluating changes in hydrologic extremes. Water Resour. Res., 34(4), 741–750
Castellarin A, Burn DH, Brath A (2001) Assessing the effectiveness of hydrological similarity measures for flood frequency analysis. J. Hydrol., 241, 270–287
Cebulak E, Faško P, Lapin M, Št’astný P (2000) Extreme precipitation events in the Western Carpathians. In: Prace geograficzne – Zeszyt 108, Images of Weather and Climate, Cracow, Inst. of Geography, Jagelonian Univer., Cracow, Poland, 117–124
Coles S (2001) An introduction to statistical modeling of extreme values. Springer-Verlag, London, 222 pp
Dzubák M (1969) Estimation of maximum daily precipitation totals principle using global probability curves of exceeding. Vodohospodársky časopis SAV, Bratislava, Slovakia, 17(3), 209–225 (in Slovak)
Faško P, Lapin M, Št’astný P, Vívoda J (2000) Maximum daily sums of precipitation in Slovakia in the second half of 20th century. In: Prace geograficzne – Zeszyt 108, Images of Weather and Climate, Cracow, Inst. of Geography, Jagelonian Univer., Cracow, Poland, 131–138
Faško P, Lapin M, Št’astný P (2002) Evaluation of high daily precipitation totals in Slovakia. In: Proc. of the Conference “100th anniversary of academician Dub‘s birth”, Slovak Hydrometeorological Institute, Bratislava, Slovakia, Oct. 10, 2002, 37–38. (in Slovak)
Faško P, Lapin M, Sekáčová Z, Št’astný P (2003a) Extraordinary climatic anomaly in 2003. Slovak Meteorological Journal, 6(3), 3–7
Faško P, Št’astný P, Vívoda J (2003b) The orography influence on the maximum daily sums of precipitation in Slovakia. In: Proc. of the Int. Conf. on Alpine Meteorol. and MAP2003 Meeting, Brig, Switzerland, May 19–23, 2003. Publ. of MeteoSwiss, No. 66
Faško P, Gaál L, Lapin M, Pecho J, Št’astný P (2006) Contribution to the issues of the estimation of design values of daily precipitation totals. In: Proc. of the Seminary “80th anniversary of Milan Dzubák‘s birth”, Slovak Hydrometeorological Institute, Bratislava, Slovakia, 19–26 (in Slovak)
Franks SW (2002) Identification of a change in climate state using regional flood data. Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sc., 6(1), 11–16
Gaál L, Lapin M (2002) Extreme several day precipitation totals at the Hurbanovo observatory (Slovakia) during the 20th century. Contributions to Geophysics and Geodesy, 32(3), 197–213
Gaál L, Lapin M, Faško P (2004) Maximum daily precipitation totals in Slovakia. In: Rožnovský J, Litschmann T (eds): Proc. of the Seminary “Extremes of Weather and Climate”, Brno, Czech Republic, March 11, 2004. Czech Bioclimatological Society, 15pp. [CD ROM]. (in Slovak)
Gaál L (2006) Methods for estimation of statistical characteristics of design k-day precipitation totals in Slovakia. Ph.D. Thesis, Comenius University Bratislava, Slovakia, 227pp. (in Slovak)
Guide WMO, No. 100 (1983) Guide to climatological practices. 2nd ed. WMO, Geneva, Switzerland
Hosking JRM, Wallis JR (1997) Regional frequency analysis: An approach based on L-moments. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, 224pp
IPCC (1998) The regional impacts of climate change. An assessment of vulnerability. Watson RT, Zinyowera MC, Moss RH, (eds.): A special report of IPCC WG II. Cambridge University Press, 518 pp
IPCC (2001) Climate change 2001: The scientific basis. Contribution of Working Group 1 to the Third Assessment Report of the IPCC. Cambridge University Press, 944pp
IPCC (2007) IPCC Fourth Assessment Report. Working Group I Report “The Physical Science Basis”. Oct. 2007. 996pp. Available at: http://www.ipcc.ch/ipccreports/ar4-wg1.htm
Jakob D, Reed DW, Robson AJ (1999) Selecting a pooling-group. In: Flood Estimation Handbook, Vol. 3. Institute of Hydrology, Wallingford, UK
Kharin VV, Zwiers FW (2000) Changes in the extremes in an ensemble of transient climate simulations with a coupled atmosphere-ocean GCM. J. Clim., 13, 3760–3788
Kohnová S, Szolgay J (2003) Regional estimation of the index flood and the standard deviation of the summer floods in the Tatry mountains. J. Hydrol. Hydromech., 51(4), 241–255
Kohnová S, Szolgay J, Gaál L (2004) Estimation of design 5-day maximum precipitation totals in the upper Hron region. Slovak Meteorological Journal, 7(2), 79–83
Kohnová S, Lapin M, Szolgay J, Gaál L (2005a) Methodology for the selection of 10-day maximum precipitation totals and their statistical analysis in the upper Hron region. Contributions to Geophysics and Geodesy, 35(3), 299–318
Kohnová S, Gaál L, Szolgay J, Hlavčová K (2005b) Analysis of heavy precipitation amounts in the Upper Hron region. Faculty of Civil Engineering, Slovak University of Technology, Bratislava, Slovakia, 120pp (in Slovak)
Kohnová S, Szolgay J, Solín L’, Hlavčová K (2006) Regional methods for prediction in ungauged basins. Key Publishing, Ostrava, Czech Republic, 113pp
Kumar R, Chatterjee Ch (2005) Regional flood frequency analysis using L-moments for North Brahmaputra region of India. J. Hydrologic Engrg., 10(1), 1–7
Kyselý J (2002) Comparison of extremes in GCM-simulated, downscaled and observed central-European temperature series. Clim. Res., 20, 211–222
Kyselý J, Picek J (2006) Regional growth curves and improved design value estimates of extreme precipitation events in the Czech Republic. Clim. Res., 33, 243–255
Kyselý J, Picek J, Huth R (2007) Formation of homogeneous regions for regional frequency analysis of extreme precipitation events in the Czech Republic. Studia Geophysica et Geodaetica, 51(2), 327–344
Lapin M, Tomlain J (2001) General and Regional Climatology. Comenius University, Bratislava, Slovakia, 184pp (in Slovak)
Lapin M, Damborská I, Melo M (2001) Scenarios of several physically plausible climatic elements. Slovak National Climate Program, VI, No. 11, Slovak Hydrometeorological Institute and Ministry of the Environment of the Slovak Republic, Bratislava, Slovakia, 5–30. (in Slovak with English summary)
Lapin M, Melo M (2002) Scenarios of time series for 10 climatic elemets and the 2001–2090 period based on the GCMs CCCM2000 and GISS98. In: Rožnovský J, Litschmann T (eds): Proc. of the XIVth Czecho-Slovak Bioclimatological Conference “Bioclimate-Environment-Economy”, Lednice, Czech Republic, Sept. 2–4, 2002. Czech Bioclimatological Society, 254–266. [CD ROM]. (in Slovak)
Lapin M (2003) Changes in meteorological conditions of flood risks during changing climate. Životné prostredie, 37(4), 184–190 (in Slovak)
Lapin M, Hlavčová K (2003) Changes in summer type of flash floods in the Slovak Carpathians due to changing climate. In: Proc. of the Int. Conf. on Alpine Meteorol. and MAP2003 Meeting, Brig, Switzerland, May 19–23, 2003. Publ. of MeteoSwiss, No. 66, 105–108
Lapin M, Melo M (2003) Possibilities of climatic scenarios design with daily values and extremes, based on the newest GCMs. In: Proc. of the Int. Conf. “The function of the energy and water balance in bioclimatological systems”, Račková dolina, Slovakia, Sept. 2–4, 2003. [CD ROM]. (in Slovak)
Lapin M, Hlavčová K, Petrovič P (2003) Climate change impacts on hydrological processes. In: Proc. of the Int. Conf. “Hydrology at the beginning of the 21st century”, Smolenice, Slovakia, May 5–7, 2003. [CD ROM]. (in Slovak)
Lapin M, Melo M, Damborská I, Gera M (2004) Scenarios of precipitation totals during extreme weather events in Slovakia. In: Rožnovský J, Litschmann T (eds): Proc. of the Seminary “Extremes of Weather and Climate” , Brno, Czech Republic, March 11, 2004. 18pp. [CD ROM] (in Slovak)
Lapin M, Št’astný P, Chmelík M (2005) Detection of climate change in the Slovak mountains. Croatian Meteorological Journal, 40, 101–104
Lapin M, Faško P, Pecho J (2007) Snow cover variability and trends in the Tatra mountains in 1921–2006. In: Proc. of the XXIXth ICAM Conf., June 4–8, 2007, Chambery, France, 683–686
Madsen H, Rasmussen PF, Rosbjerg D (1997) Comparison of annual maximum series and partial duration series methods for modeling extreme hydrologic events: 1. At-site modeling. Water Resour. Res., 33(4), 747–757
Majerčáková O, Šťastný P, Faško P (2004) Review of extraordinary hydrological and meteorological events in Slovakia in recent years. Vodohospodársky spravodajca, 47(2–3), 10–11 (in Slovak)
Malitz G (1999) Starkniederschlag in Deutschland – Messergebnisse, statistische Auswertungen, Schätzungen. In: Klimastatusbericht 1999, Deutscher Wetterdienst, 35–41. Available at: http://www.dwd.de/de/FundE/Klima/KLIS/prod/KSB/ksb99/malitz.pdf
Nosek M (1972) Methods in Climatology. Praha, Academia, 431 pp. (in Czech)
Parajka J, Kohnová S, Szolgay J (2004) Mapping the maximum daily precipitation totals in the upper Hron region using stochastic interpolation methods. Acta Hydrologica Slovaca, 5(1), 78–87 (in Slovak)
Peterson TC et al. (1998) Homogeneity adjustments of in situ atmospheric climate data: A review. Int. J. Climatol., 18(13), 1493–1517
Šamaj F, Valovič Š (1973) Intensities of short-term rains in Slovakia. In: Proceedings of Works of the Hydrometeorological Institute Bratislava. SPN, Bratislava, Slovakia, 93pp (in Slovak)
Šamaj F, Valovič Š, Brázdil R (1985) Daily precipitation totals with extraordinary substantiality in Czechoslovakia in 1901–1980. In: Proceedings of Works of the Slovak Hydrometeorological Institute, Vol. 24. Alfa, Bratislava, Slovakia, 9–113 (in Slovak)
Smithers JC, Schulze RE (2001) A methodology for the estimation of short duration design storms in South Africa using a regional approach based on L-moments. J. Hydrol., 241, 42–52
Storch H von, Zwiers FW (2000) Statistical Analysis in Climate Research. Cambridge University Press, 484pp
Szolgay J, Hlavčová K, Lapin M, Danihlík R (2003) Impact of climate change on mean monthly of runoff in Slovakia. Slovak Meteorological Journal, 6(3), 9–21
Wilks D (2005) Statistical methods in the atmospheric sciences. 2nd ed. Academic Press, San Diego, 648pp
Author information
Authors and Affiliations
Corresponding author
Editor information
Editors and Affiliations
Rights and permissions
Copyright information
© 2009 Springer Science+Business Media B.V.
About this chapter
Cite this chapter
Lapin, M., Damborská, I., Faško, P., Gaál, L., Melo, M. (2009). Some Facts on Extreme Weather Events Analysis in Slovakia. In: Střelcová, K., et al. Bioclimatology and Natural Hazards. Springer, Dordrecht. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-1-4020-8876-6_4
Download citation
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-1-4020-8876-6_4
Publisher Name: Springer, Dordrecht
Print ISBN: 978-1-4020-8875-9
Online ISBN: 978-1-4020-8876-6
eBook Packages: Earth and Environmental ScienceEarth and Environmental Science (R0)