Abstract
According to the Fourth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) Working Group I, published on 2 February 2007 (IPCC 2007), the key processes influencing the European climate can be summarized as follows: (i) water vapour transport from low to high latitudes has increased; (ii) variation of atmospheric circulation has changed on interannual as well as longer time scales; (iii) snow cover during winter has reduced in the northeastern part of the continent; (iv) the soil has dried in summer in the Mediterranean and Central European regions.
Access this chapter
Tax calculation will be finalised at checkout
Purchases are for personal use only
Preview
Unable to display preview. Download preview PDF.
Similar content being viewed by others
References
Bartholy J, Pongrácz R, Matyasovszky I, Schlanger V (2003) Expected regional variations and changes of mean and extreme climatology of Eastern/Central Europe. In: Combined Preprints CD-ROM of the 83rd AMS Annual Meeting. Paper 4.7, 10pp
Bartholy J, Pongrácz R, Torma Cs, Hunyady A (2006a) Regional climate model PRECIS and its adaptation at the Department of Meteorology, Eötvös Loránd University. In: 31. Meteorological Scientific Days – Dynamical climatological research on objective estimation of regional climate change (ed.: Weidinger, T.) Hungarian Meteorological Service, Budapest. 99–114 (in Hungarian)
Bartholy J, Pongrácz R, Torma Cs, Hunyady A (2006b) Regional climate change scenarios for the Carpathian Basin. In: Bioclimatology and water in the land (eds.: Lapin, M. and Matejka, F.) CD-ROM. FMFI Comenius University, Slovakia. 9pp
Bartholy J, Pongrácz R, Gelybó Gy (2007) Regional climate change expected in Hungary for 2071–2100. Applied Ecology and Environmental Research, 5, 1–17
Benestad RE (2005) Climate change scenarios for northern Europe from multi-model IPCC AR4 climate simulations. Geophysical Research Letters, 32, L17704, doi:10.1029/2005GL023401
Black E, Blackburn M, Harrison G, Hoskins BJ, Methven J (2004) Factors contributing to the summer 2003 European heatwave. Weather, 59, 217–223
Christensen JH (2005) Prediction of Regional scenarios and Uncertainties for Defining European Climate change risks and Effects – Final Report. DMI. 269p
Christensen OB, Christensen JH (2004) Intensification of extreme European summer precipitation in a warmer climate. Global and Planetary Change, 44, 107–117
Christensen JH, Carter TR, Rummukainen M, Amanatidis G (guest editors) (2007) Prediction of regional scenarios and uncertainties for defining European climate change risks and effects: The PRUDENCE project. Climatic Change, 81, Supplement 1, 371p
Déqué M, Jones RG, Wild M, Giorgi F, Christensen JH, Hassell DC, Vidale PL, Rockel B, Jacob D, Kjellström E, de Castro M, Kucharski F, van den Hurk B (2005) Global high resolution versus Limited Area Model climate change scenarios over Europe: results from the PRUDENCE project. Climate Dynamics, 25, 653–670. doi:10.1007/s00382-005-0052-1
Fink AH, Brücker T, Krüger A, Leckebusch GC, Pinto JG, Ulbrich U (2004) The 2003 European summer heatwaves and drought – synoptic diagnostics and impacts. Weather, 59, 209–216
Giorgi F (1990) Simulation of regional climate using a limited area model nested in a general circulation model. Journal of Climate, 3, 941–963
Hanssen-Bauer I, Achberger C, Benestad RE, Chen D, Førland EJ (2005) Statistical downscaling of climate scenarios over Scandinavia: A review. Climate Research, 29, 255–268
Horányi A (2006) Dynamical climatological research on regional scales: International and Hungarian review. In: 31. Meteorological Scientific Days – Dynamical climatological research on objective estimation of regional climate change (ed.: Weidinger, T.) Hungarian Meteorological Service, Budapest. 62–70. (in Hungarian)
IPCC (2007) Climate Change 2007: The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Fourth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. (eds.: Solomon, S., Qin, D., Manning, M., Chen, Z., Marquis, M., Averyt, K.B., Tignor, M., Miller, H.L.), Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, United Kingdom and New York, NY, USA, 996pp
Mearns LO, Hulme M, Carter TR, Leemans R, Lal M, Whetton PH (2001) Climate scenario development. In: Climate Change 2001: The Scientific Basis. (eds.: Houghton, J. et al.) Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, Cambridge University Press, New York. 739–768
New M, Hulme M, Jones P (1999) Representing twentieth-century space-time climate variability. Part I: Development of a 1961–90 mean monthly terrestrial climatology. Journal of Climate, 12, 829–856
Pal JS, Giorgi F, Bi X (2004) Consistency of recent European summer precipitation trends and extremes with future regional climate projections. Geophysical Research Letters, 31, L13202, doi:10.1029/2004GL019836
Tebaldi C, Hayhoe K, Arblaster JM, Meehl GE (2006) Going to the extremes: an intercomparison of model-simulated historical and future changes in extreme events. Climatic Change, 79, 185–211
Author information
Authors and Affiliations
Corresponding author
Editor information
Editors and Affiliations
Rights and permissions
Copyright information
© 2009 Springer Science+Business Media B.V.
About this chapter
Cite this chapter
Bartholy, J., Pongrácz, R., Gelybó, G., Kern, A. (2009). What Climate Can We Expect in Central/Eastern Europe by 2071–2100?. In: Střelcová, K., et al. Bioclimatology and Natural Hazards. Springer, Dordrecht. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-1-4020-8876-6_1
Download citation
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-1-4020-8876-6_1
Publisher Name: Springer, Dordrecht
Print ISBN: 978-1-4020-8875-9
Online ISBN: 978-1-4020-8876-6
eBook Packages: Earth and Environmental ScienceEarth and Environmental Science (R0)