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Assessment of Risks and Possible Ecological and Economic Damages from Large-Scale Natural and Man-Induced Catastrophes in Ecology-Hazard Regions of Central Asia and the Caucasus

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Nuclear Risks in Central Asia

Various threats to civilization have recently been observed to increase in number. They include natural and man-induced catastrophes, international terrorism, ecological imbalance, global climate change and many other hazards. According to UN and scientific forecasts, an increasing tendency for the catastrophe scale will retain in XXI century. The humankind has faced the majority of the above issues for the first time and, therefore, there are no good suitable methods provided for their solving. A purposeful activity of all states of the world community is required. This paper presents an international Program with the participation of six countries: Russia, Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, Georgia, Armenia and Azerbaijan. The Program includes separate Projects, developed by each participating country and is briefly described in the present paper. Today, one of the possible methods to analyse the problem is the assessment of risks and the possible ecological and economic damages resulting from catastrophes. We will pay attention to the most ecological dangerous regions and single out typical factors that significantly increase the risk of natural and man-induced catastrophes. The prediction, prevention and assessment of the above mentioned treats are especially actual and important for new independent states, where the system of safety, boundary and customs control, that of strict visa control and other state safety measures have not yet been formed. Also it is easier to implement risks associated with terrorist attacks in these regions. Their consequences will be followed by major human and huge material losses, and extremely negative irreversible environmental effects of global scale. The Nuclear Safety Institute of Russian Academy of Sciences (IBRAE RAS) has their own experience within these scientific field (http://www.ibrae.ac.ru).

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Valyaev, A.N. et al. (2008). Assessment of Risks and Possible Ecological and Economic Damages from Large-Scale Natural and Man-Induced Catastrophes in Ecology-Hazard Regions of Central Asia and the Caucasus. In: Salbu, B., Skipperud, L. (eds) Nuclear Risks in Central Asia. NATO Science for Peace and Security Series Series C: Environmental Security. Springer, Dordrecht. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-1-4020-8317-4_13

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