Skip to main content
SpringerLink
Log in

The Impacts of Climate Change on Forestry

  • Chapter
Resource and Market Projections for Forest Policy Development

Part of the book series: Managing Forest Ecosystems ((MAFE,volume 14))

The quantitative analysis of the impact of future climate change on forests and forestry began in the 1980s, motivated by research in the atmospheric sciences and concerns about the potential impacts of climate change on forest ecosystems. These analyses suggested that forest ecosystems would be seriously impacted by climate change, with consequent impacts on the forest sector. It was not until the mid-1990s that the ecological and the economic impacts were first modeled together at the national scale. The RPA Timber Assessment was the first national timber assessment model to include climate change scenarios impacting forest productivity and the forest sector. The modeling treatment of climate change included exogenous analyses of climate change impact on ecosystem productivity under various climate change scenarios and linked such analyses to the forest sector modeling system. These analyses and the work that built on this approach suggest the importance of integrating ecological dynamics with the economic in the assessment of climate change on forests.

This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access.

Access this chapter

Log in via an institution
Chapter
USD 29.95
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Available as PDF
  • Read on any device
  • Instant download
  • Own it forever
eBook
USD 169.00
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Available as PDF
  • Read on any device
  • Instant download
  • Own it forever
Softcover Book
USD 219.99
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Compact, lightweight edition
  • Dispatched in 3 to 5 business days
  • Free shipping worldwide - see info
Hardcover Book
USD 219.99
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Durable hardcover edition
  • Dispatched in 3 to 5 business days
  • Free shipping worldwide - see info

Tax calculation will be finalised at checkout

Purchases are for personal use only

Institutional subscriptions

Preview

Unable to display preview. Download preview PDF.

Unable to display preview. Download preview PDF.

References

  • Agren G, McMurtrie RE, Parton WJ, Pastor J, Shugart HH (1991) State-of-the-art models of production-decomposition linkages in conifer and grassland ecosystems. Ecol Appl 1:118-138

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Binkley CS (1988) A case study of the effects of CO2 -induced climatic warming on forest growth and the forest sector: B. Economic effects on the world’s forest sector. In: Parry ML, Carter TR, Konijn NT (eds) The impact of climatic variation on agriculture. Kluwer, Dordrecht, pp197-218

    Google Scholar 

  • Binkley CS, van Kooten GC (1994) Integrating climatic change and forests: economic and ecologic assessment. Climatic Change 28:91-110

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Bugmann HKM, Yan X, Sykes MT, Martin P, Lindner M, Desanker PV, Cumming SG (1996) A comparison of forest gap models: model structure and behavior. Climatic Change 34:289-313

    Google Scholar 

  • Burke IC, Kittel TGF, Lauenroth WK, Snook P, Yonker CM, Parton WJ (1991) Regional analysis of the Central Great Plains. BioScience 41:685-692

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Burton DM, McCarl BA, deSousa NM, Adams DM, Alig RJ, Winnett SM (1998) Economic dimensions of climate change impacts on southern forests. In: Fox S, Mickler R (eds) Ecological Studies 128: the productivity and sustainability of Southern forest ecosystem in a changing environment. Springer-Verlag, New York, pp777-794

    Google Scholar 

  • Dale VH, Doyle TW, Shugart HH (1985) A comparison of tree growth models. Ecol Model 29:145-169

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Dale VH, Joyce LA, McNulty S, Neilson RP, Ayres MP, Flannigan MD, Hanson PJ, Irland LC, Lugo AE, Peterson CJ, Simberloff D, Swanson FJ, Stocks BJ, Wotton BM (2001) Climate change and forest disturbances. BioScience 51:723-734

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Ehleringer JR, Cerling TE, Dearing MD (eds) (2005) A history of atmospheric CO2 and its effects on plants, animals, and ecosystems. Springer, New York

    Google Scholar 

  • Food, Agriculture, Conservation, and Trade Act of 1990. US Public Law 101-624; approved November 28, 1990

    Google Scholar 

  • Haynes RW (coord) (1990) An analysis of the timber situation in the United States: 1989-2040. Gen Tech Rep RM-199. USDA Forest Service, Rocky Mountain Forest and Range Experiment Station, Fort Collins, CO

    Google Scholar 

  • Haynes RW, Adams DM, Alig RJ, Ince PJ, Mills J, Zhou X (2007) The 2005 RPA timber assessment update. Gen Tech Rep PNW-GTR-699. USDA Forest Service, Pacific Northwest Research Station, Portland, OR

    Google Scholar 

  • Haynes RW, Kaiser HF (1990) Forests methods for valuing acidic deposition and air pollution effects. In: Brown GM Jr, Callaway JM (eds) Acidic deposition: state of Science and Technology. Rep 27, vol. 4, section B2. NAPAP State of Science and Technology, National Acid Precipitation Assessment Program, Washington DC, pp27-121

    Google Scholar 

  • Hazeltine A, Prentice IC (1996). BIOME 3: an equilibrium terrestrial biosphere model based on ecophysiological constraints, resource availability and competition among plant functional types. Global Biogeochem Cy 10:693-709

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Heath LS, Birdsey RA (1993) Carbon trends of productive temperate forests of the conterminous United States. Water Air Soil Poll 70:279-293

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Hodges DG, Regens JL, Cubbage FW (1989) Evaluating the potential impacts of global climate change on forestry in the Southern United States. Res Mgmt Opt 6:235-251

    Google Scholar 

  • Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change [IPCC] (2001) Watson RT, Core Writing Team (eds) Climate change 2001: synthesis report. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge

    Google Scholar 

  • International Panel on Climate Change [IPCC] (2007) Climate change 2007: the physical science basis. Summary for policymakers. Contribution of working group i to the fourth assessment report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. http://www.ipcc.ch

  • Irland LC, Adams D, Alig R, Betz CJ, Chen C, Hutchins M, McCarl BA, Skog K, Sohngen BL (2001) Assessing socioeconomic impacts of climate change on US forests, wood-product markets, and forest recreation. BioScience 51(9):753-764

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Iverson LR, Schwartz MW, Prasad A (2004) How fast and far might tree species migrate under climate change in the eastern United States? Global Ecol Biogeogr 13:209-219

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Joyce LA (ed) (1995) Productivity of America’s forests and climate change. Gen Tech Rep RM-271. USDA Forest Service, Rocky Mountain Forest and Range Experiment Station, Fort Collins, CO

    Google Scholar 

  • Joyce LA (2003) Improving the flow of scientific information across the interface of forest science and policy. Forest Policy Econ 5:239-247

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Joyce LA, Aber J, McNulty S, Dale V, Hansen A, Irland L, Neilson R, Skog K (2001) Potential consequences of climate variability and change for the forests of the United States. In: Climate change impacts in the United States: the potential consequences of climate variability and change. 0National assessment synthesis team. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, Chapter 17

    Google Scholar 

  • Joyce LA, Birdsey RA (tech eds) (2000) The impact of climate change on America’s forests. RMRS-GTR-59. USDA Forest Service, Rocky Mountain Research Station, Fort Collins, CO

    Google Scholar 

  • Joyce LA, Fosberg MA, Comanor JM (1990) Climate change and America’s forests. Gen Tech Rep RM-187. USDA Forest Service, Rocky Mountain Forest and Range Experiment Station, Fort Collins, CO

    Google Scholar 

  • Joyce LA, Mills JR, Heath LS, McGuire AD, Haynes RW, Birdsey RA (1995) Forest sector impacts from changes in forest productivity under climate change. J Biogeogr 22:703-713

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Joyce LA, Nungesser M (2000) Ecosystem productivity and the impact of climate change. In: Joyce LA, Birdsey RA (tech eds) The impact of climate change on America’s forests. RMRS-GTR-59. USDA Forest Service, Rocky Mountain Research Station, Fort Collins, CO, pp45-68

    Google Scholar 

  • McCarl BA, Adams DM, Alig RJ, Burton D, Chen C (2000) Effects of global climate change on the US forest sector: response functions derived from a dynamic resource and market simulator. Climate Res 15:195-205

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • McGuire AD, Joyce LA (1995) Responses of net primary production to changes in carbon dioxide and climate. In: Joyce LA (ed) Productivity of America’s forests and climate change. Gen Tech Rep RM-271. USDA Forest Service, Rocky Mountain Forest and Range Experiment Station, Fort Collins, CO, pp9-45

    Google Scholar 

  • McGuire AD, Joyce LA, Kicklighter DW, Melillo JM, Esser G, Vorosmarty CJ (1993) Productivity response of climax temperate forests to elevated temperature and carbon dioxide: a North American comparison between two global models. Climatic Change 24:287-310

    Article  CAS  Google Scholar 

  • McGuire AD, Melillo JM, Joyce LA, Kicklighter DW, Grace AL, Moore III B, Vorosmarty CJ (1992) Interactions between carbon and nitrogen dynamics in estimating net primary productivity for potential vegetation in North America. Global Biogeochem Cy 6(2):101-124

    Article  CAS  Google Scholar 

  • Melillo JM, McGuire AD, Kicklighter DW, Moore B III, Vorosmarty CJ, Schloss AL (1993) Global climate change and terrestrial net primary production. Nature 363:234-240

    Article  CAS  Google Scholar 

  • Mills JR, Haynes RW (1995) Influence of climate change on supply and demand for timber. In: Joyce LA (ed) Productivity of America’s forests and climate change. Gen Tech Rep RM-271. USDA Forest Service, Rocky Mountain Forest and Range Experiment Station, Fort Collins, CO, pp46-55

    Google Scholar 

  • Mills JR, Kincad JC (1992) The aggregate timberland analysis system—ATLAS: a comprehensive timber projection model. Gen Tech Rep PNW-GTR-281. USDA Forest Service, Pacific Northwest Research Station, Portland, OR

    Google Scholar 

  • National Assessment Synthesis Team [NAST] (2001) Climate change impacts on the united states: the potential consequences of climate variability and change. Foundation report. Report for the US Global Change Research Program. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge

    Google Scholar 

  • National Research Council (1983) Changing climate. National Academy Press, Washington DC

    Google Scholar 

  • Norby RJ, Joyce LA, Wullschleger SD (2005) Modern and future forests in a changing atmosphere. In: Ehleringer JR, Cerling TE, Dearing MD (eds) A history of atmospheric CO2 and its effects on plants, animals, and ecosystems. Springer, New York, pp394-414

    Chapter  Google Scholar 

  • Nungesser MK, Joyce LA, McGuire AD (1999) Effects of spatial aggregation on predictions of forest climate change response. Climate Res 11:109-124

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Perez-Garcia J, Joyce LA, Binkley CS, McGuire AD (1997) Economic impacts of climatic change on the global forest sector. An integrated ecological/economic assessment. Critical Reviews in Environmental Science and Technology. CRC Press 27(Suppl 1):123-138

    Google Scholar 

  • Perez-Garcia J, Joyce LA, McGuire AD, Xiao X (2002) Impacts of climate change on the global forest sector. Climatic Change 53:439-461

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Peters RL (1987) Effects of global warming on biodiversity: an overview. In: Proceedings, First North American conference on preparing for climate change. Government Institutes, Inc, Washington DC, pp169-185

    Google Scholar 

  • Plantinga AJ, Birdsey RA (1993) Carbon fluxes resulting from US private timberland management. Climatic Change 23:37-53

    Article  CAS  Google Scholar 

  • Prinn RG, Jacoby H, Sokolov A, Wang C, Xizo X, Yang Z, Echaus R, Stone P, Ellerman D, Melillo J, Fitzmaurice J, Kicklighter RD, Liu Y, Holian G (1999) Integrated global system model for climate policy assessment: feedbacks and sensitivity analysis. Climatic Change 41:469-546

    Article  CAS  Google Scholar 

  • Raich JW, Rastetter EB, Melillo JM, Kicklighter DW, Steudler PA, Peterson BJ, Grace AL, Moore B III, Vorosmarty CJ (1991) Potential net primary productivity in South America: application of a global model. Ecol Appl 1:399-429

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Schimel DS, Parton W, Kittel TGF, Ojima DS, Cole CV (1990) Grassland biogeo- chemistry: links to atmospheric processes. Climatic Change 17:13-25

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Shands WE, Hoffman JS (eds) (1987) The greenhouse effect, climate change, and US forests. Conservation Foundation, Washington DC

    Google Scholar 

  • Smith JB, Tirpak DA (eds) (1988) The potential effects of global climate change on the United States. vol 1-2. US Environmental Protection Agency, Washington DC

    Google Scholar 

  • Smith JE, Heath LS (2004) Carbon stocks and projections on public forestlands in the United States, 1952-2040. Environ Manag 33(4):433-442

    Google Scholar 

  • Sohngen B, Mendelsohn R (1998) Valuing the impact of large-scale ecological change in a market: the effect of climate change on US timber. Am Econ Rev 88:686-710

    Google Scholar 

  • Sohngen B, Mendelsohn R, Sedjo R (2001) A global model of climate change impacts on timber markets. J Agric Resour Econ 26:326-343

    Google Scholar 

  • Sohngen B, Sedjo R (2005) Impacts of climate change on forest product markets: implications for North American producers. Forestry Chron 81(5):669-674

    Google Scholar 

  • US Climate Change Science Program [US CCSP] (2004) Our changing planet: the US climate change science program for the fiscal years 2004 and 2005. Report by the Climate Change Science Program and the Subcommittee on Global Change Research, Washington DC

    Google Scholar 

  • USDA Forest Service [USDA FS] (1989) RPA assessment of the forest and rangeland situation in the United States, 1989. Forest Resour Rep 26. GPO, Washington DC

    Google Scholar 

  • USDA Forest Service [USDA FS] (1994) RPA assessment of the forest and rangeland situation in the United States—1993 update. Forest Resour Rep 27. GPO, Washington DC

    Google Scholar 

  • USDA, Forest Service [USDA FS] (2000) 2000 RPA assessment of forest and rangelands. FS 687. Washington DC

    Google Scholar 

  • USDA Forest Service [USDA FS] (2007) Interim update of the 2000 renewable resources planning act assessment. Forest Resour Rep FS-874, Washington DC

    Google Scholar 

  • US Environmental Protection Agency [US EPA] (1988) The potential effects of global climate change on the United States. vol 1-2. Draft report to Congress, Washington DC

    Google Scholar 

  • Vasievich JM, Alig RJ (1996) Opportunities to increase timber growth and carbon storage on timberlands in the contiguous United States. In: Sampson RN, Hair D (eds) Forest and global change. Forest management opportunities for mitigating carbon emissions, vol 2. American Forests, Washington DC, pp91-104

    Google Scholar 

  • VEMAP (1995) Comparing biogeography and biogeochemistry models in a continental scale study of terrestrial ecosystem response to climate change and carbon dioxide doubling. Global Biogeochem Cy 9:407-437

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Watson RT, Zinyowera MC, Moss RH (eds) (1998) The regional impacts of climate change: an assessment of vulnerability. A special report of IPCC Working Group II. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge

    Google Scholar 

Download references

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

  1. USDA Forest Service, Rocky Mountain Research Station, 240 West Prospect, 80526, Fort Collins, CO, USA

    Linda A. Joyce

Authors
  1. Linda A. Joyce
    View author publications

    You can also search for this author in PubMed Google Scholar

Editor information

Editors and Affiliations

  1. Oregon State University, 97331, Corvallis, OR, USA

    Darius M. Adams

  2. Pacific Northwest Research Station, 3890, 97209, Portland, OR, USA

    Richard W. Haynes

Rights and permissions

Reprints and permissions

Copyright information

© 2007 Springer

About this chapter

Cite this chapter

Joyce, L.A. (2007). The Impacts of Climate Change on Forestry. In: Adams, D.M., Haynes, R.W. (eds) Resource and Market Projections for Forest Policy Development. Managing Forest Ecosystems, vol 14. Springer, Dordrecht. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-1-4020-6309-1_14

Download citation

Publish with us

Policies and ethics

Search

Navigation