Skip to main content

Malaria, Climate Change and Possible Impacts on Populations in Africa

  • Chapter
HIV, Resurgent Infections and Population Change in Africa

Part of the book series: International Studies in Population ((ISIP,volume 6))

The historical records for Africa show warming of approximately 0.7°C over most of the continent during the twentieth century. The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), in its Third Assessment Report (2001) recorded that global warming of 1.4 to 5.8°C can be expected over the coming century. Malaria is the most climate sensitive vector-borne disease, affecting most of the African population. Both global warming and increased climate variability can increase malaria transmission. It is the areas where transmission is currently low, such as the highlands, that are most affected. In these areas protective genetic polymorphisms are infrequent, and immunity levels are low so that all ages are vulnerable.

This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access.

Access this chapter

Chapter
USD 29.95
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Available as PDF
  • Read on any device
  • Instant download
  • Own it forever
eBook
USD 84.99
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Available as PDF
  • Read on any device
  • Instant download
  • Own it forever
Softcover Book
USD 109.99
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Compact, lightweight edition
  • Dispatched in 3 to 5 business days
  • Free shipping worldwide - see info
Hardcover Book
USD 109.99
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Durable hardcover edition
  • Dispatched in 3 to 5 business days
  • Free shipping worldwide - see info

Tax calculation will be finalised at checkout

Purchases are for personal use only

Institutional subscriptions

Preview

Unable to display preview. Download preview PDF.

Unable to display preview. Download preview PDF.

References

  1. Githeko, A. K., Lindsay, S. W., Confalonieri, U. & Partz, J. (2000). Climate changes and Vector borne diseases: A regional analysis. Bulletin of the World Health Organization, 78, 1136–1147

    Google Scholar 

  2. Breman, J. G., Alilio, M. S. & Mills, A. (2004). Conquering the intolerable burden of malaria: What’s new, what’s needed: A summary. American Journal of Tropical Medicine and Hygiene, 71(Suppl 2), 1–15

    Google Scholar 

  3. D’Alessandro, U. & Buttiens, H. (2001). History and importance of antimalarial drug resistance. Tropical Medicine and International Health, 11, 845–848

    Article  Google Scholar 

  4. Mouchet, J., Manguin, S., Sircoulon, J., Laventure, S., Faye, O., Onapa, A. W., Carnevale, P., Julvez, J. & Fontenille, D. (1998). Evolution of malaria in Africa for the past 40 years: Impact of climatic and human factors. Journal of American Mosquito Control Association, 14, 121–130

    Google Scholar 

  5. Molineaux, L. (1988). The epidemiology of human malaria as an explanation of its distribution including some implications for its control. (In W. H. Wernsdofer, & I. McGregor (Eds.), Malaria. Principles and practice of malariology (pp. 913–998). Edinburg: Churchill Livingstone)

    Google Scholar 

  6. Looareesuwan, S., White, N. J., Silamut, K., Phillips, R. E. & Warrell, D. A. (1987). Quinine and severe falciparum malaria in late pregnancy. Acta Leiden, 55, 115–120

    Google Scholar 

  7. Hammerich, A., Campbell, O. M. & Chandramohan, D. (2002). Unstable malaria transmission and maternal mortality: Experiences from Rwanda. Tropical Medicine and International Health, 7, 573–576

    Article  Google Scholar 

  8. Moormann, A. M., Embury, P. E., Opondo, J., Sumba, O. P., Ouma, J. H., Kazura, J. W. & John, C. C. (2003). Frequencies of sickle cell trait and glucose-6-phosphate dehydrogenase deficiency differ in highland and nearby lowland malaria-endemic areas of Kenya. Transactions of the Royal Society of Tropical Medicine and Hygiene, 97, 513–514

    Article  Google Scholar 

  9. Wajcman, H. & Galacteros, F. (2004). Glucose 6-phosphate dehydrogenase deficiency: A protection against malaria and a risk for hemolytic accidents. Comptes Rendus Biologies, 327, 711–720

    Article  Google Scholar 

  10. Githeko, A. K., Brandling-Bennett, A. D., Beier, M., Atieli, F., Owaga, M. & Collins, F. H. (1992). The reservoir of Plasmodium falciparum malaria in a holoendemic area of western Kenya. Transactions of the Royal Society of Tropical Medicine and Hygiene, 86, 355–358

    Article  Google Scholar 

  11. Bloland, P. B., Boriga, D. A., Ruebush, T. K., McCormick, J. B., Roberts, J. M., Oloo, A. J., Hawley, W., Lal, A., Nahlen, B. & Campbell, C. C. (1999). Longitudinal cohort study of the epidemiology of malaria infections in an area of intense malaria transmission II. Descriptive epidemiology of malaria infection and disease among children. American Journal of Tropical Medicine Hygiene, 60, 641–648

    Google Scholar 

  12. Snow, R. W., Korenromp, E. L. & Gouws, E. (2004). Pediatric mortality in Africa: Plasmodium falciparum malaria as a cause or risk? American Journal of Tropical Medicine and Hygiene, 71(Suppl 2), 16–24

    Google Scholar 

  13. Snow, R. W. & Marsh, K. (2002). The consequences of reducing transmission of Plasmodium falciparum in Africa. Advances in Parasitology, 52, 235–264

    Article  Google Scholar 

  14. Tanser, F. C., Sharp, B. & le Sueur, D. (2003). Potential effect of climate change on malaria transmission in Africa. The Lancet, 362, 1792–1798

    Article  Google Scholar 

  15. Marsh, K. & Snow, R. W. (1999). Malaria transmission and morbidity. Parassitologia, 41, 241–246

    Google Scholar 

  16. John, C. C., Koech, D. K., Sumba, P. O. & Ouma, J. H. (2004). Risk of Plasmodium falciparum infection during a malaria epidemic in highland Kenya, 1997. Acta Tropica, 92, 55–61

    Article  Google Scholar 

  17. Lepers, J. P., Deloron, P., Andriamagatiana-Rason, M. D., Ramanamirija, J. A., & Coulanges, P. (1990). Newly transmitted Plasmodium falciparum malaria in the central highland plateaux of Madagascar: Assessment of clinical impact in a rural community. Bulletin of the World Health Organization, 68, 217–222

    Google Scholar 

  18. Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) (2001a). Climate Change. In J. J. McCarthy, O. Canzianni, N. Leary, D. J. Dokken, & K. S. White (Eds.), Third Assessment Report, Impacts, Adaptations and Vulnerability of Climate Change (pp. 1023). Cambridge: University Press)

    Google Scholar 

  19. Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (1PCC) (2001b). Summary for Policy Makers. Working Group 1. Retrieved from http://www.ipcc.ch/pub/spm22–01.pdf

  20. Climate Research Unit, UK. Retrieved from http://www.cru.uea.ac.uk/cru/info/ukweather/

  21. Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) special report (1998). Regional impacts of climate change: An assessment of vulnerability (pp. 517). (In R. T. Watson, M. C. Zinyowera, R. H. Moss & D. J. Dokken (Eds.), Cambridge: Cambridge University Press)

    Google Scholar 

  22. Nicholson, S. E. & Kim, J. (1997). The relationship of the Southern Oscillation to African rainfall. International Journal of Climatology, 17, 117–135

    Article  Google Scholar 

  23. Hastenrath, S. & Greischar, L. (1997). Glacier recession on Kilimanjaro, East Africa, 1912–1989. Journal of Glaciology, 43, 455–459

    Google Scholar 

  24. Hastenrath, S. & Kruss, P. D. (1992). The dramatic retreat of Mount Kenya’s glaciers between 1963 and 1987: Greenhouse forcing. Annals of Glaciology, 16, 127–133

    Google Scholar 

  25. Kaser, G. (1999). A review of the modern fluctuations of tropical glaciers. Global and Planetary Change, 22, 93–103

    Article  Google Scholar 

  26. ACACIA retrieved from http://web.idrc.ca/en/ev-8082–201-1-DO_TOPIC.html

  27. Githeko, A. K. & Clive, S. (2005). The history of malaria control in Africa: Lessons learned and future perspectives. (In K. J. Ebi, J. Smith, & I. Burton (Eds.). Integration of public health with adaptation to climate change: Lessons learned and new directions. London: Talyor & Francis)

    Google Scholar 

  28. Worrall, E., Rietveld, A. & Delacollette, C. (2004). The burden of malaria epidemics and cost-effectiveness of interventions in epidemic situations in Africa. American Journal of Tropical Medicine and Hygiene, 71(Suppl 2), 136–140

    Google Scholar 

  29. Zhou, G., Minakawa, N., Githeko, A. K., & Yan, G. (2004). Association between climate variability and malaria epidemics in the East African highlands. Proceeding of the National Academy of Sciences, 101(8), 2375–2380

    Article  Google Scholar 

  30. Abeku, T. A., De Vlas, S. J., Borsboom, G. J., Tadege, A., Gebreyesus, Y., Gebreyohannes, H., Alamirew, D., Seifu, A., Nagelkerke, N. J. & Habbema, J. D. (2004). Effects of meteorological factors on epidemic malaria in Ethiopia: A statistical modelling approach based on theoretical reasoning. Parasitology, 128, 585–593

    Article  Google Scholar 

  31. Craig, M. H., Kleinschmidt, I., Nawn, J. B., Le Sueur, D. & Sharp, B. L. (2004). Exploring 30 years of malaria case data in KwaZulu-Natal, South Africa: Part I. The impact of climatic factors. Tropical Medicine and International Health, 9, 1247–1257

    Article  Google Scholar 

  32. Githeko, A. K., & Ndegwa, W. (2001). Predicting malaria epidemics using climate data in Kenyan highlands: A tool for decision makers. Global Change and Human Health, 2, 54–63

    Article  Google Scholar 

  33. Loevinsohn, M. E. (1994). Climate warming and increased malaria in Rwanda. The Lancet, 343, 714–748

    Article  Google Scholar 

  34. Freeman, T. & Bradley, M. (1996). Temperature is predictive of severe malaria years in Ziambabwe. Transactions of the Royal Society of Tropical Medicine and Hygiene, 90, 232

    Article  Google Scholar 

  35. Kovats, R. S., Bouma, M. J., Hajat, S., Worrall, E. & Haines, A. (2003). El Nino and health. The Lancet, 362, 1481–1489

    Article  Google Scholar 

  36. Bouma, M. J. (2003). Methodological problems and amendments to demonstrate effects of temperature on the epidemiology of malaria. A new perspective on the highland epidemics in Madagascar, 1972–89. Transactions of the Royal Society of Tropical Medicine and Hygiene, 97, 133–139

    Article  Google Scholar 

  37. Uddenfeldt Wort, U., Hastings, I. M., Carlstedt, A., Mutabingwa, T. & Brabin, B. J. (2004). Impact of El Nino and malaria on birth weight in two areas of Tanzania with different malaria transmission patterns. International Journal of Epidemiology, 33, 1311–1319

    Article  Google Scholar 

  38. Fontaine, R. S. Najjar, A. & Prince, J. S. (1961). The 1958 malaria epidemic in Ethiopia. American Journal of Tropical Medicine and Hygiene, 10, 795–803

    Google Scholar 

  39. Lindsay, S. W. & Martens, W. J. M. (1998). Malaria in the African highlands: Past, present and the future. Bulletin of the World Health Organization, 76, 33–45

    Google Scholar 

  40. Thomson, M. C., Connor, S. J., Ward, N. & Molyneux, D. (2004). Impact of climate variability on infectious disease in West Africa. EcoHealth Journal, 1, 138–150

    Article  Google Scholar 

  41. Warsame, M., Wernsdofer, W. H., Huldt, G. & Bjorkman, A. (1995). An epidemic of Plasmodium falciparum malaria in Balcad Somalia, and its causation. Transactions of the Royal Society of Tropical Medicine and Hygiene, 98, 142–145

    Article  Google Scholar 

  42. Connor, S. J., Thomson, M. C. & Molyneux, D. H. (1999) Forecasting and prevention of epidemic malaria: New perspectives on an old problem. Parassitologia, 41, 439–448

    Google Scholar 

  43. Lusingu, J. P., Vestergaard, L. S., Mmbando, B. P., Drakeley, C. J., Jones, C., Akida, J., Savaeli, Z. X., Kitua, A. Y., Lemnge, M. M. & Theander, T. G. (2004). Malaria morbidity and immunity among residents of villages with different Plasmodium falciparum transmission intensity in North-Eastern Tanzania. Malaria Journal, 3, 26–37

    Article  Google Scholar 

  44. AIACC Project AF91 retrieved from http://www.aiaccproject.org/publications_reports/AIACC_Links_to_UNFCCC_NC.pdf

  45. Tanser, F. C., Sharp, B. & le Sueur, D. (2003). Potential effect of climate change on malaria transmission in Africa. The Lancet, 362(9398), 1792–1798

    Article  Google Scholar 

  46. STORMFAX retrieved from http://www.stormfax.com/lanina.htm#Table

Download references

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

Authors

Editor information

Editors and Affiliations

Rights and permissions

Reprints and permissions

Copyright information

© 2007 Springer

About this chapter

Cite this chapter

Githeko, A.K. (2007). Malaria, Climate Change and Possible Impacts on Populations in Africa. In: Caraël, M., Glynn, J.R. (eds) HIV, Resurgent Infections and Population Change in Africa. International Studies in Population, vol 6. Springer, Dordrecht. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-1-4020-6174-5_4

Download citation

  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-1-4020-6174-5_4

  • Publisher Name: Springer, Dordrecht

  • Print ISBN: 978-1-4020-6172-1

  • Online ISBN: 978-1-4020-6174-5

  • eBook Packages: MedicineMedicine (R0)

Publish with us

Policies and ethics