Abstract
Environmental risk and impact assessment and prediction modelling is one of the most important instruments in the environmental security management and preparedness, and it needs further development in the quickly changing world and society. Most of the previous studies in this field considered, as a rule, only separate aspects of the risk and impact assessments. New realities and problems in the environmental security, supercomputer facilities, request a new generation of the assessments and prediction tools for the risk and impact assessments. Some new trends, advantages and perspectives in the risk and impact assessment and forecasting methodology (including the integrated and multidisciplinary approaches, health and combined effects of different risk and impact factors, source-receptor, sensitivity and vulnerability problems, and meteorological advances for urban air quality forecasting and assessments) are discussed in the paper.
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BAKLANOV, A. (2007). ENVIRONMENTAL RISK AND ASSESSMENT MODELLING – SCIENTIFIC NEEDS AND EXPECTED ADVANCEMENTS. In: Ebel, A., Davitashvili, T. (eds) Air, Water and Soil Quality Modelling for Risk and Impact Assessment. NATO Security Through Science Series. Springer, Dordrecht. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-1-4020-5877-6_3
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