Abstract
The rise of China poses perhaps the most far-reaching challenge to the international status quo. While there is much that can be done to engage China, it is unclear what policies might constrain China’s undesired activities. China is, and increasingly will be constrained by the need to become interdependent with the outside world, but interdependence is not enough. In the long-term the only effective constraint on great powers is a wider process of liberalism that turns them into Lite powers. If China is to be ‘enlitened’, then it will be both through some of the features of interdependence, but also through a firm constraint on its unwanted activity while it is in the long and uncertain process of turning Lite.
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Notes
These issues are discussed in Barry Buzan and Gerald Segal, Anticipating the Future (London and N.Y.: Simon & Schuster, forthcoming 1997).
Francis Fukuyama, Trust: The Social Virtues and the Creation of Prosperity (N.Y.; The Free Press, 1995).
W.J.F. Jenner, The Tyranny of History (London: Allen Lane, 1992).
Raymond Cohen, Theatre of Power (London: Longman, 1987).
These trends are described in nearly every popular book about modern China, but an early and still entertaining analysis is Orville Schell, Discos and Democracy (N.Y.: Pantheon, 1988).
Jianying Zha, China Pop (N.Y.: The New Press, 1995).
Gerald Segal, ‘Asians in Cyberia’, The Washington Quarterly Vol. 18 No. 3, Summer 1995; Kim Gordon, ‘Riding China’s TV Dragon’, Prospect, April 1996. pp.76–8.
See various chapters in Gerald Segal and David Goodman (eds), China Deconstructs (London: Routledge, 1994).
Gerald Segal, China Changes Shape (London: Adelphi Paper No. 287, Brassey’s for the IISS, 1994).
Michael Yahuda, The International Politics of Asia-Pacific (London: Routledge, 1996).
Mark Valencia, China and the South China Sea Disputes (Oxford: Adelphi Paper No.298, Oxford University Press for the IISS, 1995).
Harold Jacobson and Michel Oksenberg, China’s Participation in the IMF, the World Bank and GATT (Ann Arbour: University of Michigan Press, 1990).
Douglas Stuart and William Tow, A US Strategy for the Asia-Pacific (Oxford: Adelphi Paper No. 299, Oxford University Press for the IISS, 1995)
Paul Dibb, Towards a New Balance of Power in Asia (Oxford: Adelphi Paper No. 295, Oxford University Press for the IISS, 1995).
Malcolm Chalmers, Confidence-Building in South-East Asia (Bradford: Department of Peace Studies (distributed by Westview Press), 1996.
See a careful study of these issues in James Shinn (ed.), Weaving the Net: Conditional Engagement with China (N.Y.: Council on Foreign Relations, 1996).
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© 1997 Gerald Segal
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Segal, G. (1997). ‘Enlitening’ China?. In: Roy, D. (eds) The New Security Agenda in the Asia-Pacific Region. Palgrave Macmillan, London. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-1-349-25701-0_9
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DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-1-349-25701-0_9
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