Abstract
The purpose of this study is to test the Efficient Market Hypothesis (EMH) in the London foreign exchange market. The study relates the EMH to the information set which includes past prices for four foreign currencies. The goal is to determine if a long-run equilibrium relationship exists between the price series for the different currencies. The existence of such a relationship will be considered a direct violation of the EMH.
Access this chapter
Tax calculation will be finalised at checkout
Purchases are for personal use only
Preview
Unable to display preview. Download preview PDF.
References
Baillie, R. T. and Bollerslev, T. (1989a) ‘Common Stochastic Trends in a System of Exchange Rates’, Journal of Finance, vol. 44, no. 1, (Mar.) pp. 167-81.
Baillie, R. T. and Bollerslev, T. (1989b) ‘The Message in Daily Exchange Rates: a Conditional Variance Tale’, Journal of Business and Economic Statistics, vol. 7, no. 3 (July) pp. 297-305.
Copeland, L. S. (1991) ‘Cointegration Tests with Daily Exchange Rate Data’, Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, vol. 53, no. 2, pp. 185-99.
Dickey, D. A. and Fuller, W. A. (1981) ‘Likelihood Ratio Statistics for Autoregressive Time Series with a Unit Root’, Econometrica, vol. 49, no. 4 (July) pp. 1057-72.
Durlauf, S. and Phillips, P. C. B. (1988) ‘Trends Versus Random Walks in Time Series Analysis’, Econometrica, vol. 56, no. 6 (Nov.) pp. 1333-54.
Engle, R. and Granger, C. W. J. (1987) ‘Cointegration and Error Correction: Representation, Estimation, and Testing’, Econometrica, vol. 55, no. 2 (Mar.) pp. 251-76.
Engle, R. and Yoo, S. B. (1987) ‘Forecasting and Testing Cointegrated Systems’, Journal of Econometrics, vol. 35 (July/Aug.) pp. 143-59.
Fama, E. (1970) ‘Efficient Capital Markets: A Review of Theory and Empirical Work’, Journal of Finance, vol. 25, no. 2 (May) pp. 383-417.
Granger, C. W. J. (1986) ‘Developments in the Study of Cointegrated Variables’, Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, vol. 48, no. 3 (Aug.) pp. 213-28.
Hakkio, C. S. and Rush, M. (1989) ‘Market Efficiency and Cointegration: An Application to the Sterling and Deutschemark Exchange Market’, Journal of International Money and Finance, vol. 8, no. 1, pp. 75-88.
Johansen, S. (1988) ‘Statistical Analysis of Cointegration Vectors’, Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, vol. 12, pp. 231-54.
Johansen, S. and Juselius, K. (1990) ‘The Full Information Maximum Likelihood Procedure for Inference on Cointegration with Applications’, Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, vol. 52, no. 2 (May) pp. 169-210.
Meese, R. and Singleton, K. (1982) ‘On Unit Roots and the Empirical Modeling of Exchange Rates’, Journal of Finance, vol. 37, no. 4, (Sept.) pp. 1029-35.
Perron, P. (1988) ‘Trends and Random Walks in Macroeconomic Time Series’, Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, vol. 12, pp. 297-332.
Phillips, P. C. B. (1987) ‘Time Series Regression with a Unit Root’, Econometrica, vol. 55, no. 2 (March) pp. 277-301.
Phillips, P. C. B. and Perron, P. (1988) ‘Testing for a Unit root in Time Series Regression’, Biometrika, vol. 75, no. 2 (June) pp. 335-44.
Phillips, P. C. B. and Ouliaris, S. (1990) ‘Asymptotic Properties of Residual Based Tests for Cointegration’, Econometrica, vol. 58, no. 1 (Jan.) pp. 165-93.
Editor information
Editors and Affiliations
Copyright information
© 1994 Dilip K. Ghosh and Edgar Ortiz
About this chapter
Cite this chapter
Lajaunie, J.P., McManis, B.L., Naka, A. (1994). Foreign Exchange Market Efficiency: A Look at London. In: Ghosh, D.K., Ortiz, E. (eds) The Changing Environment of International Financial Markets. Palgrave Macmillan, London. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-1-349-23161-4_2
Download citation
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-1-349-23161-4_2
Publisher Name: Palgrave Macmillan, London
Print ISBN: 978-1-349-23163-8
Online ISBN: 978-1-349-23161-4
eBook Packages: Palgrave Economics & Finance CollectionEconomics and Finance (R0)