The Limits of Diplomacy: The Influence of Traditional Economic Relations in a New World

Abstract

It has become widely accepted that a bright new era has begun for the international community. Instead of the Cold War and the inherent risks of the arms race, there will be peace and understanding among nations. And, one could surmise, instead of billions of dollars thrown away in futile pursuits, more money for badly needed investments. After all, the Cold War has ended. As if to confirm it, the Russian President, Boris Yeltsin, and the outgoing US President, George Bush, signed the START II treaty, which should underline the trend towards fewer weapons and more aid to the former socialist countries. Under liberal governments and rational economic rules, it is hoped, mankind should at last be able to concentrate on the fundamental task of developing production, technology and well-being. However, Cassandra’s voice should also be heard. It is a pity that such a rosy picture will have to be filed among the 20th century’s images d’Epinal. As a matter of fact, few ideas could be more misleading than the contention that the many problems haunting the international community are on their way to being solved and that as from now governments just have to be reasonable. Unfortunately, a diplomatic golden era is not about to start. On the contrary, some of the main instruments of diplomatic negotiations have disappeared. First of all, one very important element has gone: the balance of power.

This essay should not be seen in any way as reflecting the official policies of the Brazilian Government.