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Abstract

‘The fate of books’, wrote Terentianus Marus in ad 200 ‘depends on the capacity of the reader.’ By this I take it that he meant that some books are hardly ever read, some are read and quickly forgotten, while others create so many resonances for their readers that they survive the vagaries of time and fashion. R. W. Johnson’s book How Long Will South Africa Survive? was one of the latter.1 Of course, these resonances derive from many sources — fine prose, illuminating insight and convincing argument among them. Johnson’s reviewers found none of these. Many criticised the lack of documentation and citation that could have made his argument more persuasive. They found the style rather journalistic and the insights too few.2 But the general theme of a book can also give it influence, so that its resonances are to be found in its association with a recurring issue which is of continuing importance. There can be few topics of such universal interest as the survival of apartheid in South Africa, and Johnson’s book was the first directly to address this theme, and in many people’s minds has been associated with it ever since.

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Notes

  1. R. W. Johnson, How Long Will South Africa Survive?, London, Macmillan Press, 1977.

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  2. For a sample of the reviews see: Heribert Adam in the Canadian Journal of African Studies, 12, 1978;

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  3. Valentine Belifiglio, ‘How Will Majority Rule Come About in Azania/South Africa?’, Journal of Modern African Studies, 21, 1983;

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  4. Gwendolen Carter in the American Political Science Review 73, 1979;

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  5. Simon Clarke in the Journal of Southern African Studies, 3–4, 1976–78;

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  6. Adrian Guelke, ‘Change in South African Politics?’, Political Studies, 31, 1983;

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  7. Richard Hodder-Williams, ‘Well, Will South Africa Survive?’, African Affairs, 80, 1981;

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  8. B. Huber in the Journal of Modern African Studies, 18, 1980;

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  9. Luke Malaba in the Review of African Political Economy 10, 1977;

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  10. M. Midlane, ‘The Crisis Facing South Africa: Has The Twelfth Hour Passed?’, Round Table, 69, 1979;

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  11. C. Stevens in the Journal of Commonwealth and Comparative Politics 16–17, 1978–79.

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  12. For the debate see among others: H. Adam and H. Giliomee, Ethnic Power Mobilized: Can South Africa Change?, New Haven, Yale University Press, 1979;

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  13. O. Aluko and T. Shaw (ed.), Southern Africa in the 1980s, London, Allen and Unwin, 1985;

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  14. J. Barber, J. Blumenfeld and C. Hill, South Africa and the West, London, Routledge and Kegan Paul, 1982;

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  15. Gwendolen Carter, Which Way Is South Africa Going?, Bloomington, Indiana University Press, 1980;

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  16. L. H. Gann and Peter Duignan, South Africa: War? Revolution? Peace?, Cape Town, Tafelberg, 1979;

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  17. L. H. Gann and Peter Duignan, Why South Africa Will Survive, London, Croom Helm, 1981;

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  18. C. Legum, The Western Crisis over Southern Africa, London, Holmes and Meier, 1979;

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  19. R. Rotberg, Suffer The Future, London, Harvard University Press, 1980.

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  20. R. Dale, ‘South Africa and the International Community’, World Politics 18, 1965–66, p.313.

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  21. A term taken from Kenneth Grundy, ‘The Rise of the South African Security Establishment’, Bradlow Paper no. 1, South African Institute of International Affairs, 1983.

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  22. For an extended discussion on the limits of ‘government-led reform’ see J. D. Brewer, After Soweto: An Unfinished Journey Oxford, The Clarendon Press, 1987, pp. 45–50;

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  23. Sam Nolutshungu, Changing South Africa, Manchester, Manchester University Press, 1982.

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  24. For example, the Centre for Southern African Studies at the University of York held a conference in 1986 on ‘The Southern African Economy After Apartheid’, and Heribert Adam and Kogila Moodley have written South Africa Without Apartheid, Berkeley, University of California Press, 1986.

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  25. For a selection see: J. Blumenfeld (ed.), South Africa in Crisis, London, Croom Helm, 1987;

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  26. R. Cohen, Endgame in South Africa, London, James Currey, 1986;

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  27. F. Parker, South Africa: Lost Opportunities, Aldershot, Gower, 1984;

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  28. M. Murray, South Africa: Time of Agony, Time of Destiny, London, Verso, 1987;

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  29. J. Saul and S. Gelb, The Crisis in South Africa, London, Zed Press, 1986;

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  30. M. Uhlig (ed.), Apartheid in Crisis, Harmondsworth, Penguin, 1986;

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  31. H. Wolpe, ‘Apartheid’s Deepening Crisis’, Marxism Today, January 1983.

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© 1989 John D. Brewer

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Brewer, J.D. (1989). Introduction. In: Brewer, J.D. (eds) Can South Africa Survive?. Palgrave Macmillan, London. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-1-349-19661-6_1

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