Abstract
Several proposals for improving NATO’s conventional forces have centred upon the potential contribution of a variety of technological developments that promise to revolutionize the effectiveness of nonnuclear weapons systems against a wide range of targets.1 Referred to under the general shorthand rubric of ‘emerging technologies’, or ‘ET’, what is envisaged is the integration of a wide range of advances in munitions, precision guidance, sensor, data processing and communications technologies into complex high-capability weapons systems.
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Notes and References
ESECS, Strengthening Conventional Deterrence in Europe (New York: St Martin’s, 1983), and Strengthening Conventional Defense in Europe: A Program for the 1980s, ESECS II (Boulder, Colorado, and London: Westview, 1985).
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Michael R. Gordon, ‘Highly Touted Assault Breaker Weapon Caught up in Internal Pentagon Debate’, National Journal 22 October 1983, pp. 2152–6. Assault Breaker was not a single weapon but a number of components such as an airborne radar, tactical fusion processing centre, missile and payload, used in close coordination.
IISS, The Military Balance, 1985–1986 (London: IISS, 1985), p. 162.
For a discussion of SDI work relevant to the ATBM question, see Gregory H. Canavan, Theater Applications of Strategic Defense Concepts (Los Alamos, N.M.: Los Alamos National Laboratory, June 1985), LA–UR–85–2117 (P/AC: 85–149).
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See John J. Mearsheimer, ‘Precision-Guided Munitions and Conventional Deterrence’, Survival 21, 2 (March/April 1979), pp. 68–76;
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and John J. Mearsheimer ‘Rejoinder’, Survival 22, 1 (January/February 1980), pp. 20–22;
and Michael L. Brown and Thomas J. Leney, ‘Conventional Defense: Technology, Doctrine and Force Structure’, in J. R. Golden, A. Clark, and B. E. Arlinghaus, Conventional Deterrence (Lexington, MA: Heath, 1984), pp. 163–76.
Benjamin F. Schemmer, ‘Interview With Philip A. Karber’, Armed Forces Journal International, May 1987, pp. 42–60;
and Vernon A. Guidry, Jr, ‘Army Modifies Missile, Seeks Edge on Armor’, Baltimore Sun, 19 July 1987, p. 1.
B. Bloom, ‘U.S. “Railroading” NATO on High-Tech Weapons’, Financial Times (London), 4 December 1983, p. 3.
David A. Brown, ‘NATO Selects Emerging Technologies’, Aviation Week and Space Technology, 16 April 1984, pp. 28–9.
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© 1988 International Institute for Strategic Studies
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Flanagan, S.J. (1988). The Impact of New Technologies: Evolutionary or Revolutionary?. In: NATO’s Conventional Defences. Studies in International Security. Palgrave Macmillan, London. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-1-349-19484-1_5
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DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-1-349-19484-1_5
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