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Where is the World Economy Going, if Anywhere?

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Coexistence, Cooperation and Common Security
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Abstract

The world economy resembles an aircraft flying at minimum speed — theory shows it can stay afloat, but in practice the slightest shock could send it crashing down.

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References

  1. P.A. Wellons, Borrowing by Developing Countries on the Eurocurrency Market, (Paris: OECD Development Centre, 1976).

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  2. P.T. Kilborn, ‘The Sudden Wilting of Reagan’s Rose Economy’, The New York Times (27 July 1986).

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  3. The Wall Street Journal, cable from London (24 September 1986).

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  4. The New York Times, article from Canberra (28 July 1986).

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  5. Financial Times (30 September 1986).

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  6. Financial Times, Special Supplement on Egypt (4 June 1986).

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  7. ‘World Trade to Grow 3.5% during 1986’, Financial Times (8 September 1986).

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  8. ‘Trade by Developing Countries Declines’, Financial Times (8 July 1986).

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  10. OECD Employment Outlook (Paris, September 1986).

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  12. Economic and Social Progress in Latin America — 1986 Report (Washington, D.C.: Inter-American Development Bank, 1986).

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  13. The Latin American GDP Expanded at a Compound Rate of 5.8 per cent between 1960 and 1980, Ibid.

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  14. P. Montagnon, ‘Third World attacks West over Debt Crisis’, Financial Times (29 September 1986).

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  15. C. Crook, ‘The World Bank — A Change of Pace’, Special Survey, The Economist (27 September 1986).

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  16. ‘Less Money for More People’, The Economist (5 July 1986).

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  17. For details, see UNCTAD, Trade and Development Report, 1986, Annex to Chapter VI — Towards International Debt Reform (New York: United Nations, 1986) pp. 138–147.

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  18. P. Krugman, Prospects for International Debt Reform, Report to the Group of Twenty-Four (UNDP/UNCTAD: January 1986) (mimeo).

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  19. Ibid, p. 34.

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  20. The Economist (19 July 1986) and ‘Banks Build Reserves for Third World Debt Crisis’, Financial Times (24 June 1986).

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© 1988 Pugwash Conferences on Science and World Affairs

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Wionczek, M. (1988). Where is the World Economy Going, if Anywhere?. In: Rotblat, J., Valki, L. (eds) Coexistence, Cooperation and Common Security. Palgrave Macmillan, London. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-1-349-19369-1_27

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