Abstract
This chapter discusses some of the ‘internal’ problems facing the Soviet leadership in the 1980s. It will concentrate on three major areas: the problems of ruling Eastern Europe; the nationalities question; and the security of Siberia. The USSR’s economic difficulties are examined in the following chapter. These are important questions, each of which could have a major impact on the outlook for Soviet power in the years ahead. If any of these issues were to slide out of control, the consequences for political stability in the Soviet Union could be grave. Should widespread rebellion break out in Eastern Europe, or if a major nationality group rose up in revolt, or if the territorial integrity of the far flung Soviet state were threatened, then Soviet state power would be seriously undermined. On the other hand, if the Soviet multinational state continues to work without undue friction, if Siberia and Central Asia increasingly provide the economic sinews of Soviet power, and if Eastern Europe remains quiescent, then the USSR will have a sound basis of domestic power, and it will not be distracted by internal weaknesses.
… the non-Russian dominions of the empire have constituted one of its greatest strategic vulnerabilities.1
Access this chapter
Tax calculation will be finalised at checkout
Purchases are for personal use only
Preview
Unable to display preview. Download preview PDF.
Notes
Rebecca V. Strode and Colin S. Gray, ‘The Imperial Dimension of Soviet Military Power’, Problems of Communism, November–December 1981, p. 9.
Seweryn Bialer, ‘Soviet Foreign Policy: Sources, Perceptions, Trends’, in Seweryn Bialer (ed.), The Domestic Context of Soviet Foreign Policy (Boulder, Colorado: Westview Press, 1981) p. 432. See also Andrzej Korbonski, ‘Eastern Europe’, in Robert F. Byrnes (ed.), After Brezhnev: Sources of Soviet Conduct in the 1980’s (Bloomington: Indiana University Press, 1983) p. 293.
T. H. Rigby, ‘The Soviet Leadership: Towards a Self-Stabilizing Oligarchy?’, Soviet Studies, October 1970, pp. 167–91.
On the dynamics of imperialism see A. P. Thornton, Imperialism in the Twentieth Century (New York: Macmillan, 1978); Joseph A. Schumpeter, Imperialism and Social Class (Oxford: Basil Blackwell, 1951); Hugh Seton-Watson, The New Imperialism (London: The Bodley Head, 1971); Richard Koebner, Empire (New York: Grosset & Dunlap, 1965) and Wolfgang J. Mommsen, Theories of Imperialism (New York: Random House, 1980).
T. B. Millar, The East-West Strategic Balance (London: George Allen & Unwin, 1981) p. 1.
Ibid., p. 2.
Ibid.
V. O. Kliuchevsky, Kurs Russkoi Istorii (Moscow, 1937) vol I, p. 20.
Richard Pipes, Russia Under the Old Regime (London: Penguin Books, 1982) p. 15.
Ibid.
Ibid., p. 16.
Edward N. Luttwak, The Grand Strategy of the Soviet Union (London: Weidenfeld & Nicolson, 1983) p. 73.
Ibid., p. 105.
Michael Marrese and Jan Vanous, ‘Soviet Policy Options in Trade Relations with Eastern Europe’, in Soviet Economy in the 1980s: Problems and Prospects, Selected papers presented to the JEC, Congress of the US (Washington, DC: USGPO, 1983) part 1, p. 104.
Johan Galtung, ‘A Structural Theory of Imperialism’, Journal of Peace Research, no. 8, 1971, pp. 81–117.
Zbigniew Brzezinski, ‘The Soviet Union: Her Aims, Problems and Challenges to the West’, Adelphi Paper no. 189, The Conduct of East-West Relations in the 1980s, (London: IISS, 1984) p. 3.
Charles Gati, ‘The Soviet Stake in Eastern Europe’, in Seweryn Bialer and Thane Gustafson (ed), Russia at the Crossroads (London: George Allen & Unwin, 1982) p. 182.
John Erickson, ‘The Warsaw Pact — the Shape of Things to Come?’, in Karen Dawisha and Philip Hanson (ed), Soviet-East European Dilemmas (London: Heinemann, 1981) p. 168–9.
A. W. De Porte, Europe Between the Superpowers (New Haven: Yale University Press, 1979) p. 169.
Ibid., p. 170.
Seweryn Bialer and Joan Afferica, ‘Andropov’s Burden: Socialist Stagnation and Communist Encirclement’, in Adelphi Paper no. 189, The Conduct of East-West Relations in the 1980s (London: IISS, 1984) p. 18.
Jiri Valenta, ‘The Explosive Soviet Periphery’, Foreign Policy, Summer 1983, p. 85.
Ibid., p. 99.
Christopher D. Jones, Soviet Influence in Eastern Europe (New York: Praeger, 1981) p. 1.
Richard D. Anderson, ‘Soviet Decision-Making and Poland’, Problems of Communism, March–April 1982, p. 24.
Dale R. Herspring and Ivan Volgyes, ‘Political Reliability in the East European Warsaw Pact Armies’, Armed Forces and Society, Winter 1980, pp. 270–96.
Cited in Adam Roberts, ‘The Warsaw Pact: The Parts and the Whole’, Survival, November/December 1983, p. 277.
See A. Ross Johnson et al, East European Military Establishments: The Warsaw Pact Northern Tier (New York: Crane Russak, 1982).
See Ivan Volgyes, The Political Reliability of the Warsaw Pact Armies: The Southern Tier, (Durham, N. Carolina: Duke University Press, 1982).
Marshal N. V. Ogarkov, Chief of Staff of the USSR Armed Forces, Krasnaya Zvezda, 9 May 1984, pp. 2–3.
Jonathan Dean, ‘How to Lose Germany’, Foreign Policy, Summer 1984, p. 63.
Ibid., p. 65.
Pedro Ramet, ‘Church and Peace in the GDR’, Problems of Communism, July–August 1984, pp. 44–57.
Y. V. Andropov, General Secretary of the CC of the CPSU. Speech marking the Sixtieth Anniversary of the formation of the USSR, 21 December 1982 (Novosti, Moscow, 1982) p. 14.
Joseph Rothschild, Ethnopolitics: A Conceptual Framework (New York: Columbia University Press, 1981) p. 213.
Andropov, Novosti, 21 December 1982, p. 18.
Geoffrey Wheeler, The Modern History of Soviet Central Asia (London: Weidenfeld & Nicolson, 1965) p. 149.
Zui Gitelman, ‘Are Nations Merging in the USSR?’, Problems of Communism, September–October 1983, p. 35.
See, for example, Hélène Carrere d’Encausse, Decline of an Empire (New York: Newsweek Books, 1979).
Seweryn Bialer, Stalin’s Successors: Leadership, Stability and Change in the Soviet Union (New York: Cambridge University Press, 1980) p. 212.
Ibid., p. 208.
Adam B. Ulam, The Unfinished Revolution: Marxism and Communism in the Modern World (London: Longman, 1979) p. 237.
Ibid., pp. 239–41.
Teresa Rakowska-Harmstone, ‘The Nationalities Question’, in Robert Wesson (ed.), The Soviet Union: Looking to the 1980s (Stanford: Hoover Institution Press, 1979) p. 131; also Teresa Rakowska-Harmstone, ‘Nationalism and National Attitudes’, paper prepared for a seminar on Soviet Central Asia, Foreign and Commonwealth Office, London, 9–10 April 1981.
Murray Feshbach, ‘Population and Labor Force’, in Abram Bergson and Herbert S. Levine (eds.), The Soviet Economy: Toward the Year 2000 (London: George Allen & Unwin, 1983) p. 80.
Murray Feshbach, ‘Trends in the Soviet Muslim Population — Demographic Aspects’, in Soviet Economy in the 1980s: Problems and Prospects, part 2, p. 321; Murray Feshbach, ‘Between the Lines of the 1979 Soviet Census’, Problems of Communism, January–February 1982, p. 33.
Kemal Karpat, ‘Moscow and the “Muslim Question”’, Problems of Communism, November-December 1983, p. 78.
Murray Feshbach, Statement at Carnegie Endowment Conference on ‘Soviet Muslims and Their Political Destiny’, 19–20 March 1981; other sources give figures of 23.5 per cent in 1980 and 29 per cent in 2000 (see Alexandre Bennigsen and Marie Broxup, The Islamic Threat to the Soviet State (London: Croom Helm, 1983) p. 133.
Susan L. Curran and Dimitry Ponomareff, Managing the Ethnic Factor in the Russian and Soviet Armed Forces (Santa Monica, California: The Rand Corporation, July 1982) pp. vi–vii.
Kemal Karpat, ‘Moscow and the “Muslim Question”’, p. 78; see also Edmund Brunner Jr, Soviet Demographic Trends and the Ethnic Composition of Draft Age Males, 1980–1995 (Santa Monica, California: The Rand Corporation, February 1981); S. Enders Wimbush and Alex Alexiev, The Ethnic Factor in the Soviet Armed Forces (Santa Monica, California: The Rand Corporation, March 1982).
S. Enders Wimbush and Alex Alexiev, Soviet Central Asian Soldiers in Afghanistan (Santa Monica, California: The Rand Corporation, January 1981) p. vi.
Ibid., pp. 1–2.
Alexandre Bennigsen, ‘Soviet Muslims and the World of Islam’, Problems of Communism, March–April 1980, p. 51.
Sovetskaya Kirgiziya editorial, 27 December 1981, p. 3.
Karen Dawisha and Hélène Carrere d’Encausse, ‘Islam in the Foreign Policy of the Soviet Union: A Double-Edged Sword?’, in Adeed Dawisha (ed.), Islam in Foreign Policy (Cambridge: Cambridge University Press, 1983) pp. 175–6.
Grey Hodnett, ‘Ukrainian Politics and the Purge of Shelest’, paper for the annual meeting of the Midwest Slavic conference, Michigan, Ann Arbor, 5–7 May 1977.
John J. Stephan, ‘Asia in the Soviet Conception’, in Donald S. Zagoria (ed.), Soviet Policy in East Asia, (New Haven: Yale University Press, 1982) p. 32.
Paul Dibb, ‘Soviet Capabilities, Interests and Strategies in East Asia in the 1980s’, Survival, July/August 1982, p. 155.
See the author’s contribution to Strategic Survey 1981–82 (London: IISS, 1982) p. 107, and Paul Dibb, ‘The Soviet Union as a Pacific Power’, International Journal, Spring 1983, p. 236.
A. G. Granberg, ‘Sibir v narodnokhoziaistvennom komplekse’ (Siberia in the National Economic Complex), Ekonomika i Organizatsiia Promyshlennovo Proizvodstva, no. 4, 1980, pp. 84–106.
J. P. Cole and F. C. German, A Geography of the USSR (London: Butterworths, 1961) p. 69.
N. P. Kalinovskii, Narodo-Naselenie i Ekonomika (Moscow, 1967) pp. 149–51.
V. I. Perevedentsev, ‘Voprosy Territorialnovo Pereraspredeleniya Trudovykh Resursov’, Voprosy Ekonomiki, May 1962, p. 53.
L. I. Brezhnev, Report of the Central Committee of the CPSU to the XXVIth Congress of the Communist Party of the Soviet Union (Novosti, Moscow, 23 February 1981) p. 72.
For a more detailed discussion of the difficulties entailed in the economic development of Siberia, see the author’s Siberia and the Pacific: A Study of Economic Development and Trade Prospects (New York: Praeger, 1972).
Steven L. Burg, ‘Soviet Policy and the Central Asian Problem’, Survey, Summer 1979, pp. 77–8.
David Hooson, ‘The Outlook for Regional Development in the Soviet Union’, Slavic Review, September 1972, p. 539.
Leslie Dienes, ‘Regional Economic Development’, in Bergson and Levine (eds.), The Soviet Economy, p. 257; see also Robert W. Campbell, ‘Prospects for Siberian Economic Development’, in Zagoria (ed.), Soviet Policy in East Asia, pp. 229–54.
Victor Zaslavsky, The Neo-Stalinist State: Class, Ethnicity and Consensus in Soviet Society (New York: M. E. Sharpe, 1982) pp. 91, 128.
Author information
Authors and Affiliations
Copyright information
© 1988 International Institute for Strategic Studies
About this chapter
Cite this chapter
Dibb, P. (1988). The Constraints of Empire. In: The Soviet Union. Studies in International Security. Palgrave Macmillan, London. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-1-349-19349-3_2
Download citation
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-1-349-19349-3_2
Publisher Name: Palgrave Macmillan, London
Print ISBN: 978-0-333-47055-8
Online ISBN: 978-1-349-19349-3
eBook Packages: Palgrave Political & Intern. Studies CollectionPolitical Science and International Studies (R0)