Abstract
The analysis of the current inflation is fairly notable for the controversies which it has engendered, although it has been suggested that a meeting between two economists always produces three points of view! The greatest controversy of them all,1 however, relates to the role played by money in the propagation of inflation. This is now referred to almost universally as the ‘money-supply controversy’. As we shall go on to see below, this controversy has its roots in neoclassical economics and also encompasses both Keynes’s own work and post-Keynesian writings. In order to avoid confusion it is convenient to group together those writers whose approach to the role of money has its foundations in The General Theory under the umbrella title of ‘Keynesians’ (or ‘neo-Keynesians’, or ‘post-Keynesians’), although it should be clearly understood that we cannot, by so doing, do proper justice to the full range of their ideas.2 The strict Keynesian approach to the money-supply controversy can be summed up in the dictum ‘money does not matter’. For our purposes, however, the Keynesian view can more appropriately be expressed as ‘money is not all that matters’. The contrary view in this controversy is associated with a school of thought known as the ‘Monetarists’ or ‘New Quantity Theorists’, whose chief advocate is Professor Milton Friedman of the University of Chicago.
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Notes and References
Mostly individuals, but for several years now Monetarism has been openly espoused by the Federal Reserve Bank of St Louis which has developed a model which lends empirical support to Monetarist doctrine. See the various articles cited in the bibliography credited to the St Louis Review and also D. M. Bechter, Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City Monthly Review (July–Aug 1973).
Many of these revolve around the methodology and econometric techniques used by the New Quantity Theorists. These do not fall within the scope of this book but the interested reader is referred to the bibliography which contains the relevant source material. A particularly swingeing attack on Monetarism is to be found in A. G. Hines and C. Nussey, Discussion Paper No. 23, Birkbeck College (Apr 1974).
See, for example, Friedman’s various works; C. A. Sims, American Economic Review (Sep 1972)
or D. Laidler, Manchester School (Dec 1973) p. 388.
and Hines and Nussey, Discussion Paper No. 23, Birkbeck College (Apr 1974).
This problem has been the subject of widespread commentary. See, for example, the Bank of England Quarterly Bulletin (June 1973); Bain, The Control of the Money Supply, p. 84; D. Kern, National Westminster Bank Review (Nov 1972);
P. Wood and J. Rhys, Bankers’ Magazine (Apr 1971);
A. A. Walters, Money in Boom and Slump, and J. Waters, National Westminster Bank Review (Nov 1969).
See, for example, A. A. Walters, Bankers’ Magazine (Feb 1970).
We will return to this question shortly. For a detailed discussion of this rather complex issue, see, for example, the Bank of England Quarterly Bulletin (June 1973) pp. 193–202, or Wood and Rhys, Bankers’ Magazine (Apr 1971).
As is the view of Waters, National Westminster Bank Review (Nov 1969).
M. Friedman, American Economist (Spring 1972).
Walters, Bankers’ Magazine (Feb 1970).
This conclusion is, however, strongly disputed by Waters in the National Westminster Bank Review (Nov 1969).
See, for example, C. R. Barrett and A. A. Walters, Review of Economics and Statistics (Nov 1966).
M. Friedman, Federal Reserve Bank of St Louis Review (Mar 1974) p. 21.
See, for example, Waters, National Westminster Bank Review (Nov 1969);
D. Laidler, Bankers’ Magazine (Oct 1971);
M. Artis, Bankers’ Magazine (Oct 1972 and Nov 1972);
As is, for example, the opinion of D. C. Rowan, Manchester School (Mar 1973).
See Waters, National Westminster Bank Review (Nov 1969) pp. 29–30.
See A. F. Burns, Federal Reserve Bank of St Louis Review (Nov 1973).
M. Willes, Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia Review (Mar 1968);
and M. J. Hamburger, Federal Reserve Bank of New York Review (Dec 1971).
Some economists have even gone on record with the suggestion that there is no longer any discernible trade cycle at all. See, for example, F. W. Paish, Lloyds Bank Review (Oct 1970).
For a more contentious analysis of the whole trade-cycle issue see G. Sirkin, Lloyds Bank Review (Apr 1972).
See, for example, H. G. Johnson, Inflation and the Monetarist Controversy, L. C. Andersen and K. M. Carlson, Federal Reserve Bank of St Louis Review (Apr 1970);
and M. W. Keran, Federal Reserve Bank of St Louis Review (Nov 1969).
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© 1976 P. J. Curwen
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Curwen, P.J. (1976). The Role of Money. In: Inflation. Palgrave, London. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-1-349-15647-4_5
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