Abstract
From 1980 the armaments performance of the USA and the USSR, as measured by expenditures, diverged to a degree seldom observed in the post-war period. Although in the broadest sense the armaments policies of one country are dominated by that of the adversary1 the departure — first established in each country in the final years of the previous decade — from long term trends, renders inadequate simple action-reaction and bureaucratic models of the arms race. In President Reagan’s first administration, military expenditure grew at an annual nominal rate of 14 per cent, in real terms 8 real terms p.a. By the end of his second administration, however, real growth was negative. In the Soviet Union expenditures declined from a long term trend of four to five p.a. to two per cent p.a. to the middle of the decade and perhaps beyond.2
Access this chapter
Tax calculation will be finalised at checkout
Purchases are for personal use only
Preview
Unable to display preview. Download preview PDF.
Notes and References
A. Dallin and G. Lapidus, ‘Reagan and the Russians: American Policy Towards the Soviet Union’, in K. Oye, R. Lieber and D. Rothschild (eds), Eagle Resurgent? The Reagan Era in American Foreign Policy (Boston: Little, Brown, 1987) p. 207.
Allocation of Resources in the Soviet Union and China 1985. Hearings before the Subcommittee on Economic Resources, Competitiveness and Security Economics, of the Joint Economic Committee, Congress of the United States, Washington DC, 1986, p. 36.
S. Huntington, ‘The Defence Policy of the Reagan Administration 1981–82’, in F. Greenstein (ed), The Reagan Presidency: An Early Assessment (Baltimore: Johns Hopkins University Press, 1983)
D. Calleo, Beyond American Hegemony: The Future of the Western Alliance (New York: Basic Books, 1987) p. 116.
R. Stubbing, ‘The Defense Program. Build-up or Binge!’, Foreign Affairs, vol. 63, no. 4, 1985, p. 848.
E. Beukel, ‘The Reagan Administration, the Soviet Union and Nuclear Arms. Hopes and Fears’, Cooperation and Conflict, vol. XIX, no. 1, 1984, p. 17.
M. Tatu, ‘US Soviet Relations: A Turning Point’, Foreign Affairs, vol. 61, no. 3, 1983, p. 594.
E. Beukel, op. cit., 1984, p. 17.
C. Kegley and E. Wittkopf, ‘The Reagan Administration’s World View’, Orbis, vol. 26, no. 1, 1982, p. 230.
K. Oye, ‘Constrained Confidence and the Evolution of Reagan Foreign Policy’, K. Oye et al., op. cit., 1987, p. 27.
S. Bialer and J. Afferica, ‘Reagan and Russia’, Foreign Affairs, vol. 61, no. 2, 1982, p. 249.
R. Krikus, The Superpowers in Crisis: Implications of Domestic Discord (Washington DC: Pergamon-Brassey, 1987) p. 130.
Ibid., p. 132.
S. Talbot, Deadly Gambits (London: Picador, 1984) p. 227.
K. Oye, op. cit., 1987, p. 4.
A. Dallin and G. Lapidus, op. cit., 1987, p. 205.
R. Stubbing, op. cit., 1985, p. 852.
L. Walinsky, ‘Current Defense Strategy: The Case for Economic Denial’, Foreign Affairs, vol. 61, no. 2, 1982, p. 272.
M. Thee, Military Technology, Military Strategy and the Arms Race (London: Croom Helm, 1986) p. 73.
R. Krikus, op. cit., 1987, p. 3.
K. Oye, op. cit., 1987, p. 7.
D. Calleo, op. cit., 1987, p. 15.
F. Halliday, The Making of the Second Cold War (London: Verso, 1983) p. 235.
K. Oye, op. cit., 1987, p. 14.
C. Kegley and E. Wittkopf, op. cit., 1982, p. 232.
S. Huntington, op. cit., 1983, p. 88.
J. Epstein, The 1988 Defense Budget: Studies in Defence Policy (Washington DC: Brookings, 1987) p. 9.
R. Nimrody et al, Star Wars: The Economic Fall Out (Cambridge, Mass.: Ballinger, 1988) p. 138.
Ibid., p. 26.
J. Epstein, op. cit., 1987, p. 16.
R. Nimrody, op. cit., 1988, p. 25.
Ibid., p. 2.
E. Stubbs and R. Nimrody, ‘The Soviet Response to Star Wars’, Challenge, March–April 1987.
A. Smith, ‘SDI and the New Cold War’, in R. Crockatt and S. Smith, The Cold War: Past and Present (London: Allen and Unwin, 1981) p. 159.
R. Nimrody et al., op. cit., 1988, p. 152.
J. Epstein, op. cit., 1987, p. 23.
G. Adler-Karisson, ‘Star Wars — Another Form of Economic Warfare’, Scandinavian Journal of Development Alternatives, vol. VI, nos. 2 and 3, 1987.
R. Krikus, op. cit., 1987, p. 132.
B. Posen and S. Van Evera, ‘Reagan Administration Defense Policy: Departure from Containment’, K. Oye et al., op. cit., 1983, p. 91.
D. Calleo, op. cit., 1987, p. 115.
K. Booth and P. Williams, ‘Reagan’s Myths About Detente’, World Policy Journal, vol. 2, no. 3, 1985.
S. Talbot, op. cit., 1984, p. 304.
R. Stubbing, op. cit., 1985, p. 858.
J. Epstein, op. cit., 1987, p. 4.
D. Calleo, op. cit., 1987, p. 116.
The Guardian, 6 January 1987.
D. Calleo, op. cit., 1987. p. 71.
R. Stubbing, op. cit., 1985, p. 850.
Hearings before the Subcommittee on Economic Goals and Intergovernmental Policy of the Joint Economic Committee, Congress of the United States, Washington DC, October-December 1982, p. 303.
J. Epstein, op. cit., 1987, pp. 55–56.
J. Gansler. Hearings before the Subcommittee on Economic Goals, op. cit., 1982, p. 92.
P. Savigear, Cold War or Detente: The International Politics of American Soviet Relations (Brighton: Wheatsheaf, 1987) p. 32.
P. Hartland-Thunberg, ‘From Guns and Butter to Guns or Butter: The Relationship Between Economics and Security in the United States’, The Washington Quarterly, vol. 11, no. 4, 1988.
J. Steinberg, ‘Defense, Debt, Dollars and Deficits’, Defense Analysis, vol. 1, no. 1, 1985. p. 72.
E. Rothschild, ‘The Reagan Economic Legacy’, New York Review of Books, 21 July 1988, pp. 33–5.
T. Congdon, The Debt Threat (Oxford: Blackwell, 1988) p. 15.
H. Mosley, The Economic and Social Consequences of the Arms Race, (Lexington: Lexington Books, 1985) p. 150.
S. Huntington, ‘The US-Decline or Renewal’, Foreign Affairs, vol. 67, no. 2, 1988–89, p. 79.
J. Gansler, ‘We Can Afford Security’, Foreign Policy, Summer 1983, p. 64.
Hearings before the Subcommittee on Economic Goals, op. cit., 1982, p. 314.
K. Oye, op. cit., 1987, p. 20.
L. Sullivan, ‘A New Approach to Burden Sharing’, Foreign Policy, no. 60, Fall 1985, p. 97.
P. Kennedy, The Rise and Fall of the Great Powers: Economic Change and Military Conflict (London: Unwin Hyman, 1988) p. 514.
R. Kaufman, ‘Causes of the Slowdown in Soviet Defense’, Soviet Economy, vol. 1, no. 1, 1985.
Ibid.
Allocation of Resources in the Soviet Union and China 1985. Hearings before the subcommittee on Economic Resources, Competitiveness and Security Economics of the Joint Economic Committee, Congress of the United States, Washington DC, 1986, p. 36.
Ibid., p. 36.
The Soviet Economy Under a New Leader. A Report presented to the Subcommittee on Economic Resources, Competitiveness and Security Economics of the Joint Economic Committee by the CIA and the DIA, Washington DC, March 1986, p. 14.
The Guardian, 28 July 1988.
Allocation of Resources in the Soviet Union and China 1984. Hearings before the Subcommittee on Economic Resources, Competitiveness and Security Economics of the Joint Economic Committee, Congress of the United States, Washington DC, 1985, p. 180.
CIA, The Soviet Weapons Industry: An Overview, PB 86-928107. Produced by the United States Department of Commerce, Washington DC, September 1986, pp. 5–6.
Allocation of Resources in the Soviet Union and China 1984. op. cit., 1985, p. 77.
Ibid., p. 7.
R. Strode, ‘The Soviet Armed Forces Adaption to Resource Scarcity’, The Washington Quarterly, vol. 9, no. 2, 1986, p. 60.
Ibid., p. 60.
J. McConnell, ‘The Soviet Investment Debate and Soviet Military Policy’, Strategic Review, vol. 16, 1988, p. 52.
R. Strode, op. cit., 1986, p. 58.
T. Hasegawa, ‘The Soviets on War Fighting’, Problems of Communism, vol. XXXV, no. 4, 1986, p. 71.
B. Parrot, ‘National Security Under Gorbachev’, Problems of Communism, vol. XXXVII, no. 6, 1988, p. 2.
G. Weikhardt, ‘Ustinov v. Ogarkov’, Problems of Communism, vol. XXXIV, no. 1, 1985, p. 78.
S. Shenfield, The Nuclear Predicament: Explorations in Soviet Ideology (London: Routledge, Kegan Paul 1987) Chatham House Paper No. 37.
W. Odeen, ‘Soviet Force Posture: Dilemmas and Directions’, Problems of Communism, vol. XXXIV, no. 4, 1985, p. 8.
C. Rice, op. cit., 1987, p. 198.
D. Strode and R. Strode, ‘Diplomacy and Defense in Soviet National Security Policy’, International Security, vol. 6, no. 4, 1983, pp. 107–8.
M. Ellman, ‘The Macroeconomic Situation in the Soviet Union. Retrospect and Prospect’, Soviet Studies, vol. 38, no. 4, 1986, p. 531 and p. 535.
G. Schroeder, ‘The Soviet Economy Under Gorbachev’, Current History, vol. 86, October 1987, p. 317.
V. Kantorovich, ‘Discipline and Growth in the Soviet Economy’, Problems of Communism, vol. XXXIV, no. 6, 1985.
The Soviet Economy Under a New Leader, op. cit., 1986, p. 11.
R. Kaufman, ‘Economic Reform and the Soviet Military’, The Washington Quarterly, vol. 11, no. 3, 1988, p. 205.
J. Greenwood and W. Slocombe, ‘Economic Constraints on Military Power’, The Washington Quarterly, vol. 10, no. 3, 1987.
The Soviet Economy Under a New Leader, op. cit., 1986, p. 18.
J. Hough, ‘Gorbachev’s Strategy’, Foreign Affairs, vol. 64, no. 1, 1985–86, p. 39.
D. Herspring, ‘On Perestroika: Gorbachev, Yazov and The Military, Problems of Communism, vol. XXXVI, no. 4, 1987, p. 107.
W. Odom, ‘How Far Can Soviet Reform Go?’, Problems of Communism, vol. XXXVI, No. 6, 1987, p. 27.
J. Hough, op. cit., 1985–86, p. 39.
J. McConnell, op. cit., 1988, p. 50.
P. Kennedy, op. cit., 1988, p. 500.
S. Bialer, ‘New Thinking and Soviet Foreign Policy’, Survival, vol. XXX, no. 4, 1988, p. 309.
Allocation of Resources in the Soviet Union and China 1985. op. cit., 1986, p. 48.
Ibid., pp. 108–9.
M. Acland-Hood, ‘Estimating Soviet Military R and D Spending’, in C. Jacobsen (ed), The Soviet Defence Enigma: Estimating Costs and Burden (Oxford: Oxford University Press, 1987) p. 144.
D. Herspring, op. cit., 1987, p. 101.
M. Checinski, ‘An Estimate of Current Soviet Military Industrial Output and of the Development of the Soviet Arms Industry in the Eighties’, Osteuropa Wirtschaft, vol. 29, no. 2, 1984, p. 147.
J. Snyder, ‘The Gorbachev Revolution: A Waning of Soviet Expansionism’, International Security, vol. 12, no. 2, 1987–88, p. 98.
S. Bialer, op. cit., 1988, p. 299.
G. Wettig, ‘Gorbachev and “New Thinking” in the Kremlin’s Foreign Policy’, Aussen Politik, vol. 38, no. 2, 1987, pp. 146–150.
R. Kaufman, op. cit., 1983, p. 207.
S. Sestanovich, ‘Gorbachev’s Foreign Policy: A Diplomacy of Decline’, Problems of Communism, vol. XXXVII, no. 1, 1988.
R. Allison, ‘Mr. Gorbachev’s Xmas Present: What Does It Mean?’ Detente, no. 14, 1989, p. 22.
S. Sestanovich, op. cit, 1988, p. 5.
S. Bialer, op. cit., 1988, p. 303.
J. Snyder, op. cit., 1987–88, p. 114.
P. Hanson, ‘The Soviet Economy at the End of Year IV’, Detente, no. 14, 1989, p. 9.
P. Savigear, op. cit., 1987, p. 5.
Author information
Authors and Affiliations
Copyright information
© 1990 R. T. Maddock
About this chapter
Cite this chapter
Maddock, R.T. (1990). The Arms Race in the 1980s. In: The Political Economy of the Arms Race. Palgrave Macmillan, London. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-1-349-09842-2_9
Download citation
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-1-349-09842-2_9
Publisher Name: Palgrave Macmillan, London
Print ISBN: 978-1-349-09844-6
Online ISBN: 978-1-349-09842-2
eBook Packages: Palgrave Political & Intern. Studies CollectionPolitical Science and International Studies (R0)