Skip to main content

The Classical Transfer Problem and the Theory of Foreign Exchanges

  • Chapter

Abstract

This essay analyzes a model that, for over a hundred years, has lurked behind discussions of the transfer mechanism and the theory of foreign exchanges, yet has never been made explicit. The model originates with John Stuart Mill (1848, vol. II, book III, ch. XXI) and was developed by Taussig (1917, 1927), Keynes (1930), and Robinson (1937a) among others. It underlies what Samuelson (1952) called the ‘orthodox presumption’ in the theory of the transfer problem; and it also lies at the basis of the simplest expositions of the so-called ‘elasticity approach’ to the balance of payments. Of course, one cannot say definitely that the model presented here faithfully represents the notions adhered to only subconsciously by all these writers; but it does reproduce (and make plausible) some of the most prominent propositions associated with these doctrines, as well as expose (and explain) some of the fallacies involved in their misapplication and misinterpretation.

The theory of the exchanges may be regarded as the analysis of the manner in which movements of the balance of trade and the balance of lending are equated to each other. (Joan Robinson)

I wish to thank the Stiftung Volkswagenwerk, Hannover, and the Riksbankens Jubileumsfond, Stockholm, for research support.

This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution.

Buying options

Chapter
USD   29.95
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Available as PDF
  • Read on any device
  • Instant download
  • Own it forever
eBook
USD   74.99
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Available as PDF
  • Read on any device
  • Instant download
  • Own it forever

Tax calculation will be finalised at checkout

Purchases are for personal use only

Learn about institutional subscriptions

Preview

Unable to display preview. Download preview PDF.

Unable to display preview. Download preview PDF.

References

  • Alexander, S. S. (1952) ‘Effects of a Devaluation on a Trade Balance’, International Monetary Fund Staff Papers 2: 263–78.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Arrow, K. J. (1974) ‘Stability Independent of Adjustment Speed’, in G. Horwich and P. A. Samuelson (eds) Trade, Stability, and Macroeconomics (New York: Academic Press) pp. 181–202.

    Google Scholar 

  • Bickerdike, C. F. (1920) ‘The Instability of Foreign Exchange’, Economic Journal 30: 118–22.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Bronfenbrenner, M. (1950) ‘Exchange Rates and Exchange Stability: Mathematical Supplement’, Review of Economics and Statistics 32: 12–16.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Chacholiades, M. (1968) ‘The Marshall—Lerner Condition’, in C. P. Kindleberger, International Economics, 4th edn (Homewood, III.: Richard D. Irwin) pp. 569–77.

    Google Scholar 

  • Chipman, J. S. (1974) ‘The Transfer Problem Once Again’, in G. Horwich and P. A. Samuelson (eds) Trade, Stability, and Macroeconomics (New York: Academic Press) pp. 19–78.

    Google Scholar 

  • Chipman, J. S. (1978) ‘A Reconsideration of the “Elasticity Approach” to Balanceof-Payments Adjustment Problems’, in J. S. Dreyer (ed.) Breadth and Depth in Economics (Lexington, Mass.: D. C. Heath) pp. 49–85.

    Google Scholar 

  • Chipman, J. S. (1979) ‘The Theory and Application of Trade Utility Functions’, in J. Green and J. A. Scheinkman (eds) General Equilibrium, Growth, and Trade (New York: Academic Press) pp. 277–96.

    Google Scholar 

  • Chipman, J. S. (1980) ‘Exchange-Rate Flexibility and Resource Allocation’, in J. S. Chipman and C. P. Kindleberger (eds) Flexible Exchange Rates and the Balance of Payments (Amsterdam: North-Holland) pp. 159–209.

    Google Scholar 

  • Chipman, J. S. (1981) ‘A General-Equilibrium Framework for Analyzing the Responses of Imports and Exports to External Price Changes: An Aggregation Theorem’, in G. Bamberg and O. Opitz (eds) Methods of Operations Research, vol. 44: 6th Symposium on Operations Research, vol.2 (Königstein: Verlag Anton Hein) pp. 43–56.

    Google Scholar 

  • Corden, W. M. (1977) Inflation, Exchange Rates, and the World Economy (Oxford: Clarendon Press).

    Google Scholar 

  • Dornbusch, R. (1973a) ‘Currency Depreciation, Hoarding, and Relative Prices’, Journal of Political Economy 81: 893–915.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Dornbusch, R. (1973b) ‘Devaluation, Money and Nontraded Goods’, American Economic Review 63: 871–80.

    Google Scholar 

  • Dornbusch, R. (1975) ‘Exchange Rates and Fiscal Policy in a Popular Model of International Trade’, American Economic Review 65: 859–71.

    Google Scholar 

  • Gorman, W. M. (1961) ‘On a Class of Preference Fields’, Metroeconomica 13: 53–6.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Haberler, G. (1949) ‘The Market for Foreign Exchange and the Stability of the Balance of Payments’, Kyklos 3: 193–218.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Harberger, A. C. (1950) ‘Currency Depreciation, Income, and the Balance of Trade’, Journal of Political Economy 58: 47–60.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Hirschman, A. O. (1949) ‘Devaluation and the Trade Balance: A Note’, Review of Economics and Statistics 31: 50–3.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Hurwicz, L. and H. Uzawa (1971) ‘On the Integrability of Demand Functions’, in J. S. Chipman, L. Hurwicz, M. K. Richter, and H. F. Sonnenschein (eds) Preferences, Utility, and Demand (New York: Harcourt Brace Jovanovich) pp. 114–48.

    Google Scholar 

  • Johnson, H. G. (1976) ‘The Monetary Theory of Balance-of-Payments Policies’, in J. A. Frenkel and H. G. Johnson (eds) The Monetary Approach to the Balance of Payments (London: Allen & Unwin) pp. 262–84.

    Google Scholar 

  • Jones, R. W. (1961) ‘Stability Conditions in International Trade: A General Equilibrium Analysis’, International Economic Review 2: 199–209.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Jones, R. W. (1974) ‘Trade with Non-traded Goods: The Anatomy of Interconnected Markets’, Economica NS: 121–38.

    Google Scholar 

  • Kemp, M. C. (1962) ‘The Rate of Exchange, the Terms of Trade and the Balance of Payments in Fully Employed Economies’, International Economic Review 3: 314–27.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Kemp, M. C. (1964) The Pure Theory of International Trade (Englewood Cliffs, NJ: Prentice-Hall).

    Google Scholar 

  • Kemp, Murray C. (1970) ‘The Balance of Payments and the Terms of Trade in Relation to Financial Controls’, Review of Economic Studies 37: 25–31.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Keynes, J. M. (1930) A Treatise on Money, 2 vols (London: Macmillan).

    Google Scholar 

  • Laursen, S. and L. A. Metzler (1950) ‘Flexible Exchange Rates and the Theory of Employment’, Review of Economics and Statistics 32: 281–99.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Lerner, A. P. (1944) The Economics of Control (New York: Macmillan).

    Google Scholar 

  • McFadden, D. (1968) ‘On Hicksian Stability’, in J. N. Wolfe (ed.) Value, Capital, and Growth (Edinburgh: Edinburgh University Press) pp. 329–51.

    Google Scholar 

  • Machlup, F. (1939–40) ‘The Theory of Foreign Exchanges’, Economica, NS, 6: 37597; 7: 23–49.

    Google Scholar 

  • Machlup, F. (1950) ‘Elasticity Pessimism in International Trade’, Economia Internazionale 3: 118–37.

    Google Scholar 

  • Marshall, A. (1923) Money Credit and Commerce (London: Macmillan).

    Google Scholar 

  • Meade, J. E. (1949) ‘A Geometrical Representation of Balance of Payments Policy’, Economica, NS, 16: 305–20.

    Google Scholar 

  • Meade, J. E. (1951a) The Balance of Payments (London: Oxford University Press).

    Google Scholar 

  • Meade, J. E. (1951b) The Balance of Payments: Mathematical Supplement (London: Oxford University Press).

    Google Scholar 

  • Meade, J. E. (1953) A Geometry of International Trade (London: Allen & Unwin).

    Google Scholar 

  • Metzler, L. A. (1945) ‘Stability of Multiple Markets: The Hicks Conditions’, Econometrica 13: 277–92.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Metzler, L. A. (1948) ‘The Theory of International Trade’, in H. S. Ellis (ed) A Survey of Contemporary Economics (Philadelphia: Blakiston) pp. 210–54.

    Google Scholar 

  • Mill, J. S. (1848; 5th edn 1895) Principles of Political Economy 2 vols (London: John W. Parker; 5th edn, New York: D. Appleton).

    Google Scholar 

  • Mundell, R. A. (1960a) ‘The Pure Theory of International Trade’, American Economic Review 50: 67–110.

    Google Scholar 

  • Mundell, R. A. (1960b) ‘The Monetary Dynamics of International Adjustment Under Fixed and Flexible Exchange Rates’, Quarterly Journal of Economics, 74: 227–57.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Mundell, R. A. (1969) ‘Problems of the International Monetary System’, in R. A. Mundell and A. K. Swoboda (eds) Monetary Problems of the International Economy (Chicago: University of Chicago Press) pp. 21–38.

    Google Scholar 

  • Negishi, T. (1968) ‘Approaches to the Analysis of Devaluation’, International Economic Review 9: 21–227.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Pigou, A. C. (1932) ‘The Effect of Reparations on the Real Ratio of International Interchange’, Economic Journal 42: 532–43.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Primont, D. (1983) ‘Aggregation of Input Price Indexes’, in W. Eichhorn, R. Henn, K. Neumann, and R. W. Shephard (eds) Quantitative Studies on Production and Prices (Würzburg: Physica-Verlag) pp. 181–91.

    Chapter  Google Scholar 

  • Robinson, J. (1937a; 2nd edn 1947a) ‘The Foreign Exchanges’, in J. Robinson, Essays in the Theory of Employment (New York: Macmillan) pp.183–209; 2nd edn (Oxford: Blackwell) pp. 134–55.

    Google Scholar 

  • Robinson, J. (1937b; 2nd edn 1947b) ‘Beggar-My-Neighbour Remedies for Unemployment’, in J. Robinson, Essays in the Theory of Employment (Oxford: Basil Blackwell) pp.210–28; 2nd edn pp.156–70.

    Google Scholar 

  • Samuelson, P. A. (1952) ‘The Transfer Problem and Transport Costs: The Terms of Trade when Impediments are Absent’, Economic Journal 62: 278–304.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Sohmen, E. (1958) ‘The Marshall-Lerner Condition’, in C. P. Kindleberger, Inter-national Economics, revised edn (Homewood, Ill.: Richard D. Irwin) pp. 610–12.

    Google Scholar 

  • Takayama, A. (1972) International Trade (New York: Holt, Rinehart & Winston).

    Google Scholar 

  • Taussig, F. W. (1917) ‘International Trade under Depreciated Paper. A Contribution to Theory’, Quarterly Journal of Economics 31: 380–403.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Taussig, F. W. (1927) International Trade (New York: Macmillan).

    Google Scholar 

Download references

Authors

Editor information

Editors and Affiliations

Copyright information

© 1989 George R. Feiwel

About this chapter

Cite this chapter

Chipman, J.S. (1989). The Classical Transfer Problem and the Theory of Foreign Exchanges. In: Feiwel, G.R. (eds) Joan Robinson and Modern Economic Theory. Palgrave Macmillan, London. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-1-349-08633-7_29

Download citation

Publish with us

Policies and ethics