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Abstract

The high and volatile inflation rates of the 1970s have increased greatly the perceived risks of investing in fixed-rate bonds. Longterm yields on dollar bonds, which started the decade at near 7 per cent, finished the decade at near 14 per cent; sterling bond yields moved from 9 per cent to near 17 per cent over the same period. Fixed-rate bonds, once viewed as near-riskless assets, ended the decade as highly volatile investments.

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Notes and References

  1. For evidence on deviations from purchasing power parity, see H. Genberg, ‘Purchasing Power Parity under Fixed and Flexible Exchange Rates’, Journal of International Economics, vol. 8, no. 2 (May 1978) p. 247–76.

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  2. See M. Friedman and A. Schwartz, A Monetary History of the United States 1867–1960 (Princeton, 1963 ) pp. 25–9.

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  3. See P. H. Lindert ‘Key Currencies and Gold 1900–13’, Princeton Studies in International Finance 1969, for a description of how the Agadir crisis of 1911 led to a simultaneous rise of interest rates in European reserve centres.

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  4. For details, see Merril Lynch, International Research vol. 2, (21 May 1980).

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  5. See Drexel, Burnham, Lambert’s prospectus for the issue of $25 million 84 per cent Silver Indexed bonds, due April 1995, for Sunshine Mining Company.

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© 1982 Brendan Brown

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Brown, B. (1982). Bond Markets. In: A Theory of Hedge Investment. Palgrave Macmillan, London. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-1-349-06103-7_7

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