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The Brighton Marina: A Case Study in Arbitrariness, Uncertainty and Social Welfare in Planning Models

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Abstract

Mathematical models are used extensively in urban planning; for example to estimate traffic flows, housing demand and the likely impact of new shopping amenities. However, there is considerable controversy surrounding the use of models in town planning. The displacement of old shops by new shopping centres and supermarkets has both social and economic disadvantages as well as advantages, as with other aspects of urban planning.

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Notes

  1. See Dorothy Nelkin (1975), ‘The political impact of technical expertise’ Social Studies of Science, Vol. 5, No. 1, p. 54 for comments on ‘conflict among experts reduces the political impact’.

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  2. See Jay Gershuny (1978), After Industrial Society? (London: Macmillan).

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  3. A notable exception in this respect is an article by Stan Openshaw: ‘An empirical study of some spatial interaction models’, Environment and Behaviour, 1976, Vol. 8, pp. 23–41.

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© 1979 Science Policy Research Unit, Sussex

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Turner, R., Cole, S. (1979). The Brighton Marina: A Case Study in Arbitrariness, Uncertainty and Social Welfare in Planning Models. In: Whiston, T. (eds) The Uses and Abuses of Forecasting. Palgrave Macmillan, London. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-1-349-04486-3_6

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