Skip to main content

The Exchange Rate And The Balance of Payments In The Short Run and in The Long Run: A Monetary Approach

  • Chapter

Abstract

This paper analyzes, by way of a dynamic model, the role of momentary asset equilibrium and expectations in the determination of the exchange rate in the short run, and the role of the process of asset accumulation in the determination of the time path from momentary to long-run equilibrium.

This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution.

Buying options

Chapter
USD   29.95
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Available as PDF
  • Read on any device
  • Instant download
  • Own it forever
eBook
USD   44.99
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Available as PDF
  • Read on any device
  • Instant download
  • Own it forever

Tax calculation will be finalised at checkout

Purchases are for personal use only

Learn about institutional subscriptions

Preview

Unable to display preview. Download preview PDF.

Unable to display preview. Download preview PDF.

References

  • Alexander, S.: The effects of devaluation on the trade balance. International Monetary Fund Staff Papers, II, No. 2, 263–78, 1952.

    Google Scholar 

  • Archibald, C. & Lipsey, R.: Monetary theory and value theory: A critique of Lange and Patinkin. Review of Economic Studies 26, 1–22. 1958.

    Google Scholar 

  • Black, F.: The uniqueness of the price level in monetary growth models with perfect foresight. Journal of Economic Theory 7, No. 1, 53–66, 1974.

    Google Scholar 

  • Black, S.W.: International money market and flexible exchange rates. Princeton Studies in International Finance, No. 72. International Finance Section, Princeton 1967.

    Google Scholar 

  • Branson, W.: Stocks and flows in international monetary analysis. In Ando,

    Google Scholar 

  • Herring, and Marston (eds.), International Aspects of Stabilization Policies, Federal Reserve Bank of Boston, Boston. Conference Series, No. 12, 27–50, 1974.

    Google Scholar 

  • Brock, W.: Money and growth: The case of long run perfect foresight. International Economic Review 15, No. 3, 1974.

    Google Scholar 

  • Brunner, K. & Meltzer, A.: Monetary and fiscal policy in open economies with fixed exchange rates (unpublished manuscript). 1974.

    Google Scholar 

  • Burmeister, E. & Dobell, A.R.: Mathematical theories of economic growth. MacMillan, New York, 1970.

    Google Scholar 

  • Cagan, P.: The monetary dynamics of hyperinflation. In M. Friedman (ed.), Studies in the Quantity Theory of Money, Chapter II, pp. 25–117. The University of Chicago Press, Chicago, 1952.

    Google Scholar 

  • Dornbusch, R.: Currency depreciation, hoarding, and relative prices. Journal of Political Economy 81, No. 4, 893–915, 1973.

    Google Scholar 

  • Dornbusch, R.: Devaluation, money, and nontraded goods. American Economic Review 62, No. 5, 871–880, 1973.

    Google Scholar 

  • Dornbusch, R.: Capital mobility, flexible exchange rates and macro economic equilibrium. In E. Claassen and P. Salin (eds.), Recent Developments in International Monetary Economics, North Holland, Amsterdam, 1976.

    Google Scholar 

  • Foley, D.: On two specifications of asset equilibrium in macroeconomic models. Journal of Political Economy 83, No. 2, 303–324, 1975.

    Google Scholar 

  • Frenkel, J.: A theory of money, trade and the balance of payments in a model of accumulation. Journal of International Economics I, No. 2, 159–187, 1971.

    Google Scholar 

  • Frenkel, J. and Johnson, H.G.: The monetary approach to the balance of payments. Allen and Unwin, London, 1975.

    Google Scholar 

  • Frenkel, J. & Rodriguez, C.: Portfolio equilibrium and the balance of payments: A monetary approach. American Economic Review 65, No. 4, 674–688, 1975.

    Google Scholar 

  • Friedman, M.: The case for flexible exchange rates. In Essays in positive economics. University of Chicago Press, Chicago 1953.

    Google Scholar 

  • Genberg, H. & Kierzkowski, H.: Short run, long run, and dynamics of adjustment under flexible exchange rates (unpublished manuscript). The Graduate Institute of International Studies, Geneva, 1975.

    Google Scholar 

  • Hahn, F.H.: The balance of payments in a monetary economy. Review of Economic Studies 26 (2), No. 70, 110–125, 1959.

    Google Scholar 

  • Hahn, F.H.: On money and growth. Journal of money, credit and banking I, 172–188, 1969.

    Google Scholar 

  • Johnson, H.G.: Towards a general theory of the balance of payments. In International Trade and Economic Growth. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, 1958.

    Google Scholar 

  • Johnson, H.G.: The monetary approach to the balance of payments. In A. Swoboda and M. Connolly (eds.), International Trade and Money. The University of Toronto Press, Buffalo, 1972.

    Google Scholar 

  • Johnson, H.G.: The monetary approach to the balance of payments. The Manchester School, No. 3, 220–274, 1975.

    Google Scholar 

  • Kemp, M.: The pure theory of international trade and investment. Prentice-Hall, Englewood Cliffs, N.J., 1969.

    Google Scholar 

  • Kindleberger, C.P.: International economics, 5th ed. Richard D. Irwin, Home-wood, Illinois, 1973.

    Google Scholar 

  • Komiya, R.: Monetary assumptions, currency depreciation and the balance of trade. The Economic Studies Quarterly 17, No. 2, 9–23, 1966.

    Google Scholar 

  • Krueger, A.: The role of home goods and money in exchange rate adjustments. In W. Sellekaerts (ed.), International trade and finance: Essays in honor of Jan Tinbergen, Chapter 7, pp. 141–161. International Arts and Sciences, 1974.

    Google Scholar 

  • Liviatan, N. & Samuelson, P.A.: Notes on turnpikes: stable and unstable. Journal of Economic Theory 2, No. 4, 454–475, 1969.

    Google Scholar 

  • McKinnon, R.: Portfolio balance and international adjustment. In R. Mundell and A. Swoboda (eds.), Monetary problems of the international economy. Chapter 4. Chicago University Press, 1969.

    Google Scholar 

  • McKinnon, R. & Oates, W.E.: The implications of international economic integration for monetary, fiscal, and exchange rate policy. Princeton Studies in International Finance, No. 16. Princeton University, International Finance Section, Princeton, 1967.

    Google Scholar 

  • Mundell, R.A.: International economics. MacMillan, New York, 1968.

    Google Scholar 

  • Mundell, R.A.: Monetary theory. Good- year, Pacific Palisades, Calif., 1971.

    Google Scholar 

  • Mussa, M.: A monetary approach to balance of payments analysis. Journal of Money, Credit, and Banking 6, No. 3, 333–352, 1974.

    Google Scholar 

  • Myhrman, J.: Monetary and fiscal policy and stock-flow equilibrium in an open economy. Unpublished manuscript, 1975.

    Google Scholar 

  • Negishi, Takashi: Approaches to the analysis of devaluation. International Economic Review 6, No. 2, 218–227, 1968.

    Google Scholar 

  • Pearce, I.F.: The problem of the balance of payments. International Economic Review II, No. 1, 1–28, 1961.

    Google Scholar 

  • Phelps, E.S.: Inflation in the theory of public finance. Swedish Journal of Economics 75, 67–82, 1973.

    Google Scholar 

  • Polak, J.: Monetary analysis of income formation and payments problems. International Monetary Fund Staff Papers 6, 1–50, 1958.

    Google Scholar 

  • Prais, S.J.: Some mathematical notes on the quantity theory of money in an open economy. International monetary fund staff papers 8, No. 2, 212–226, 1961.

    Google Scholar 

  • Robinson, J.: The foreign exchanges. In

    Google Scholar 

  • H.S. Ellis and L.A. Meltzer (eds.), International trade, Chapter 4, pp. 83- 103. Blakiston Company, Philadelphia and Toronto, 1947.

    Google Scholar 

  • Samuelson, P.A.: An exact Hume—Ricardo-Marshall model of international trade. Journal of International Economics, I, No. 1, 1–18, 1971. Reprinted in: R.C. Merton (ed.), The Collected Scientific Papers of P.A. Samuelson, III, Chapter 162, 356–374. M.I.T. Press, Cambridge, Mass., 1972.

    Google Scholar 

  • Sargant, T. & Wallace, N.: The stability of models of money and growth with perfect foresight. Econometrica 41, No. 6, 1043- 1048, 1973.

    Google Scholar 

  • Sidrauski, M.: Rational choice and patterns of growth in a monetary economy. American Economic Review 58, 534–544, 1968.

    Google Scholar 

  • Sohmen, E.: Flexible exchange rates, Revised edition. University of Chicago Press, Chicago, 1969.

    Google Scholar 

  • Stein, J.: Money and capacity growth. Columbia University Press, New York, 1971.

    Google Scholar 

  • Stern, R.M.: The balance of payments. Al- dine Publishing Co., Chicago, 1973.

    Book  Google Scholar 

Download references

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

Authors

Editor information

Editors and Affiliations

Copyright information

© 1977 The Scandinavian Journal of Economics

About this chapter

Cite this chapter

Kouri, P.J.K. (1977). The Exchange Rate And The Balance of Payments In The Short Run and in The Long Run: A Monetary Approach. In: Herin, J., Lindbeck, A., Myhrman, J. (eds) Flexible Exchange Rates and Stabilization Policy. Palgrave Macmillan, London. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-1-349-03359-1_13

Download citation

Publish with us

Policies and ethics