Projected Pattern of British Food Supply and Imports

  • Alister McFarquhar
  • Donald Silvey
Part of the Trade Policy Research Centre book series


After the discussion in Chapter 3 of the projected pattern of demand in the United Kingdom following the country’s membership of the European Community, and the discussion in Chapter 4 of some of the consequent adjustments in farm organisation, this chapter turns to the projected pattern of British supply and the demand and the effect on imports.


Common Agricultural Policy Farm Income Project Pattern Commodity Group Constant Price 
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Notes and References

  1. 2.
    For a more detailed discussion of the importance of the distinction between targets, projections and forecasts, see Alister McFarquhar (ed.), Europe’s Future Food and Agriculture (Amsterdam: North-Holland, for the Association Scientifique Européenne pour la Prévision Economique à Moyen et à Long Terme, 1971), pp. xiv—xv.Google Scholar
  2. 3.
    Descriptions of the work involved in the development of supply models for agriculture in the United Kingdom are given in McFarquhar, op. cit. pp. 420–51 and 466–9; McFarquhar and Martin Evans, ‘Projection Models for Food and Agriculture’, Journal of Agricultural Economics Vol. xxit, No. 3, 1971; and Evans, ‘Growth Models of Cattle Production under the Guaranteed Price System’, The Farm Economist September, 1971.Google Scholar
  3. 5.
    John N. Ferris et al., The Impact on US Agricultural Trade of the Accession of the United Kingdom, Ireland, Denmark and Norway to the European Community (East Lansing: Institute of International Agriculture, Michigan State University, 1971).Google Scholar
  4. 6.
    George T. Jones, United Kingdom: Projected Level of Demand Supply and Imports of Agricultural Products 1970, 1975, 1980 (Oxford: Institute for Research in Agricultural Economics, 1969).Google Scholar
  5. 8.
    Ian Sturgess, Agricultural Adjustment Unit, University of Newcastle upon Tyne, private communication; Sturgess and Robin Reeves, The Potential Market for British Cereals (London: Home Grown Cereals Authority, 1962); and Sturgess, Price and Marketing Prospects for UK Cereal Growers within the EEC (London: Home Grown Cereals Authority, 1973).Google Scholar
  6. 11.
    For a more detailed comparison of linear-programming and time-series analysis, see McFarquhar, op. cit. p. xviii; C. S. Barnard, ‘Farm Models, Management Objectives and the Bounded Planning Environment’ (and discussion, Journal of Agricultural Economics Vol. xv, Vol. 4, 1963.Google Scholar
  7. 13.
    E. E. H. Fiddian, ‘The Difference between National and Regional Yields and the Potential Yield from Present Recommended Varieties’, Proceedings of the 12th NIAB Crop Conference, 1972.Google Scholar
  8. 14.
    G. R. Allen (ed.), The Outlook for Beef in the United Kingdom, 1974 and 1975 (Aberdeen: School of Agriculture, University of Aberdeen, 1974).Google Scholar
  9. 18.
    Ian Smith, ‘Britain’s Sugar Dilemma’, Journal of Agricultural Economics, Vol. xxv, No. 1, 1974.Google Scholar
  10. 19.
    F. G. Sturrock and M. C. Thompson, Sugar Beet: A Study of Sugar Production in the UK and the Feasibility of Expansion, Agricultural Enterprise Studies in England and Wales, Economic Report No. 7 (Cambridge: Agricultural Economics Unit, Department of Land Economy, University of Cambridge, 1972).Google Scholar

Copyright information

© Trade Policy Research Center 1976

Authors and Affiliations

  • Alister McFarquhar
  • Donald Silvey

There are no affiliations available

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