The Analysis of Short-Term Influences

  • David Butler
  • Donald Stokes


The issues of modern politics are extraordinarily varied, but common processes can be seen in the way various issues sway the electorate. We can build a general framework that will allow us to analyze the actual or potential contribution of any issue to electoral change. Elements of such a framework are indeed implicit in our treatment of the “issues” that underlie the great alignments which have endured for long periods of British politics. Consider the role of social class in electoral change. The simplest conception of the place of class in party choice involves the triangular relationship between elector, class and party that we set out in Chapter 4.


Alternative Policy Party Leader Individual Voter Electoral Change Party Position 
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Copyright information

© David Butler and Donald Stokes 1971

Authors and Affiliations

  • David Butler
    • 1
  • Donald Stokes
    • 2
  1. 1.Nuffield CollegeOxfordUK
  2. 2.Center for Political StudiesUniversity of MichiganUSA

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