Abstract
Physicians have long practiced the art of prognostication. This has always been highly subjective and is influenced by the individual’s clinical experiences, human factors such as optimism and fatigue, and the inability to fully weigh up the contributing factors of disease. In recent years, attempts have been made to minimize the effect of human error in decision-making processes by introducing severity of illness scoring systems.
It appears to me a most excellent thing for the physician to cultivate Prognosis; for by foreseeing and foretelling, in the presence of the sick, the present, the past, and the future, and explaining the omissions which patients have been guilty of, he will be the more readily believed to be acquainted with the circumstances of the sick; so that men will have confidence to entrust themselves to such a physician. And he will manage the cure best who has foreseen what is to happen from the present state of matters.
Hippocrates, The Book of Prognostics 400 BC
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Fisher, A., Burke, D. (2012). Critical Care Scoring Systems. In: Brown, S., Hartley, J., Hill, J., Scott, N., Williams, J. (eds) Contemporary Coloproctology. Springer, London. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-0-85729-889-8_35
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