Precautionary Risk Decision-Making
Uncertainties related to a risk assessment significantly affect the confidence in the risk results and recommendations obtained. Uncertainties are dependent on the complexity and understanding of the causal and/or logical relationships of quantities and/or events of the real world, and their roles in the decision-making process depend on the adopted decision rules and criteria.
KeywordsRisk Model Model Uncertainty Model Bias Risk Assessment Approach Formal Safety Assessment
Unable to display preview. Download preview PDF.
- 1.Gelman A, Carlin JB, Stern HS, Rubin DB. Bayesian Data Analysis. Chapman & Hall, London, 1995.Google Scholar
- 2.Lindley D. The philosophy of statistics. The Statistician 2000; 49(3): 293–337.Google Scholar
- 6.United States Nuclear Regulatory Commission (USNRC). An Approach for Plant-specific, Risk-Informed Decisions on Plant-specific Changes to the Licensing Basis, Regulatory Guide 1.174, Washington, D.C., 1998Google Scholar
- 8.Hattis D, Anderson E. What should be the implications of uncertainty, variability, and the inherent ‘biases’/‘conservatism’ for risk management decision-making? Risk Analysis 1999; 19(1): 95–107.Google Scholar