Using Bayesian Networks to Model Accident Causation in the UK Railway Industry
We describe a method of modelling organisational causes of accidents, using Bayesian Networks. A rigorous method is used to relate interactions within the organisation operating the system to causal factors for accidents. Using examples from a model of the causes of SPAD incidents in the UK railways, we describe how such a model can be used for risk assessment.
KeywordsBayesian Network Causal Model Organisational Factor Driver Trainer Radar Group
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