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A Quantitative Risk Analysis Model of Scenarios Characterised by Explosion Fragments and Missiles

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Probabilistic Safety Assessment and Management

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Abstract

The Directive 96/82/EC on the control of major accidents, known as “Seveso-II”, led to important innovations in the safety requirements of process plants. Some aspects have great scientific and technological implications: e.g. the “domino effect”. Concerning the Domino Effect, in this paper, a model for the prediction of the projection of fragments following explosions in pipes and vessel has been developed, it permits the prediction of the number and initial speed of projectile fragments. The model has been validated through comparison with an incident that happened in 1993 in a Sicilian refinery.

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References

  1. Centre for Chemical Process Safety, CCPS, Guidelines fo r chemical process quantitative risk analysis, AIChE, New York, 2000.

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Author information

Authors and Affiliations

  1. Dipartimento di Chimica Industriale ed Ingegneria dei Materiali, University of Messina, Salita Sperone 31, 98166, Messina, Italy

    Giuseppe Maschio, Domenica Cambria, Roberto Lisi & Maria Francesca Milazzo

Authors
  1. Giuseppe Maschio
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  2. Domenica Cambria
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  3. Roberto Lisi
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  4. Maria Francesca Milazzo
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Editor information

Editors and Affiliations

  1. TÜV Süddeutschland, Dudenstrasse 28, D-68167, Mannheim, Germany

    Cornelia Spitzer Dipl.-Math.

  2. Swiss Federal Nuclear Safety Inspectorate (HSK), CH-5232, Villigen-HSK, Switzerland

    Ulrich Schmocker PhD

  3. Paul Scherrer Institut (PSI), CH-5232, Villigen PSI, Switzerland

    Vinh N. Dang PhD

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© 2004 Springer-Verlag London

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Maschio, G., Cambria, D., Lisi, R., Milazzo, M.F. (2004). A Quantitative Risk Analysis Model of Scenarios Characterised by Explosion Fragments and Missiles. In: Spitzer, C., Schmocker, U., Dang, V.N. (eds) Probabilistic Safety Assessment and Management. Springer, London. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-0-85729-410-4_471

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  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-0-85729-410-4_471

  • Publisher Name: Springer, London

  • Print ISBN: 978-1-4471-1057-6

  • Online ISBN: 978-0-85729-410-4

  • eBook Packages: Springer Book Archive

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