Skip to main content

Credibility in risk assessment

  • Conference paper
Probabilistic Safety Assessment and Management

Abstract

A framework has been developed in an attempt to provide a normative model for speaking about the credibility of risk assessments. It consists of a number of facets (for example completeness), and the facets group together a number of norms (for example the norm that risk assessments should explain the rationale for the categories of outcome they consider). These norms were derived from a study of the limitations of risk assessment methodology, developed from a set of expert interviews and a survey of the literature. This framework was applied to a case study of a risk assessment recently conducted in the maritime industry. The proposal is that the framework should contribute to 1) reflection on the part of risk assessors themselves, 2) reviews of risk assessments by stakeholders, particularly regulatory bodies, and 3) the processes by which organisations such as regulators specify what they want from risk assessments in their industries.

This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access.

Access this chapter

Chapter
USD 29.95
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Available as PDF
  • Read on any device
  • Instant download
  • Own it forever
eBook
USD 129.00
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Available as PDF
  • Read on any device
  • Instant download
  • Own it forever
Softcover Book
USD 169.99
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Compact, lightweight edition
  • Dispatched in 3 to 5 business days
  • Free shipping worldwide - see info

Tax calculation will be finalised at checkout

Purchases are for personal use only

Institutional subscriptions

Preview

Unable to display preview. Download preview PDF.

Unable to display preview. Download preview PDF.

References

  1. Porter TM (1995). Trust in Numbers: The Pursuit of Objectivity in Science and Public Life. Princeton University Press (Princeton NJ).

    Google Scholar 

  2. Adams J (1995). Risk. UCL Press (London).

    Google Scholar 

  3. Gheorghe AV and Vamanu DV (2002). Integrated risk assessment and safety management: transportation of dangerous goods. Internationaljournal of Risk Assessment 3, 99–112.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  4. Hood C and Jones DKC (1996). Homeostatic versus collibrationist approaches to risk management. In Hood C and Jones DKC (eds.). Accident and Design. Contemporary Debates in Risk Management, UCL Press (London), 205–207.

    Google Scholar 

  5. Hansson SO (1989). Dimensions of risk. Risk Analysis 9, 107–112.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  6. Toft B (1996). Limits to the mathematical modelling of disasters. In Hood C and Jones DKC (eds.). Accident and Design. Contemporary Debates in Risk Management, UCL Press (London), 99–110.

    Google Scholar 

  7. Kvitrud A, Ersdal G and Leonhardsen RL (2001). On the risk of structural failure on Norwegian offshore installations. Proc. 11th Int. Offshore and Polar Engineering Conference, Stavanger, June 17-22, 459–464.

    Google Scholar 

  8. Harremoes P (2002). Ethical aspects of scientific incertitude in environmental analysis and decision making. Journal of Cleaner Production 11, 705–712.s

    Article  Google Scholar 

  9. Cohen AV (1996). Quantitative risk assessment and decisions about risk. In Hood C and Jones DKC (eds.). Accident and Design. Contemporary Debates in Risk Management, UCL Press (London), 87–98.

    Google Scholar 

Download references

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

Authors

Editor information

Editors and Affiliations

Rights and permissions

Reprints and permissions

Copyright information

© 2004 Springer-Verlag London

About this paper

Cite this paper

Busby, J.S., Alcock, R.E., Hughes, E.J. (2004). Credibility in risk assessment. In: Spitzer, C., Schmocker, U., Dang, V.N. (eds) Probabilistic Safety Assessment and Management. Springer, London. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-0-85729-410-4_450

Download citation

  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-0-85729-410-4_450

  • Publisher Name: Springer, London

  • Print ISBN: 978-1-4471-1057-6

  • Online ISBN: 978-0-85729-410-4

  • eBook Packages: Springer Book Archive

Publish with us

Policies and ethics